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Púchov vs Zlaté Moravce Result & Analysis

Date: 26/10/2024
Time: 11:30
Final 0-1
Púchov
Púchov
Vs
35%
32%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zlaté Moravce
Zlaté Moravce
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Púchov win✗ Miss
35.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce win✓ Hit
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PúchovPúchov

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W00D11D23L30W13L10W31W02L11DA·LED27/08A·POH30/08H·POV06/09A·SLO22/09A·SPA25/09H·MAL28/09H·STA05/10H·ŠAM12/10H·POD16/10A·LOK19/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.631.431.571.691.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.682.001.451.642.002.50
vs Weaker (11)1.361.001.331.331.380.88
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W50W01L40W02L12L30W10W11D00DH·POV23/08A·NAF28/08A·LIP31/08H·ŽIL13/09A·POH20/09H·ŠAM27/09A·SER09/10A·SLO14/10H·MAL18/10H·STA22/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.531.291.431.191.62
vs Stronger (12)2.001.922.001.832.002.00
vs Similar (17)0.711.350.751.120.671.56
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.1%
Under 1.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.9%
Under 2.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.5%
Under 3.5
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.2%
No
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
11.3%
0-1 ✓
10.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
Púchov goals ↓
Zlaté Moravce goals →
01234
013%11%6.4%2.3%0.6%
111%15%7.1%2.5%0.7%
27.0%7.4%4.0%1.4%0.4%
32.6%2.8%1.5%0.5%0.1%
40.7%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Púchov goals (down), columns = Zlaté Moravce goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Púchov is 0.50 points worse than Zlaté Moravce in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Púchov is 0.04 goals better than Zlaté Moravce in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.58).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Púchov is 0.69 goals worse than Zlaté Moravce in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 0.69).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PúchovPúchov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D11D21W10W00D00D21W01L11DA·LED27/08A·POH30/08H·POV06/09A·SLO22/09A·SPA25/09H·MAL28/09H·STA05/10H·ŠAM12/10H·POD16/10A·LOK19/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.830.790.790.880.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.891.050.820.911.001.25
vs Weaker (11)0.730.450.670.330.750.50
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W01L20W01L11D00D10W10W00DH·POV23/08A·NAF28/08A·LIP31/08H·ŽIL13/09A·POH20/09H·ŠAM27/09A·SER09/10A·SLO14/10H·MAL18/10H·STA22/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.860.430.440.81
vs Stronger (12)0.920.831.330.670.501.00
vs Similar (17)0.410.530.500.250.330.78
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Púchov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PúchovPúchov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D00D02L20W13L10W10W01L00DA·LED27/08A·POH30/08H·POV06/09A·SLO22/09A·SPA25/09H·MAL28/09H·STA05/10H·ŠAM12/10H·POD16/10A·LOK19/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.640.790.810.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.790.950.640.731.001.25
vs Weaker (11)0.640.550.671.000.620.38
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Zlaté Moravce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W00D20W01L01L30W00D01L00DH·POV23/08A·NAF28/08A·LIP31/08H·ŽIL13/09A·POH20/09H·ŠAM27/09A·SER09/10A·SLO14/10H·MAL18/10H·STA22/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.431.000.750.81
vs Stronger (12)1.081.080.671.171.501.00
vs Similar (17)0.290.820.250.880.330.78
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Púchov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Púchov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Púchov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zlaté Moravce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Zlaté Moravce · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marek Kuzma31%
Jakub Švec29%
Roman Čerepkai25%
Adam Brenkus12%
Levan Nonikashvili9%
Iuri Tabatadze9%
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava8%
Filip Balaj7%
Denis Duga7%
Karol Mondek6%
Matúš Čonka0%
Karol Mészáros0%
Andrija Balić0%
Vladimír Majdan0%
Matej Moško0%
Samuel Suľa0%
Milan Knobloch0%
Soufiane Dramé0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Miroslav Gono0%
Richard Nagy0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Marek Švec0%
Patrik Richter0%
Samuel Hodúr0%
Patrik Dulay0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miroslav Gono36%
Patrik Mijić33%
Denis Duga29%
Richard Nagy27%
Andrija Balić23%
Matej Moško20%
Adam Brenkus19%
Levan Nonikashvili18%
Samuel Suľa18%
Marek Kuzma15%
Filip Balaj14%
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava8%
Vladimír Majdan7%
Karol Mondek6%
Matúš Čonka0%
Karol Mészáros0%
Jakub Švec0%
Milan Knobloch0%
Soufiane Dramé0%
Iuri Tabatadze0%
Roman Čerepkai0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Marek Švec0%
Patrik Richter0%
Samuel Hodúr0%
Patrik Dulay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrik Dulay29%
Samuel Hodúr20%
Matúš Čonka17%
Karol Mondek12%
Karol Mészáros11%
Levan Nonikashvili9%
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava8%
Miroslav Gono7%
Andrija Balić0%
Adam Brenkus0%
Vladimír Majdan0%
Matej Moško0%
Samuel Suľa0%
Filip Balaj0%
Marek Kuzma0%
Denis Duga0%
Jakub Švec0%
Milan Knobloch0%
Soufiane Dramé0%
Iuri Tabatadze0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Roman Čerepkai0%
Richard Nagy0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Marek Švec0%
Patrik Richter0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Brenkus12%
Karol Mészáros11%
Karol Mondek6%
Matúš Čonka0%
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava0%
Levan Nonikashvili0%
Andrija Balić0%
Vladimír Majdan0%
Matej Moško0%
Samuel Suľa0%
Filip Balaj0%
Marek Kuzma0%
Denis Duga0%
Jakub Švec0%
Milan Knobloch0%
Soufiane Dramé0%
Iuri Tabatadze0%
Patrik Mijić0%
Roman Čerepkai0%
Miroslav Gono0%
Richard Nagy0%
Patrik Lukáč0%
Marek Švec0%
Patrik Richter0%
Samuel Hodúr0%
Patrik Dulay0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
PÚC wins
0
Draws
0
ZM wins

