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Pyunik II vs Araks Ararat Prediction & Stats

Date: 15/09/2026
Time: 12:00
Pyunik II
Pyunik II
Vs
54%
26%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Araks Ararat
Araks Ararat
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pyunik II are tipped to win, a 53% chance of a home victory against Araks Ararat’s 22% away win probability and 25% draw. The match is expected to produce 2.9 goals on average, with the most likely total being two goals at 24%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.9% chance. Pyunik II, playing at home against a stronger opponent, average 1.75 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Araks Ararat, on the road against a weaker side, average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.4%), Under 6.5 (97.0%), Under 5.5 (92.4%), Home +2 handicap (91.3%), Away under 2.5 goals (89.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (88.9%) and Home over 0.5 goals (83.7%). The home win probability is 53%, the draw 25%, and the away win 22%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pyunik II win
53.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat win
20.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Pyunik IIPyunik II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W01L32W20W10W10W42W22D33D10WA·ARA28/04H·AND06/05A·SYU11/05H·BEN19/05A·VAN26/05H·ARA04/08A·MIK10/08H·BAN15/08A·BEN19/08H·SAR02/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.471.751.191.501.79
vs Stronger (13)1.462.151.831.671.142.57
vs Similar (10)1.900.802.001.001.670.33
vs Weaker (7)1.571.141.000.672.001.50
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Araks Ararat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L42W01L31W02L32W17L31W11D12LA·SAR20/04H·ARA26/04H·BKM30/04H·MIK04/05A·HAY12/05H·ARA20/05A·AND26/05H·ARA09/08A·SHI15/08A·OLY01/09
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.771.601.471.072.07
vs Stronger (2)0.003.000.003.000.003.00
vs Similar (12)1.082.171.291.430.803.20
vs Weaker (16)1.691.312.141.291.331.33
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.0%
Under 1.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.0%
Under 2.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
Pyunik II goals ↓
Araks Ararat goals →
01234
07.2%5.1%3.2%1.1%0.3%
19.7%12%5.7%1.9%0.5%
29.6%9.8%5.0%1.7%0.4%
35.7%5.8%3.0%1.0%0.3%
42.5%2.6%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pyunik II goals (down), columns = Araks Ararat goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Pyunik II is 0.23 points better than Araks Ararat in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Pyunik II is 0.17 goals better than Araks Ararat in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Pyunik II is 0.27 goals better than Araks Ararat in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pyunik II or Draw
79.3%
Avg Implied -
54%
26%
21%
covers Pyunik II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II or Araks Ararat
74.4%
Avg Implied -
54%
26%
21%
covers Pyunik II + Araks Ararat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Araks Ararat
46.2%
Avg Implied -
54%
26%
21%
covers Draw + Araks Ararat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5
Over
83.0%
Under
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5
Over
52.9%
Under
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5
Over
26.2%
Under
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 3.5
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 0.5
Over
64.2%
Under
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 1.5
Over
27.4%
Under
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 2.5
Over
8.5%
Under
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 3.5
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Pyunik II, so a minus line means Pyunik II give that many goals of a start and Araks Ararat receive them. At -1, Pyunik II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pyunik II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Pyunik II)
Pyunik II -2
13.9%
Draw -2
16.9%
Araks Ararat +2
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Pyunik II)
Pyunik II -1
30.8%
Draw -1
23.0%
Araks Ararat +1
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Pyunik II)
Pyunik II +1
79.3%
Draw +1
12.8%
Araks Ararat -1
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Pyunik II)
Pyunik II +2
92.2%
Draw +2
5.6%
Araks Ararat -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Pyunik IIPyunik II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W00D00D10W10W11D13L00DA·ARA28/04H·AND06/05A·SYU11/05H·BEN19/05A·VAN26/05H·ARA04/08A·MIK10/08H·BAN15/08A·BEN19/08H·SAR02/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.810.440.360.79
vs Stronger (13)0.460.690.670.500.290.86
vs Similar (10)1.000.501.290.570.330.33
vs Weaker (7)0.290.570.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Araks Ararat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L21W00D10W01L21W12L00D01L11DA·SAR20/04H·ARA26/04H·BKM30/04H·MIK04/05A·HAY12/05H·ARA20/05A·AND26/05H·ARA09/08A·SHI15/08A·OLY01/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.670.730.600.93
vs Stronger (2)0.002.500.002.000.003.00
vs Similar (12)0.500.920.430.860.601.00
vs Weaker (16)0.810.561.000.430.670.67
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Pyunik IIPyunik II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L22D20W10W00D32W11D20W10WA·ARA28/04H·AND06/05A·SYU11/05H·BEN19/05A·VAN26/05H·ARA04/08A·MIK10/08H·BAN15/08A·BEN19/08H·SAR02/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.870.940.751.141.00
vs Stronger (13)1.001.461.171.170.861.71
vs Similar (10)0.900.300.710.431.330.00
vs Weaker (7)1.290.571.000.671.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Araks Ararat) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D21W01L21W01L11D05L31W10W01LA·SAR20/04H·ARA26/04H·BKM30/04H·MIK04/05A·HAY12/05H·ARA20/05A·AND26/05H·ARA09/08A·SHI15/08A·OLY01/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.930.930.730.471.13
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (12)0.581.250.860.570.202.20
vs Weaker (16)0.880.751.140.860.670.67
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araks Ararat over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.9%-------
Under 6.597.6%-------
Under 5.593.5%-------
Home +2 handicap92.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals91.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals89.6%-------
Under 4.584.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals83.0%-------
Home or Draw79.3%-------
Home +1 handicap79.3%-------
Over 1.578.0%-------
Home or Away74.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals73.8%-------
Away under 1.5 goals72.6%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
PI wins
1
Draws
0
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Pyunik II vs Araks Ararat · H/A from PI
DateH/AGameScore
14/04/26AAraks Ararat Vs PI2-2
02/10/25HPI Vs Araks Ararat3-2

