The model sees Spartak Trnava as the clear favourite, rating an away win at 62% against Púchov’s 13% home win and 25% draw. The edge comes from Spartak’s stronger away form, scoring 1.8 goals and conceding 1.5 against similar opponents, while Púchov averages only 1.0 scored and 1.57 conceded at home. The expected total is 2.4 goals, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 0-1, giving Spartak a 15% chance of a narrow win. Spartak’s recent run of four wins after a defeat and Púchov’s five-game streak of two wins, one loss, and two draws, with a recent 3-1 win, set the stage. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 at 99.7%, Home under 3.5 goals at 99.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0%, Under 6.5 at 98.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 goals at 97.2%, Under 5.5 at 96.6%, and Away +2 handicap at 96.5%.
Results analysis
Puchov’s recent form shows a shaky start, while Spartak Trnava’s winning streak keeps them in the hunt. The model’s favourite, an away win, came through as the final score of 1-3 confirmed the prediction. The model had given the away side a 62% chance of triumph, and it was right. The suggested picks were all settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Home under 3.5 goals at 99.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Under 6.5 at 98.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.0%, Home under 2.5 goals at 97.1%, Under 5.5 at 96.6% and Away +2 handicap at 96.5%. Each selection performed as forecasted, underscoring the model’s accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Púchov win✗ Miss
12.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava win✓ Hit
62.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Púchov
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.43
1.38
1.54
1.06
1.35
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.88
1.35
1.00
1.57
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (13)
1.62
1.54
1.83
1.50
1.43
1.57
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.20
1.81
0.81
1.50
1.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (19)
1.84
1.32
1.89
1.11
1.80
1.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
0.43
2.20
0.20
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.7%
Under 1.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.4%
Under 2.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.6%
Under 3.5
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.4%
No
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
15.0%
0-2
13.8%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
7.9%
1-3 ✓
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
Púchov goals ↓
Spartak Trnava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
15%
14%
7.9%
3.4%
1
5.0%
12%
9.0%
5.2%
2.2%
2
2.0%
3.4%
2.9%
1.7%
0.7%
3
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Púchov goals (down), columns = Spartak Trnava goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Žilina
2.75
Slovan Bratislava
2.50
Tatran Prešov
2.43
Fiľakovo
2.40
AS Trencin
2.40
Dunajska Streda
2.40
Slovan Duslo Šaľa
2.33
Šamorín
2.33
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.33
Podbrezová
2.29
Skalica
2.25
Námestovo
2.25
Komárno
2.25
Zemplín Michalovce
2.25
Ružomberok
2.25
Galanta
2.25
Humenné
2.25
FK Košice
2.12
Nová Baňa
2.00
Baník Kalinovo
2.00
Podkonice
2.00
Spišská Nová Ves
2.00
Poprad
2.00
Čadca
2.00
Novohrad Lučenec
2.00
Nitra
2.00
Brezno
2.00
Gerlachov
2.00
Oravan
2.00
Rača
2.00
MSK Tesla Stropkov
2.00
Gabčíkovo
2.00
Snina
2.00
Fomat Martin
2.00
Dolné Krškany
2.00
Piešťany
2.00
Lokomotíva Zvolen
2.00
Inter Bratislava
2.00
MFK Bytča
2.00
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Petržalka
2.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
2.00
Trenčianske Stankovce
1.75
Partizán Bardejov
1.75
Púchov
1.75
Višňové
1.67
Spartak Trnava
1.60
Holíč
1.50
Kysucké Nové Mesto
1.50
Jednota Bánová
1.50
Lovca
1.50
Harichovce
1.50
Vinohrad Čebovce
1.50
Levoča
1.50
Šenkvice
1.50
Baník Prievidza
1.50
Svätý Jur
1.50
Dunajská Lužná
1.50
