This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MTK Budapest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.57
2.47
1.67
1.53
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.75
1.50
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
2.20
1.48
2.62
1.62
1.75
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.2%
Under 2.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
Puskas Academy goals ↓
MTK Budapest goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
5.0%
3.7%
1.5%
0.5%
1
7.6%
12%
6.7%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.7%
9.6%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
3
4.6%
5.7%
3.5%
1.5%
0.5%
4
2.0%
2.5%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Puskas Academy goals (down), columns = MTK Budapest goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Gyori ETO FC
2.09
Ferencvarosi TC
2.06
Paks
1.61
Debreceni VSC
1.61
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.45
Puskas Academy
1.39
Ujpest
1.21
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Nyiregyhaza
1.21
MTK Budapest
1.15
Diosgyori VTK
0.85
Kazincbarcikai
0.67
Puskas Academy is 0.24 points better than MTK Budapest in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.97
Paks
1.91
MTK Budapest
1.67
Debreceni VSC
1.55
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.48
Ujpest
1.45
Nyiregyhaza
1.42
Puskas Academy
1.30
Diosgyori VTK
1.18
Kisvarda FC
1.09
Kazincbarcikai
0.94
Puskas Academy is 0.36 goals worse than MTK Budapest in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gyori ETO FC
0.91
Ferencvarosi TC
0.94
Debreceni VSC
1.24
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Puskas Academy
1.30
Paks
1.39
Kisvarda FC
1.48
Ujpest
1.73
Nyiregyhaza
1.73
MTK Budapest
1.88
Diosgyori VTK
1.97
Kazincbarcikai
2.12
Puskas Academy is 0.58 goals better than MTK Budapest in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.88).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
57%
Gyori ETO FC
55%
Ujpest
53%
Zalaegerszegi TE
51%
Debreceni VSC
50%
MTK Budapest
49%
Kisvarda FC
49%
Paks
47%
Diosgyori VTK
46%
Puskas Academy
44%
Puskas Academy is 5.5 percentage points worse than MTK Budapest in terms of average possession (44% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Puskas Academy
For 5.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 11.4 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
MTK Budapest
For 4.2 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Puskas Academy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.0
9.4
3.6
4.0
3.3
27.5
26.9
28.0
vs Stronger (6)
11.3
13.5
10.2
5.5
9.0
3.8
30.7
32.0
30.0
vs Similar (42)
9.4
9.5
9.2
3.5
3.6
3.4
26.8
26.2
27.5
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
53%
53%
53%
50%
52%
48%
81%
71%
89%
% under line
47%
47%
47%
50%
48%
52%
19%
29%
11%
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MTK Budapest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.6
10.2
2.7
2.8
2.7
24.2
24.6
23.9
vs Stronger (5)
9.2
9.7
8.0
2.0
3.0
0.5
22.8
24.0
19.0
vs Similar (42)
9.4
8.3
10.4
3.0
2.7
3.3
24.1
24.7
23.6
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
34.0
-
34.0
% over line
53%
44%
62%
38%
38%
38%
70%
75%
65%
% under line
47%
56%
38%
62%
62%
62%
30%
25%
35%
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gyori ETO FC
13.0
Paks
11.0
Debreceni VSC
10.4
Kisvarda FC
10.1
Diosgyori VTK
9.8
Ferencvarosi TC
9.4
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.4
MTK Budapest
9.3
Ujpest
9.2
Puskas Academy
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Debreceni VSC
5.0
Puskas Academy
5.0
Ferencvarosi TC
4.8
Ujpest
4.7
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.7
Paks
4.7
Diosgyori VTK
4.4
Kisvarda FC
4.2
MTK Budapest
4.0
Gyori ETO FC
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Puskas Academy
27.5
Paks
27.4
Debreceni VSC
27.3
Ferencvarosi TC
26.7
Ujpest
25.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
25.2
Diosgyori VTK
24.9
MTK Budapest
23.5
Kisvarda FC
23.4
Gyori ETO FC
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.2%
Under 9.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.4%
Under 3.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
78.1%
Under 21.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Puskas Academy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.85
0.62
0.47
0.76
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.77
0.91
0.73
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MTK Budapest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.90
0.87
1.07
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.76
1.00
0.92
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Puskas Academy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Puskas Academy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
1.08
0.92
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.85
1.09
1.00
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MTK Budapest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.67
1.60
0.60
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.36
0.72
1.62
0.69
1.08