Pyunik IIPyunik II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26HPI Vs Sardarapat 21-0
19/08/26ABentonit Ijevan Vs PI3-3
15/08/26HPI Vs Banants II2-2
10/08/26AMika Vs PI2-4
04/08/26HPI Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-0
26/05/26AVan II Vs PI0-1
19/05/26HPI Vs Bentonit Ijevan2-0
11/05/26ASyunik Vs PI2-3
06/05/26HPI Vs Andranik0-1
28/04/26AArarat-Armenia II Vs PI1-3

Araks AraratAraks Ararat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26AOlympia Yerevan Vs AA2-1
15/08/26AShirak II Vs AA1-1
09/08/26HAA Vs Ararat II3-1
26/05/26AAndranik Vs AA7-1
20/05/26HAA Vs Ararat-Armenia II3-2
12/05/26AHayq Vs AA2-0
04/05/26HAA Vs Mika3-1
30/04/26HAA Vs BKMA II0-1
26/04/26HAA Vs Ararat II4-2
20/04/26ASardarapat Vs AA3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Pyunik II
Pyunik II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.58
HomeLWWDW1.67
AwayWWWWD1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%38%
AVG goals2.983.042.92
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %44%50%38%
Scored1.621.711.54
Conceded1.361.331.38
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet32%33%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Araks Ararat
Araks Ararat
Armenia: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.24
HomeWLWWW1.62
AwayLLLDL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%24%
AVG goals2.973.062.88
Over 1.5 %76%75%76%
Over 2.5 %52%62%41%
Over 3.5 %36%44%29%
Scored1.301.621.00
Conceded1.671.441.88
BTTS52%56%47%
Clean Sheet15%6%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II512
80%
2.4
134+9
3.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.8
-
3Pyunik IIPyunik II511
60%
2.2
117+4
3.6
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
4AndranikAndranik47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.21.0
-
5MikaMika57
40%
1.4
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
6Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan45
25%
1.2
138+5
5.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
8Banants IIBanants II55
20%
1.0
713-6
4.0
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.6
-
9Noah IINoah II55
20%
1.0
613-7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
10Araks AraratAraks Ararat34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
11Shirak IIShirak II44
25%
1.0
37-4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
12Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 243
25%
0.8
26-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II41
0%
0.2
15-4
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.2
-
14HayqHayq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
15Ararat IIArarat II30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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