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Pyunik II vs Ararat-Armenia II Result & Analysis

Date: 04/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Pyunik II
Pyunik II
Vs
51%
24%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ararat-Armenia II
Ararat-Armenia II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pyunik II host Ararat-Armenia II in the Armenia First League, with the home side on a 4-game winning run. Their recent form, particularly the 1-0 win over Ararat-Armenia II, suggests they're in good shape. However, Ararat-Armenia II have shown resilience after four straight defeats.

The model predicts a home win with a 51% probability, a 24% draw, and a 25% away win. The expected total goals are 3.2, indicating a high-scoring match. The most likely score is 1-1 with a 10.9% probability.

At home, Pyunik II have averaged 2 goals scored and 0.71 conceded against similar opponents. Ararat-Armenia II, away from home, have scored 1.88 goals and conceded 1.75 against similar opponents.

The model's selection is the home win, while suggesting the Over 1.5 with an 84.4% probability. The home win percentage is 51%, the draw percentage is 24%, and the away win percentage is 25%. The model's selection of home win has a 51% probability, while the Over 1.5 has an 84.4% probability.

Results analysis

Pyunik II's win extends their 4-game winning run, with the 1-0 scoreline marking a second consecutive victory over Ararat-Armenia II. This result comes as a surprise, given the expected total goals of 3.2, well above the actual 1 goal scored. The final score was a far cry from the model's most likely outcomes, which included 1-1, 2-1, and 2-0 scorelines, each with a probability of less than 10%. The model's selection, a Home win, proved correct with a 51% pre-match probability. The model's other selection, Over 1.5 goals, missed with an 84.4% pre-match probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pyunik II win✓ Hit
50.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II win✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Pyunik IIPyunik II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L14L20W22D32W31W01L32W20W10WH·MIK23/03A·SAR31/03H·ARA07/04A·ARA14/04H·HAY21/04A·ARA28/04H·AND06/05A·SYU11/05H·BEN19/05A·VAN26/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.431.731.401.131.47
vs Stronger (14)1.502.291.862.001.142.57
vs Similar (12)1.580.671.830.831.330.50
vs Weaker (4)0.750.751.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L11D51W12L11D13L24L30W23L34LA·BAN23/03H·SHI31/03A·NOA07/04H·BKM13/04A·LER22/04H·PYU28/04A·SAR05/05H·ARA15/05A·ARA20/05H·HAY25/05
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.532.071.872.071.202.07
vs Stronger (20)1.552.301.902.101.202.50
vs Similar (10)1.501.601.802.001.201.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.8%
Under 2.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.6%
Under 3.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.5%
No
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-0 ✓
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
4.9%
Pyunik II goals ↓
Ararat-Armenia II goals →
01234
04.9%4.2%3.4%1.5%0.5%
16.6%11%6.5%2.9%0.9%
27.2%9.5%6.3%2.8%0.9%
34.6%6.1%4.0%1.8%0.6%
42.2%2.9%1.9%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pyunik II goals (down), columns = Ararat-Armenia II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Pyunik II is 0.67 points better than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 0.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Pyunik II is 0.10 goals worse than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Pyunik II is 0.63 goals better than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 2.07).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Pyunik IIPyunik II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D01L20W11D00D10W00D00DH·MIK23/03A·SAR31/03H·ARA07/04A·ARA14/04H·HAY21/04A·ARA28/04H·AND06/05A·SYU11/05H·BEN19/05A·VAN26/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.800.530.270.60
vs Stronger (14)0.500.790.710.710.290.86
vs Similar (12)0.750.421.170.500.330.33
vs Weaker (4)0.000.250.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W01L11D11D13L20W12L02LA·BAN23/03H·SHI31/03A·NOA07/04H·BKM13/04A·LER22/04H·PYU28/04A·SAR05/05H·ARA15/05A·ARA20/05H·HAY25/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.001.070.870.601.13
vs Stronger (20)0.751.151.001.000.501.30
vs Similar (10)1.000.701.200.600.800.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Pyunik IIPyunik II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L13L20W21W12L20W01L22D20W10WH·MIK23/03A·SAR31/03H·ARA07/04A·ARA14/04H·HAY21/04A·ARA28/04H·AND06/05A·SYU11/05H·BEN19/05A·VAN26/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.870.930.870.870.87
vs Stronger (14)1.001.501.141.290.861.71
vs Similar (12)0.830.250.670.331.000.17
vs Weaker (4)0.750.501.001.000.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L10W41W11D00D02L11D10W11D32WA·BAN23/03H·SHI31/03A·NOA07/04H·BKM13/04A·LER22/04H·PYU28/04A·SAR05/05H·ARA15/05A·ARA20/05H·HAY25/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.070.801.200.600.93
vs Stronger (20)0.801.150.901.100.701.20
vs Similar (10)0.500.900.601.400.400.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Pyunik II and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Pyunik II and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Pyunik II and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Pyunik II and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
PI wins
2
Draws
3
AI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Pyunik II vs Ararat-Armenia II · H/A from PI
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/26AArarat-Armenia II Vs PI1-3
10/10/25HPI Vs Ararat-Armenia II2-2
31/03/25AArarat-Armenia II Vs PI0-2
12/11/24HPI Vs Ararat-Armenia II3-2
19/04/24AArarat-Armenia II Vs PI4-0
26/09/23HPI Vs Ararat-Armenia II2-2
09/05/23HPI Vs Ararat-Armenia II0-3
01/12/22AArarat-Armenia II Vs PI2-1

Pyunik IIPyunik II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/05/26AVan II Vs PI0-1
19/05/26HPI Vs Bentonit Ijevan2-0
11/05/26ASyunik Vs PI2-3
06/05/26HPI Vs Andranik0-1
28/04/26AArarat-Armenia II Vs PI1-3
21/04/26HPI Vs Hayq3-2
14/04/26AAraks Ararat Vs PI2-2
07/04/26HPI Vs Ararat II2-0
31/03/26ASardarapat Vs PI4-1
23/03/26HPI Vs Mika0-2

Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/26HAI Vs Hayq3-4
20/05/26AAraks Ararat Vs AI3-2
15/05/26HAI Vs Ararat II3-0
05/05/26ASardarapat Vs AI4-2
28/04/26HAI Vs Pyunik II1-3
22/04/26ALernayin Artsakh Vs AI1-1
13/04/26HAI Vs BKMA II1-2
07/04/26ANoah II Vs AI1-5
31/03/26HAI Vs Shirak II1-1
23/03/26ABanants II Vs AI3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Pyunik II
Pyunik II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.60
HomeLWWLW1.80
AwayLDWWW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals3.163.562.76
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %48%60%36%
Scored1.742.121.36
Conceded1.421.441.40
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Ararat-Armenia II
Ararat-Armenia II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.74
HomeDLLWL0.72
AwayLWDLL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals3.563.803.32
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %68%72%64%
Over 3.5 %46%52%40%
Scored1.381.401.36
Conceded2.182.401.96
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet10%8%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II512
80%
2.4
134+9
3.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.8
-
3Pyunik IIPyunik II511
60%
2.2
117+4
3.6
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
4AndranikAndranik47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.21.0
-
5MikaMika57
40%
1.4
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
6Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan45
25%
1.2
138+5
5.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
8Banants IIBanants II55
20%
1.0
713-6
4.0
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.6
-
9Noah IINoah II55
20%
1.0
613-7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
10Araks AraratAraks Ararat34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
11Shirak IIShirak II44
25%
1.0
37-4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
12Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 243
25%
0.8
26-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II41
0%
0.2
15-4
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.2
-
14HayqHayq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
15Ararat IIArarat II30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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