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Púchov vs Petržalka Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Púchov
Púchov
Vs
41%
27%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petržalka
Petržalka
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Púchov win✓ Hit
40.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petržalka win✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PúchovPúchov

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L22D23L20W11D21W12L30W32W21WA·POV08/03H·LIP15/03A·ŽIL21/03H·POH29/03A·ŠAM06/04H·SLO13/04A·MAL20/04A·STA25/04H·LOK03/05A·ZLA09/05
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.331.791.141.621.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.761.121.620.881.891.33
vs Weaker (13)1.621.622.001.501.291.71
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetržalkaPetržalka

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W11D11D11D52W12L10W11D00DH·STA09/03H·TAT16/03A·HUM22/03H·POV30/03A·LIP05/04A·POH18/04H·ŠAM27/04H·ŽIL30/04A·SLO04/05H·MAL09/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.031.130.931.731.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.541.081.151.001.921.15
vs Weaker (4)0.750.751.000.500.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.7%
Under 2.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.3%
Under 3.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.5%
No
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
Púchov goals ↓
Petržalka goals →
01234
06.3%6.1%5.0%2.3%0.8%
17.0%12%7.9%3.6%1.3%
26.4%8.9%6.2%2.8%1.0%
33.4%4.6%3.2%1.5%0.5%
41.3%1.8%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Púchov goals (down), columns = Petržalka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Púchov is 0.08 points better than Petržalka in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Púchov is 0.38 goals better than Petržalka in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Púchov is 0.38 goals worse than Petržalka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PúchovPúchov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D03L20W10W10W01L20W21W10WA·POV08/03H·LIP15/03A·ŽIL21/03H·POH29/03A·ŠAM06/04H·SLO13/04A·MAL20/04A·STA25/04H·LOK03/05A·ZLA09/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.631.210.570.940.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.180.471.120.501.220.44
vs Weaker (13)0.920.851.330.670.571.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetržalkaPetržalka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D10W21W10W10W10W00DH·STA09/03H·TAT16/03A·HUM22/03H·POV30/03A·LIP05/04A·POH18/04H·ŠAM27/04H·ŽIL30/04A·SLO04/05H·MAL09/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.270.600.270.930.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.850.310.620.311.080.31
vs Weaker (4)0.250.000.500.000.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Púchov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PúchovPúchov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D20W00D01L11D11D10W11D11DA·POV08/03H·LIP15/03A·ŽIL21/03H·POH29/03A·ŠAM06/04H·SLO13/04A·MAL20/04A·STA25/04H·LOK03/05A·ZLA09/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.570.570.690.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.590.650.500.380.670.89
vs Weaker (13)0.690.770.670.830.710.71
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetržalkaPetržalka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D11D01L31W02L00D01L00DH·STA09/03H·TAT16/03A·HUM22/03H·POV30/03A·LIP05/04A·POH18/04H·ŠAM27/04H·ŽIL30/04A·SLO04/05H·MAL09/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.770.530.670.800.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.690.770.540.690.850.85
vs Weaker (4)0.500.750.500.500.501.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Púchov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
PÚC wins
1
Draws
2
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Púchov vs Petržalka · H/A from PÚC
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/24APetržalka Vs PÚC1-2
24/03/24APetržalka Vs PÚC4-2
02/09/23HPÚC Vs Petržalka5-0
19/05/23HPÚC Vs Petržalka2-2
30/10/22APetržalka Vs PÚC1-0

PúchovPúchov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/25AZlaté Moravce Vs PÚC1-2
03/05/25HPÚC Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen3-2
25/04/25AStará Ľubovňa Vs PÚC0-3
20/04/25AMalženice Vs PÚC2-1
13/04/25HPÚC Vs Slovan Bratislava II2-1
06/04/25AŠamorín Vs PÚC1-1
29/03/25HPÚC Vs Pohronie2-0
21/03/25AŽilina II Vs PÚC3-2
15/03/25HPÚC Vs Liptovský Mikuláš2-2
08/03/25APovažská Bystrica Vs PÚC4-0

PetržalkaPetržalka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/25HPET Vs Malženice0-0
04/05/25ASlovan Bratislava II Vs PET1-1
30/04/25HPET Vs Žilina II1-0
27/04/25HPET Vs Šamorín1-2
18/04/25APohronie Vs PET2-5
05/04/25ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs PET1-1
30/03/25HPET Vs Považská Bystrica1-1
22/03/25AHumenné Vs PET1-1
16/03/25HPET Vs Tatran Prešov1-0
09/03/25HPET Vs Stará Ľubovňa1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Púchov
Púchov
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.40
HomeWDWWW1.52
AwayLDLWW1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%43%37%
AVG goals3.183.003.33
Over 1.5 %80%78%81%
Over 2.5 %62%57%67%
Over 3.5 %40%43%37%
Scored1.541.571.52
Conceded1.641.431.81
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet28%30%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Petržalka
Petržalka
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD1.90
HomeWDLWD1.92
AwayLDDWD1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%58%54%
AVG goals2.802.583.00
Over 1.5 %76%67%85%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored1.821.751.88
Conceded0.980.831.12
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet34%42%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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