Kováčová
1.50
Rožňava
1.50
Tvrdošín
1.50
Slovan Kendice
1.50
Geča
1.50
Beluša
1.50
Starý Smokovec
1.50
Veľké Ludince
1.50
Vranov nad Topľou
1.50
Svaty Peter
1.50
Trebatice
1.50
Pohronie
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.50
Spartak Myjava
1.33
Nové Zámky
1.33
Malinovo
1.33
Tatran Krásno
1.33
Jakubov
1.33
Druzstevnik Latky
1.33
Oravské Veselé
1.33
Lokomotíva Košice
1.33
Slávia TU Košice
1.33
Družstevník Čirč
1.04
Ostrovany
1.04
Rovnost Krajne
1.04
Kovarce
1.04
V. Kapusany
1.04
Zahradne
1.04
Divina
1.04
Hranovnica
1.04
Cicarovce
1.04
Kopčany
1.04
Slovan Vavrečka
1.04
Slovan Giraltovce
1.04
Vycapy Opatovce
1.04
Boleráz
1.00
Bernolákovo
1.00
Zitavany
1.00
Sokol Borský Mikuláš
1.00
Kostolné Kračany
1.00
Spišské Podhradie
0.67
Nová Dedinka
0.67
Malženice
0.67
Jelka
0.50
Priechod
0.50
Slovan Nitra-Chrenová
0.50
Čaňa
0.50
Priehrada
0.50
Kechnec
0.00
Rohožník
0.00
Tomášov
0.00
Spartak Kvašov
0.00
Šoporňa
0.00
Kysučan Korňa
0.00
Príbelce
0.00
FC Topoľčany
0.00
Slovan Tomášovce
0.00
Raslavice
0.00
Rosina
0.00
Sokol Brezovica
0.00
Dynamo Diviaky
0.00
Nové Mesto nad Váhom
0.00
Slovan Halic
0.00
Partizán Osrblie
0.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
0.00
Hronec
0.00
Družstevník Bešeňov
0.00
Rudňany
0.00
Závažná Poruba
0.00
Spartak Medzev
0.00
Púchov is 0.15 points better than Spartak Trnava in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gerlachov
5.50
Zlaté Moravce
5.00
Nová Baňa
4.50
Slávia TU Košice
4.33
Podkonice
4.00
Čadca
4.00
Novohrad Lučenec
4.00
Svätý Jur
4.00
Beluša
4.00
Slovan Bratislava
4.00
Zemplín Michalovce
4.00
Ružomberok
4.00
AS Trencin
3.80
Galanta
3.75
FK Košice
3.50
Baník Prievidza
3.50
Žilina
3.50
Tatran Prešov
3.43
Námestovo
3.25
MSK Tesla Stropkov
3.25
Podbrezová
3.14
Skalica
3.00
Starý Smokovec
3.00
Snina
3.00
Inter Bratislava
3.00
Považská Bystrica
3.00
Komárno
2.75
Humenné
2.75
Baník Kalinovo
2.67
Poprad
2.67
Druzstevnik Latky
2.67
Šamorín
2.67
Nitra
2.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
2.60
Holíč
2.50
Spišská Nová Ves
2.50
Kováčová
2.50
Slovan Duslo Šaľa
2.33
Malinovo
2.33
Brezno
2.33
Fomat Martin
2.33
Lokomotíva Košice
2.33
Lokomotíva Zvolen
2.33
Petržalka
2.33
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.33
Trenčianske Stankovce
2.25
Spartak Trnava
2.20
Spartak Myjava
2.00
Kysucké Nové Mesto
2.00
Fiľakovo
2.00
Tatran Krásno
2.00
Kysučan Korňa
2.00
Slovan Tomášovce
2.00
Oravan
2.00
Tvrdošín
2.00
Slovan Kendice
2.00
Geča
2.00
Sokol Brezovica
2.00
Dynamo Diviaky
2.00
Veľké Ludince
2.00
Nové Mesto nad Váhom
2.00
Partizán Bardejov
2.00
Trebatice
2.00
Pohronie
2.00
MFK Bytča
2.00
Dunajska Streda
2.00
Púchov
1.75
Nové Zámky
1.67
Višňové
1.67
Rača
1.67
Gabčíkovo
1.67
Družstevník Čirč
1.63
Ostrovany
1.63
Rovnost Krajne
1.63
Kovarce
1.63
V. Kapusany
1.63
Zahradne
1.63
Divina
1.63
Hranovnica
1.63
Cicarovce
1.63
Kopčany
1.63
Slovan Vavrečka
1.63
Slovan Giraltovce
1.63
Vycapy Opatovce
1.63
Jednota Bánová
1.50
Šenkvice
1.50
Rožňava
1.50
Dolné Krškany
1.50
Piešťany
1.33
Lovca
1.00
Boleráz
1.00
Čaňa
1.00
Šoporňa
1.00
Vinohrad Čebovce
1.00
Spišské Podhradie
1.00
Levoča
1.00
FC Topoľčany
1.00
Bernolákovo
1.00
Zitavany
1.00
Jakubov
1.00
Dunajská Lužná
1.00
Raslavice
1.00
Sokol Borský Mikuláš
1.00
Oravské Veselé
1.00
Nová Dedinka
1.00
Vranov nad Topľou
1.00
Slovan Halic
1.00
Partizán Osrblie
1.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.00
Priehrada
1.00
Malženice
1.00
Slovan Nitra-Chrenová
0.50
Harichovce
0.50
Svaty Peter
0.50
Jelka
0.00
Kechnec
0.00
Rohožník
0.00
Tomášov
0.00
Priechod
0.00
Spartak Kvašov
0.00
Príbelce
0.00
Rosina
0.00
Hronec
0.00
Družstevník Bešeňov
0.00
Rudňany
0.00
Závažná Poruba
0.00
Spartak Medzev
0.00
Kostolné Kračany
0.00
Púchov is 0.45 goals worse than Spartak Trnava in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
MFK Bytča
0.00
Kostolné Kračany
0.00
Spišská Nová Ves
0.50
Priechod
0.50
Humenné
0.50
Žilina
0.50
Spartak Myjava
0.67
Rača
0.67
Fomat Martin
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Námestovo
0.75
Nitra
0.80
Dunajska Streda
0.80
Tatran Prešov
0.86
Slovan Duslo Šaľa
