Qabala vs Safa Baku Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026

Time: 14:30

Final 0-1

Qabala

55%

26%

19%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Safa Baku

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Qabala are looking to bounce back from a recent defeat as they host Safa Baku. Despite coming off a loss, the home side have shown resilience in their recent form, with an average of 0.75 goals scored at home against stronger opponents. However, they have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding an average of 1.75 goals at home. In contrast, Safa Baku have been struggling on the road, scoring an average of 2.08 goals away against weaker opponents but conceding 0.85 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.6% probability. The expected total goals is 2.6, with the most likely total being 2 goals. Qabala are the favourites to win, with a 55% probability of a home win, and a 26% probability of a draw. The away win is less likely, with a 19% probability. The model's selection is a Home win, with a 55% probability. The model also suggests Home or Draw (81%), Over 1.5 (74.2%), Under 3.5 (73.9%), and Home or Away (73.6%) as selections. Qabala have a 55% chance of winning, a 26% chance of drawing, and a 19% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The upset was stark: Qabala’s home form had been a shaky run of two defeats before the match, yet the model had tipped a home win at 55 %. The game finished 0-1 in favour of Safa Baku, so the model’s favourite was wrong. The model’s other selections all proved accurate. Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.5 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.6 %, Under 6.5 at 98.3 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.1 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.4 %, Under 5.5 at 95.2 %, and Away under 2.5 goals at 93.6 %. The match delivered a clean-sheet win for Safa Baku, confirming the low-scoring, defensive narrative that the model had highlighted.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qabala win✗ Miss

54.5%

Avg Implied 47.1% · @ 1.91

Edge

+7.4%

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.98

Superbet

1.97

10Bet

1.95

Pinnacle

1.94

Dafabet

1.93

Draw✗ Miss

26.5%

Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.17

Edge

-2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

3.30

1xBet

3.26

Marathonbet

3.26

Betano

3.25

BetVictor

3.25

Safa Baku win✓ Hit

19.0%

Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.69

Edge

-5.4%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.84

BetVictor

3.80

Betfair

3.80

1xBet

3.76

William Hil

3.75

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Qabala

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.9

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.17	1.37	1.50	1.44	0.79	1.29
vs Stronger (11)	0.55	1.82	1.00	1.80	0.17	1.83
vs Similar (17)	1.29	1.18	1.33	1.44	1.25	0.88
vs Weaker (2)	3.50	0.50	3.50	0.50	-	-
Clean sheet %	17% (-15pp vs league)

This opponent (Safa Baku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Safa Baku

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.87	0.83	1.79	0.71	1.94	0.94
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (11)	1.64	0.73	2.20	0.60	1.17	0.83
vs Weaker (19)	2.00	0.89	1.56	0.78	2.40	1.00
Clean sheet %	50% (+19pp vs league)

This opponent (Qabala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

74.1%

@ 1.33+5.0%

Under 1.5

25.9%

@ 2.98-5.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

1.36

Pinnacle

1.36

BetVictor

1.36

888Sport

1.33

Unibet

1.33

Under

Bet365

3.25

Betfair

3.10

10Bet

3.10

888Sport

3.00

Superbet

3.00

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

47.8%

@ 2.04+2.7%

Under 2.5

52.2%

@ 1.68-2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.16

Betfair

2.10

Bet365

2.08

1xBet

2.08

Marathonbet

2.08

Under

10Bet

1.77

Betano

1.75

Superbet

1.74

Bet365

1.73

888Sport

1.67

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

26.1%

@ 3.66+1.0%

Under 3.5

73.9%

@ 1.23-1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

4.10

BetVictor

4.10

888Sport

3.80

Bet365

3.75

1xBet

3.74

Under

Betano

1.28

10Bet

1.28

Bet365

1.25

Superbet

1.24

Betfair

1.22

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

49.6%

@ 1.84-0.3%

50.4%

@ 1.83+0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Betfair

1.91

Bet365

1.91

Marathonbet

1.87

1xBet

1.87

BetVictor

1.85

10Bet

1.90

Superbet

1.90

Betano

1.88

William Hil

1.85

888Sport

1.85

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.6%@ 5.84+5.3%

1-0

11.5%@ 5.97+4.3%

2-0

10.6%@ 8.09+5.3%

2-1

9.6%@ 7.69+4.1%

0-0

8.7%@ 8.25+3.5%

3-0

6.0%@ 14.90+3.1%

0-1 ✓

5.7%@ 9.02+0.9%

3-1

5.4%@ 14.74+2.5%

Qabala goals ↓

	Safa Baku goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	5.7%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
1	12%	13%	5.2%	1.6%	0.4%
2	11%	9.6%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%
3	6.0%	5.4%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.5%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Qabala goals (down), columns = Safa Baku goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Sabah FA

2.36

Qarabag

2.09

Neftchi Baku

1.79

Turan

1.79

Zira

1.61

Araz

1.39

Sumqayıt

1.19

Şamaxı FK

1.15

Safa Baku

1.09

Imisli FK

1.06

Qabala

0.88

Kapaz

0.82

Qabala is 0.21 points worse than Safa Baku in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Sabah FA

2.27

Qarabag

2.15

Neftchi Baku

1.73

Araz

1.33

Turan

1.33

Sumqayıt

1.31

Zira

1.30

Safa Baku

1.02

Qabala

1.00

Şamaxı FK

0.94

Kapaz

0.76

Imisli FK

0.72

Qabala is 0.02 goals worse than Safa Baku in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.02).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Sabah FA

0.76

Qarabag

0.82

Turan

0.82

Neftchi Baku

0.97

Zira

1.09

Şamaxı FK

1.21

Imisli FK

1.25

Qabala

1.44

Sumqayıt

1.53

Safa Baku

1.57

Araz

1.76

Kapaz

1.85

Qabala is 0.13 goals better than Safa Baku in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Qabala or Draw✗ Miss

