Puskas Academy are tipped to lift the trophy at home, a 53% chance of victory against Budapest Honved’s 21% chance of a win and a 25% draw probability. The model expects a modest 2.8-goal encounter, with the most likely total of two goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.1% chance, though the final outcome is a 1-0 home win. Puskas, playing against a weaker side, averages a clean sheet at home, scoring one goal per game, while Budapest, facing a stronger opponent away, concedes three goals on average and scores one. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 94.7%, Over 3.5 cards at 86.8%, Over 8.5 corners at 79.2%, Over 1.5 at 78.7% (missed), and Over 4.5 cards at 74.4%. The home side’s recent form shows a 4-game winning streak after a loss, while the away side has a 1-game win followed by three defeats.
Results analysis
Puskas Academy’s recent run of LWWWL, now coming off a defeat, set the stage for a tight encounter, while Budapest Honved’s WLDDD form, after a win, suggested resilience on the road. The model predicted a Home win with a 53% probability, and that call proved correct as Puskas Academy edged Budapest Honved 1-0. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was right. The model’s selection Over 1.5, with a 78.7% probability, missed as the match produced only one goal. The final score of 1-0 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s home advantage assessment and highlighting a tough day for the suggested picks.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Puskas Academy win✓ Hit
53.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Puskas Academy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.08
0.92
1.00
0.40
1.14
1.29
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
1.20
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.33
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Budapest Honved
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
2.40
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (8)
1.00
1.50
0.50
0.75
1.50
2.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.1%
Under 2.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.4%
No
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-0 ✓
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
Puskas Academy goals ↓
Budapest Honved goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
5.0%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
1
9.3%
12%
5.8%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.3%
9.8%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
3
5.6%
5.9%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.5%
2.6%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Puskas Academy goals (down), columns = Budapest Honved goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
1.91
Kecskeméti TE
1.73
Debreceni VSC
1.64
Puskas Academy
1.61
Paks
1.48
Kisvarda FC
1.30
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.27
Ujpest
1.24
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.18
Fehérvár FC
1.06
Budapest Honved
1.00
Vasas
0.79
Puskas Academy is 0.61 points better than Budapest Honved in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
1.88
Paks
1.73
Debreceni VSC
1.58
Kecskeméti TE
1.45
Puskas Academy
1.45
Kisvarda FC
1.30
Ujpest
1.27
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.21
Fehérvár FC
1.15
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.12
Budapest Honved
1.03
Vasas
0.88
Puskas Academy is 0.42 goals better than Budapest Honved in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Kecskeméti TE
0.97
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.18
Puskas Academy
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Vasas
1.30
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.30
Kisvarda FC
1.48
Budapest Honved
1.55
Ujpest
1.67
Paks
1.73
Puskas Academy is 0.27 goals better than Budapest Honved in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Puskas Academy
For 3.6 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Budapest Honved
For 5.7 · Against 6.7 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Puskas Academy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (12)
10.4
8.5
11.7
2.0
3.6
0.9
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
-
8.0
3.0
-
3.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
11.0
8.5
13.5
2.1
4.5
0.5
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
0%
67%
17%
40%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
60%
100%
33%
83%
60%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Budapest Honved
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (10)
12.3
14.0
9.0
1.6
2.4
0.8
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
13.0
13.0
-
3.0
6.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
12.0
15.0
9.0
1.2
1.5
1.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
100%
0%
30%
40%
20%
-
-
-
% under line
33%
0%
100%
70%
60%
80%
-
-
-
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
16.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
15.0
Debreceni VSC
13.0
Budapest Honved
12.3
Ujpest
11.0
Puskas Academy
10.4
Ferencvarosi TC
10.2
Fehérvár FC
10.0
Kisvarda FC
9.4
Mezokovesd-zsory
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ujpest
8.0
Zalaegerszegi TE
7.5
Paks
6.5
Puskas Academy
6.0
Fehérvár FC
5.9
Budapest Honved
5.3
Debreceni VSC
5.0
Ferencvarosi TC
4.8
Kisvarda FC
4.2
Mezokovesd-zsory
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ferencvarosi TC
26.1
Fehérvár FC
15.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
68.9%
Under 9.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
86.8%
Under 3.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Puskas Academy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.25
0.58
0.20
0.20
0.29
0.86
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
0.30
0.70
0.25
0.25
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Budapest Honved
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.90
0.80
0.40
0.40
1.40
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Puskas Academy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Puskas Academy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.33
0.80
0.20
0.86
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.30
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Budapest Honved
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.90
0.20
0.80
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.25
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Puskas Academy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Puskas Academy · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lamin Colley50%
Georgiy Harutyunyan40%
Palkó Dárdai20%
Dániel Lukács20%
András Németh20%
Martin Kern20%
Urho Nissilä0%
Mikael Soisalo0%
Roland Szolnoki0%
Laros Duarte0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Wojciech Golla0%
Michael Okeke0%
Bendegúz Lehoczki0%
Roland Orján0%
Zsombor Varga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roland Orján67%
Martin Kern60%
Lamin Colley50%
Laros Duarte25%
Wojciech Golla20%
András Németh20%
Michael Okeke20%
Zsombor Varga20%
Urho Nissilä0%
Mikael Soisalo0%
Palkó Dárdai0%
Dániel Lukács0%
Roland Szolnoki0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Georgiy Harutyunyan0%
Bendegúz Lehoczki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Urho Nissilä33%
Roland Szolnoki25%
Palkó Dárdai20%
Dániel Lukács20%
András Németh20%
Mikael Soisalo0%
Laros Duarte0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Wojciech Golla0%
Lamin Colley0%
Michael Okeke0%
Georgiy Harutyunyan0%
Martin Kern0%
Bendegúz Lehoczki0%
Roland Orján0%
Zsombor Varga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lamin Colley25%
Dániel Lukács20%
Urho Nissilä0%
Mikael Soisalo0%
Palkó Dárdai0%
Roland Szolnoki0%
Laros Duarte0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Wojciech Golla0%
András Németh0%
Michael Okeke0%
Georgiy Harutyunyan0%
Martin Kern0%
Bendegúz Lehoczki0%
Roland Orján0%
Zsombor Varga0%
Budapest Honved · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominik Csontos50%
Ádam Szamosi50%
Ákos Baki33%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ádam Somogyi25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Deian Boldor0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ákos Zuigéber0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Deian Boldor50%
Szilveszter Hangya25%
Dominik Csontos25%
Kevin Kállai25%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Tamás Somogyi0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Ádam Szamosi0%
Ákos Zuigéber0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Csontos50%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ákos Zuigéber25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Deian Boldor0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Ádam Szamosi0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ádam Szamosi50%
Deian Boldor25%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ákos Zuigéber25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Dominik Csontos0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
Puskas Academy's squad is €6m more valuable than Budapest Honved's (€11m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
Puskas Academy's attack is €3m more valuable than Budapest Honved's (€5m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
KT (2)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
Puskas Academy's midfield is €1m more valuable than Budapest Honved's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
KT (11)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
Puskas Academy's defence is €1m more valuable than Budapest Honved's (€4m vs €3m).
Hungary: NB I 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ferencvarosi TC
Kecskeméti TE
Debreceni VSC
Paks
Kisvarda FC
Mezokovesd-zsory
Ujpest
Zalaegerszegi TE
Fehérvár FC
Vasas