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Puskas Academy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Puskas Academy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Puskas Academy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Puskas Academy
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dániel Lukács41%
Zsolt Nagy25%
Joel Fameyeh11%
Lamin Colley11%
András Németh11%
Zsolt Magyar10%
Martin Kern7%
Roland Szolnoki6%
Artem Favorov6%
Palkó Dárdai5%
Ákos Markgráf4%
Urho Nissilä0%
Mikael Soisalo0%
Zoárd Nagy0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Laros Duarte0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Wojciech Golla0%
Quentin Maceiras0%
Patrizio Stronati0%
Michael Okeke0%
Georgiy Harutyunyan0%
Moshe Semel0%
Bence Vékony0%
Roland Orján0%
Kevin Mondovics0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Okeke50%
Roland Szolnoki38%
Ákos Markgráf31%
Zoárd Nagy25%
Artem Favorov25%
Laros Duarte23%
Lamin Colley22%
Zsolt Magyar20%
Dániel Lukács19%
Quentin Maceiras17%
Zsolt Nagy17%
Georgiy Harutyunyan14%
Martin Kern13%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill12%
Patrizio Stronati12%
Wojciech Golla12%
András Németh11%
Mikael Soisalo10%
Bence Vékony8%
Péter Szappanos8%
Joel Fameyeh6%
Palkó Dárdai5%
Urho Nissilä0%
Moshe Semel0%
Roland Orján0%
Kevin Mondovics0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Urho Nissilä17%
Laros Duarte15%
Quentin Maceiras13%
Artem Favorov12%
Moshe Semel9%
Dániel Lukács7%
András Németh5%
Mikael Soisalo5%
Georgiy Harutyunyan5%
Zsolt Nagy4%
Péter Szappanos4%
Joel Fameyeh0%
Palkó Dárdai0%
Zoárd Nagy0%
Roland Szolnoki0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Wojciech Golla0%
Patrizio Stronati0%
Lamin Colley0%
Zsolt Magyar0%
Michael Okeke0%
Martin Kern0%
Bence Vékony0%
Roland Orján0%
Kevin Mondovics0%
Ákos Markgráf0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zsolt Nagy29%
Lamin Colley22%
Joel Fameyeh17%
Dániel Lukács15%
András Németh11%
Zsolt Magyar10%
Roland Szolnoki6%
Wojciech Golla4%
Ákos Markgráf4%
Urho Nissilä0%
Mikael Soisalo0%
Palkó Dárdai0%
Zoárd Nagy0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Laros Duarte0%
Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill0%
Quentin Maceiras0%
Artem Favorov0%
Patrizio Stronati0%
Michael Okeke0%
Georgiy Harutyunyan0%
Moshe Semel0%
Martin Kern0%
Bence Vékony0%
Roland Orján0%
Kevin Mondovics0%
MTK Budapest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rajmund Molnár50%
Gábor Jurek33%
Ádin Molnár29%
István Átrok27%
Zalán Kerezsi25%
Péter Törőcsik20%
István Bognár14%
Róbert Polievka13%
Adrian Zeljković10%
Hunor Németh10%
Benedek Varju7%
Krisztián Németh5%
Mihály Kata5%
Artúr Horváth5%
Tamás Kádár0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
János Szépe0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Jakub Plšek0%
Marin Jurina0%
Krisztián Hegyi0%
Vilius Armalas0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Viktor Vitályos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mihály Kata35%
Patrik Kovács30%
Rajmund Molnár25%
Jakub Plšek21%
Krisztián Németh21%
Ilia Beriashvili18%
Benedek Varju14%
István Bognár14%
Hunor Németh14%
János Szépe13%
Vilius Armalas12%
Ádin Molnár12%
Marin Jurina11%
Adrian Zeljković10%
Zalán Kerezsi10%
Artúr Horváth10%
Tamás Kádár8%
Viktor Vitályos8%
István Átrok5%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Róbert Polievka0%
Péter Törőcsik0%
Krisztián Hegyi0%
Gábor Jurek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
István Bognár36%
Krisztián Németh16%
Patrik Kovács15%
Jakub Plšek14%
Róbert Polievka13%
Vilius Armalas12%
Ádin Molnár12%
Gábor Jurek11%
Marin Jurina11%
István Átrok9%
Benedek Varju7%
Artúr Horváth5%
Hunor Németh5%
Tamás Kádár0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
János Szépe0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Mihály Kata0%
Péter Törőcsik0%
Krisztián Hegyi0%
Rajmund Molnár0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Zalán Kerezsi0%
Viktor Vitályos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rajmund Molnár75%
Marin Jurina21%
Ádin Molnár21%
Zalán Kerezsi15%
István Bognár14%
Vilius Armalas12%
István Átrok9%
Róbert Polievka7%
Hunor Németh5%
Tamás Kádár0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
János Szépe0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Krisztián Németh0%
Jakub Plšek0%
Péter Törőcsik0%
Krisztián Hegyi0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Artúr Horváth0%
Gábor Jurek0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Viktor Vitályos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
DV (18)
€3m
KAZ (19)
€2m
Puskas Academy and MTK Budapest have a similar squad value (both €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
DV (5)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
Puskas Academy's attack is €2m more valuable than MTK Budapest's (€5m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
Puskas Academy's midfield is €2m less valuable than MTK Budapest's (€2m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
Puskas Academy and MTK Budapest have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Hungary: NB I 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Gyori ETO FC
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE
Ujpest
Nyiregyhaza
Kisvarda FC
Diosgyori VTK
Kazincbarcikai