Head-to-head

Púchov vs Zlaté Moravce · H/A from PÚC
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

PúchovPúchov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24ALokomotíva Zvolen Vs PÚC1-1
16/10/24HPÚC Vs Podbrezová0-2
12/10/24HPÚC Vs Šamorín3-1
05/10/24HPÚC Vs Stará Ľubovňa1-0
28/09/24HPÚC Vs Malženice1-3
25/09/24ASpartak Kvašov Vs PÚC0-3
22/09/24ASlovan Bratislava II Vs PÚC3-2
06/09/24HPÚC Vs Považská Bystrica1-1
30/08/24APohronie Vs PÚC0-0
27/08/24ALednické Rovne Vs PÚC1-4

Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/24HZM Vs Stará Ľubovňa0-0
18/10/24HZM Vs Malženice1-1
14/10/24ASlovan Bratislava II Vs ZM0-1
09/10/24ASereď Vs ZM0-3
27/09/24HZM Vs Šamorín1-2
20/09/24APohronie Vs ZM2-0
13/09/24HZM Vs Žilina II4-0
31/08/24ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs ZM1-0
28/08/24ANafta Gbely Vs ZM0-5
23/08/24HZM Vs Považská Bystrica3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Púchov
Púchov
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLD1.40
HomeDLWWL1.38
AwayWDLWD1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%38%42%
AVG goals3.202.853.58
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %44%38%50%
Scored1.641.421.88
Conceded1.561.421.71
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet32%31%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Zlaté Moravce
Zlaté Moravce
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD0.84
HomeWWLDD0.79
AwayWLLWW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%17%27%
AVG goals2.562.672.46
Over 1.5 %72%83%62%
Over 2.5 %46%54%38%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored0.981.120.85
Conceded1.581.541.62
BTTS38%54%23%
Clean Sheet24%17%31%
Corners9.679.789.56
Cards3.724.283.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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