1.00
Skalica
1.00
Lovca
1.00
Boleráz
1.00
Bernolákovo
1.00
Zitavany
1.00
Kováčová
1.00
Rožňava
1.00
Tvrdošín
1.00
Sokol Borský Mikuláš
1.00
Gabčíkovo
1.00
Snina
1.00
Dolné Krškany
1.00
Slovan Bratislava
1.00
Komárno
1.00
Zemplín Michalovce
1.00
AS Trencin
1.00
Inter Bratislava
1.00
Považská Bystrica
1.00
Šamorín
1.00
Rudňany
1.00
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Podbrezová
1.14
Púchov
1.25
Galanta
1.25
Podkonice
1.33
Višňové
1.33
Poprad
1.33
Druzstevnik Latky
1.33
Zlaté Moravce
1.33
Petržalka
1.33
FK Košice
1.38
Spartak Trnava
1.40
Nová Baňa
1.50
Kysucké Nové Mesto
1.50
Slovan Nitra-Chrenová
1.50
Čadca
1.50
Novohrad Lučenec
1.50
Baník Prievidza
1.50
Svätý Jur
1.50
Dunajská Lužná
1.50
MSK Tesla Stropkov
1.50
Partizán Bardejov
1.50
Ružomberok
1.50
Pohronie
1.50
Fiľakovo
1.60
Malinovo
1.67
Jakubov
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Jelka
2.00
Kechnec
2.00
Nové Zámky
2.00
Tomášov
2.00
Trenčianske Stankovce
2.00
Harichovce
2.00
Šoporňa
2.00
Tatran Krásno
2.00
Levoča
2.00
FC Topoľčany
2.00
Brezno
2.00
Gerlachov
2.00
Rosina
2.00
Geča
2.00
Oravské Veselé
2.00
Veľké Ludince
2.00
Vranov nad Topľou
2.00
Slovan Halic
2.00
Lokomotíva Košice
2.00
Priehrada
2.00
Závažná Poruba
2.00
Spartak Medzev
2.00
Družstevník Čirč
2.30
Ostrovany
2.30
Rovnost Krajne
2.30
Kovarce
2.30
V. Kapusany
2.30
Zahradne
2.30
Divina
2.30
Hranovnica
2.30
Cicarovce
2.30
Kopčany
2.30
Slovan Vavrečka
2.30
Slovan Giraltovce
2.30
Vycapy Opatovce
2.30
Baník Kalinovo
2.33
Nová Dedinka
2.33
Piešťany
2.33
Slávia TU Košice
2.33
Jednota Bánová
2.50
Beluša
2.50
Starý Smokovec
2.50
Oravan
2.67
Spartak Kvašov
3.00
Spišské Podhradie
3.00
Slovan Tomášovce
3.00
Šenkvice
3.00
Slovan Kendice
3.00
Sokol Brezovica
3.00
Dynamo Diviaky
3.00
Svaty Peter
3.00
Trebatice
3.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
3.00
Hronec
3.00
Holíč
3.50
Rohožník
4.00
Čaňa
4.00
Raslavice
4.00
Vinohrad Čebovce
4.50
Príbelce
5.00
Nové Mesto nad Váhom
5.00
Družstevník Bešeňov
5.00
Kysučan Korňa
7.00
Partizán Osrblie
7.00
Púchov is 0.15 goals better than Spartak Trnava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Púchov or Draw✗ Miss
37.8%
Avg Implied -
13%
25%
62%
covers Púchov + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Púchov or Spartak Trnava✓ Hit
74.8%
Avg Implied -
13%
25%
62%
covers Púchov + Spartak Trnava
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Spartak Trnava✓ Hit
87.3%
Avg Implied -
13%
25%
62%
covers Draw + Spartak Trnava
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Púchov over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
48.0%
Under
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.1%
Under
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
51.4%
Under
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
24.9%
Under
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Púchov, so a minus line means Púchov give that many goals of a start and Spartak Trnava receive them. At -1, Púchov must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Púchov win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Púchov)Actual: Spartak Trnava
Púchov -2
0.7%
Draw -2
2.8%
Spartak Trnava +2
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Púchov)Actual: Spartak Trnava
Púchov -1
3.5%
Draw -1
9.1%
Spartak Trnava +1
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Púchov)Actual: Spartak Trnava
Púchov +1
37.8%
Draw +1
25.8%
Spartak Trnava -1
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Púchov)Actual: Draw
Púchov +2
63.7%
Draw +2
19.7%
Spartak Trnava -2
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Púchov
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.62
0.77
0.41
0.82
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.24
0.76
0.14
0.57
0.30
0.90
vs Weaker (13)
0.85
0.85
1.17
1.00
0.57
0.71
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.81
0.50
0.64
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.74
0.44
0.67
0.70
0.80
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.29
1.80
0.20
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.9%
