Pyunik II’s recent unbeaten run of five games, capped by a 3-3 draw, fuels optimism at home, while Olympia Yerevan’s two-game winning streak and a 4-1 victory on the road suggest they are in fine form. The model favours a home win, assigning a 46% chance to Pyunik II, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 30% chance of an Olympia win. The expected total is 3.6 goals, with the most likely total number of goals being three, a 21% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 9.6% chance. Pyunik II averages 1.86 goals scored and 2.0 conceded against stronger opponents, whereas Olympia Yerevan nets 3.0 and concedes 3.0 against weaker sides. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (96.9%), Under 6.5 (92.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (92.1%), Over 1.5 (88.3%), Home over 0.5 goals (86.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (85.7%), Home +2 handicap (85.1%), and Under 5.5 (84.4%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Pyunik II win
47.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan win
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Pyunik II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.47
1.75
1.19
1.50
1.79
vs Stronger (13)
1.46
2.15
1.83
1.67
1.14
2.57
vs Similar (10)
1.90
0.80
2.00
1.00
1.67
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
1.57
1.14
1.00
0.67
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympia Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympia Yerevan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.80
1.00
2.33
0.33
3.50
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
3.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
1.00
2.50
0.00
3.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.0%
Under 1.5
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67.3%
Under 2.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
45.6%
Under 3.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
67.8%
No
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.4%
Pyunik II goals ↓
Olympia Yerevan goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
3.8%
3.6%
1.8%
0.7%
1
5.2%
10%
7.0%
3.5%
1.3%
2
6.0%
9.0%
6.8%
3.4%
1.3%
3
3.9%
5.9%
4.4%
2.2%
0.8%
4
1.9%
2.9%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pyunik II goals (down), columns = Olympia Yerevan goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Pyunik II is 0.17 points better than Olympia Yerevan in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Pyunik II is 0.06 goals worse than Olympia Yerevan in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Pyunik II is 0.35 goals better than Olympia Yerevan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pyunik II or Draw
70.9%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
29%
covers Pyunik II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II or Olympia Yerevan
76.3%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
29%
covers Pyunik II + Olympia Yerevan
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Olympia Yerevan
52.8%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
29%
covers Draw + Olympia Yerevan
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5
Over
85.8%
Under
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5
Over
58.2%
Under
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5
Over
31.1%
Under
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 3.5
Over
13.5%
Under
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 0.5
Over
77.9%
Under
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 1.5
Over
44.6%
Under
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 2.5
Over
19.4%
Under
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 3.5
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Pyunik II, so a minus line means Pyunik II give that many goals of a start and Olympia Yerevan receive them. At -1, Pyunik II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pyunik II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Pyunik II)
Pyunik II -2
12.8%
Draw -2
14.5%
Olympia Yerevan +2
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Pyunik II)
Pyunik II -1
27.3%
Draw -1
19.9%
Olympia Yerevan +1
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Pyunik II)
Pyunik II +1
70.9%
Draw +1
15.2%
Olympia Yerevan -1
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Pyunik II)
Pyunik II +2
86.1%
Draw +2
8.7%
Olympia Yerevan -2
5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pyunik II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.81
0.44
0.36
0.79
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.69
0.67
0.50
0.29
0.86
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.50
1.29
0.57
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
0.57
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympia Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympia Yerevan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.20
1.00
0.33
2.00
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pyunik II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.87
0.94
0.75
1.14
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
1.46
1.17
1.17
0.86
1.71
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.30
0.71
0.43
1.33
0.00
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.57
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympia Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympia Yerevan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.80
1.33
0.00
1.50
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Pyunik II and Olympia Yerevan have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Pyunik II and Olympia Yerevan have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Pyunik II and Olympia Yerevan have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Pyunik II and Olympia Yerevan have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
BKMA II
Andranik
Mika
Lernayin Artsakh
Bentonit Ijevan
Banants II
Noah II
Araks Ararat
Shirak II
Sardarapat 2
Ararat-Armenia II
Hayq
Ararat II