This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lernayin Artsakh II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
3.75
1.00
4.50
1.00
3.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
4.33
0.75
5.50
1.00
3.40
vs Similar (7)
1.14
3.00
1.25
3.50
1.00
2.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.9%
Under 1.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.2%
Under 2.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.9%
Under 3.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.1%
No
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
4-1
4.6%
Pyunik II goals ↓
Lernayin Artsakh II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
2.4%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
1
6.0%
8.6%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
2
8.2%
9.5%
5.5%
2.1%
0.6%
3
6.7%
7.7%
4.4%
1.7%
0.5%
4
4.0%
4.6%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pyunik II goals (down), columns = Lernayin Artsakh II goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
West Armenia
2.25
BKMA II
2.13
Gandzasar
2.12
Ararat II
1.78
Ararat-Armenia II
1.72
Banants II
1.34
Pyunik II
1.31
Shirak II
1.23
Mika
1.03
Syunik
0.97
Alashkert II
0.65
Lernayin Artsakh II
0.11
Pyunik II is 1.20 points better than Lernayin Artsakh II in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 0.11).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gandzasar
2.59
West Armenia
2.56
BKMA II
2.42
Ararat-Armenia II
1.94
Ararat II
1.94
Banants II
1.81
Pyunik II
1.69
Syunik
1.32
Alashkert II
1.32
Shirak II
1.06
Lernayin Artsakh II
1.00
Mika
1.00
Pyunik II is 0.69 goals better than Lernayin Artsakh II in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.00).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
BKMA II
0.97
Gandzasar
0.97
West Armenia
1.06
Shirak II
1.23
Ararat II
1.50
Ararat-Armenia II
1.62
Syunik
1.71
Pyunik II
1.72
Banants II
1.78
Mika
2.41
Alashkert II
3.19
Lernayin Artsakh II
3.72
Pyunik II is 2.00 goals better than Lernayin Artsakh II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 3.72).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pyunik II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.91
0.64
0.88
0.62
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lernayin Artsakh II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.44
0.50
0.75
0.80
2.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.80
0.50
1.00
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (4)
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
22% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pyunik II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.18
0.55
1.00
0.62
1.67
0.33
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
0.80
1.25
0.75
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.50
0.33
0.67
3.00
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
55% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lernayin Artsakh II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.22
0.25
1.75
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.00
1.50
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.25
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
22% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Armenia: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →
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West Armenia
Gandzasar
BKMA II
Ararat II
Ararat-Armenia II
Banants II
Shirak II
Mika
Syunik
Alashkert II