Under 0.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.7%
Under 1.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.1%
Under 2.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Púchov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.7%
Under
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
64.2%
Under
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.2%
Under
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.9%
Under
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Púchov
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.77
0.77
0.65
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.59
0.86
1.00
0.50
0.30
vs Weaker (13)
0.77
0.69
0.67
0.50
0.86
0.86
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Trnava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Trnava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
1.00
0.31
0.86
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (19)
1.26
0.58
1.44
0.44
1.10
0.70
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
0.14
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.6%
Under 0.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
57.1%
Under 1.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.9%
Under 2.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Púchov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.4%
Under
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
68.5%
Under
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
33.0%
Under
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Trnava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.6%
Under
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Spartak Trnava · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hilary Gong33%
Idjessi Metsoko31%
Patrick Nwadike25%
Erik Daniel20%
Timotej Kudlicka20%
Luka Khorkheli20%
Philip Azango13%
Jakub Paur12%
Roman Procházka11%
Miloš Kratochvíl11%
Abdulrahman Taiwo11%
Erik Sabo11%
Martin Mikovič6%
Michal Ďuriš0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Filip Twardzik0%
Michal Tomič0%
Martin Vantruba0%
Marin Laušić0%
Libor Holík0%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Žiga Frelih0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Roko Jureškin0%
Stefan Skrbo0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Paur35%
Timotej Kudlicka30%
Martin Mikovič25%
Kristián Koštrna25%
Miloš Kratochvíl22%
Lazar Stojsavljević18%
Martin Vantruba17%
Erik Sabo17%
Filip Twardzik13%
Žiga Frelih13%
Roko Jureškin12%
Roman Procházka11%
Abdulrahman Taiwo11%
Libor Holík8%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili8%
Idjessi Metsoko8%
Luka Khorkheli7%
Michal Ďuriš6%
Stefan Skrbo6%
Philip Azango0%
Hilary Gong0%
Erik Daniel0%
Michal Tomič0%
Marin Laušić0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Patrick Nwadike0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marin Laušić25%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili23%
Erik Daniel20%
Martin Mikovič19%
Michal Tomič14%
Luka Khorkheli13%
Miloš Kratochvíl11%
Hilary Gong11%
Abdulrahman Taiwo11%
Erik Sabo11%
Stefan Skrbo11%
Libor Holík8%
Roko Jureškin6%
Jakub Paur6%
Roman Procházka0%
Philip Azango0%
Michal Ďuriš0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Filip Twardzik0%
Martin Vantruba0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Žiga Frelih0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Patrick Nwadike0%
Timotej Kudlicka0%
Idjessi Metsoko0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Nwadike25%
Timotej Kudlicka15%
Hilary Gong11%
Abdulrahman Taiwo11%
Stefan Skrbo11%
Idjessi Metsoko8%
Jakub Paur6%
Miloš Kratochvíl6%
Roman Procházka0%
Philip Azango0%
Michal Ďuriš0%
Martin Mikovič0%
Kristián Koštrna0%
Erik Daniel0%
Filip Twardzik0%
Michal Tomič0%
Martin Vantruba0%
Marin Laušić0%
Libor Holík0%
Giorgi Moistsrapishvili0%
Lazar Stojsavljević0%
Erik Sabo0%
Žiga Frelih0%
Cédric Badolo0%
Roko Jureškin0%
Luka Khorkheli0%
Marek Ujlaky0%
Patrick Karhan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Slovakia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →