Puskas Academy vs Ferencvarosi TC Result & Analysis

Puskas Academy’s recent form, a 1-2 loss to Ferencvarosi TC, signals a shaky start, while Ferencvarosi’s four-game winning streak, capped by a 2-1 victory over Puskas, suggests a sharp edge. The model favours an away win, giving the home side a 24% chance, a draw 23%, and the visitors 53%. The expected total of 3.4 goals points to a high-scoring affair, with the most likely total being 3 goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 10.2% chance. Ferencvarosi, playing away against a weaker opponent, averages 2.77 goals scored and 1.15 conceded, while Puskas, at home, has a comparable scoring and conceding profile against stronger teams. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 86.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 86.0%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.1%, and Over 3.5 cards at 71.3%. Each of these selections carries its own probability, independent of the match-result odds.

The pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win, failed to materialise as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s prediction incorrect. Puskas Academy, coming off a defeat, and Ferencvarosi TC, on a four-game winning run, were evenly matched. The model had assigned a 53% probability to an away victory, yet the result was a stalemate. All suggested selections were settled: Over 2.5 cards hit at 86.2%, Over 1.5 hit at 86.0%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 78.1%, and Over 3.5 cards hit at 71.3%. The final score of 1-1 matched the model’s most likely score of 1-1, which had a 10.2% probability.