81.0%

Avg Implied 76.1% · @ 1.21

Edge

+4.9%

55%

26%

19%

covers Qabala + Draw

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

1.25

Betano

1.24

Superbet

1.22

888Sport

1.22

William Hil

1.22

Qabala or Safa Baku✓ Hit

73.5%

Avg Implied 72.1% · @ 1.27

Edge

+1.4%

55%

26%

19%

covers Qabala + Safa Baku

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

1.36

William Hil

1.33

888Sport

1.33

Betano

1.29

Superbet

1.28

Draw or Safa Baku✓ Hit

45.5%

Avg Implied 51.8% · @ 1.78

Edge

-6.3%

55%

26%

19%

covers Draw + Safa Baku

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

1.83

SBO

1.83

Bet365

1.80

William Hil

1.80

Betano

1.80

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Qabala over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

81.4%

@ 1.20+5.5%

Under

18.6%

@ 3.79-5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

1.22

Bet365

1.22

10Bet

1.20

1xBet

1.20

Marathonbet

1.20

Under

Bet365

4.00

888Sport

3.90

Marathonbet

3.80

10Bet

3.80

1xBet

3.80

Qabala over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

50.1%

@ 2.07+5.7%

Under

49.9%

@ 1.65-5.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.11

Marathonbet

2.11

888Sport

2.10

Bet365

2.10

Pinnacle

2.09

Under

Betano

1.70

Pinnacle

1.70

Bet365

1.67

10Bet

1.67

Superbet

1.67

Qabala over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

23.8%

@ 4.41+3.1%

Under

76.2%

@ 1.15-3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

4.75

Marathonbet

4.55

1xBet

4.55

Bet365

4.33

BetVictor

4.20

Under

Bet365

1.20

888Sport

1.17

Superbet

1.15

BetVictor

1.13

1xBet

1.13

Qabala over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

9.0%

@ 10.25-0.2%

Under

91.0%

@ 1.04+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

12.00

Bet365

8.50

Under

Bet365

1.05

888Sport

1.04

Safa Baku over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

59.6%

@ 1.48-2.2%

Under

40.4%

@ 2.40+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.55

Bet365

1.53

888Sport

1.50

1xBet

1.49

Marathonbet

1.49

Under

Betano

2.55

10Bet

2.50

Superbet

2.45

888Sport

2.40

Pinnacle

2.38

Safa Baku over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

22.9%

@ 3.36-4.2%

Under

77.1%

@ 1.25+4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.50

Marathonbet

3.50

888Sport

3.50

1xBet

3.50

BetVictor

3.30

Under

10Bet

1.28

Bet365

1.28

Superbet

1.27

888Sport

1.25

Marathonbet

1.24

Safa Baku over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

6.4%

@ 8.94-4.1%

Under

93.6%

@ 1.04+4.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

10.00

1xBet

9.60

Marathonbet

9.30

Bet365

8.50

Superbet

7.30

Under

888Sport

1.05

Bet365

1.05

Superbet

1.03

Safa Baku over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

1.4%

@ 15.00-4.9%

Under

98.6%

@ 1.01+4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

15.00

Under

Bet365

1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Qabala, so a minus line means Qabala give that many goals of a start and Safa Baku receive them. At -1, Qabala must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Qabala win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Qabala)Actual: Safa Baku

Qabala -2

13.4%

@ 7.40+1.4%

Draw -2

17.2%

@ 5.55+1.1%

Safa Baku +2

69.4%

@ 1.25-2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

7.80

Bet365

7.00

Draw

Marathonbet

5.60

Bet365

5.50

Away

Bet365

1.28

Marathonbet

1.21

Handicap -1 (Qabala)Actual: Safa Baku

Qabala -1

30.6%

@ 3.56+5.6%

Draw -1

23.9%

@ 3.50-1.5%

Safa Baku +1

45.5%

@ 1.79-4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

3.65

Marathonbet

3.58

Bet365

3.50

Betfair

3.50

Draw

Bet365

3.60

10Bet

3.50

Betfair

3.50

Marathonbet

3.42

Away

Betfair

1.83

Bet365

1.80

10Bet

1.80

Marathonbet

1.74

Handicap +1 (Qabala)Actual: Draw

Qabala +1

81.0%

@ 1.21+7.8%

Draw +1

12.4%

@ 5.33-4.2%

Safa Baku -1

6.7%

@ 8.60-3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.22

Marathonbet

1.19

Draw

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.15

Away

Marathonbet

8.70

Bet365

8.50

Handicap +2 (Qabala)Actual: Qabala

Qabala +2

93.3%

@ 1.06+4.7%

Draw +2

5.0%

@ 13.00-2.3%

Safa Baku -2

1.7%

@ 23.00-2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.06

Draw

Bet365

13.00

Away

Bet365

23.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Qabala

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.50	0.73	0.81	0.75	0.14	0.71
vs Stronger (11)	0.18	1.00	0.40	0.80	0.00	1.17
vs Similar (17)	0.59	0.65	0.89	0.89	0.25	0.38
vs Weaker (2)	1.50	0.00	1.50	0.00	-	-
Clean sheet %	40% (+9pp vs league)

This opponent (Safa Baku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Safa Baku

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.5

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

0.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	0.23	0.64	0.21	0.88	0.25
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (11)	0.55	0.27	0.40	0.20	0.67	0.33
vs Weaker (19)	0.89	0.21	0.78	0.22	1.00	0.20
Clean sheet %	80% (+49pp vs league)

This opponent (Qabala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

70.0%

@ 1.41+5.0%

Under 0.5

30.0%

@ 2.62-5.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.44

Pinnacle

1.43

Betano

1.42

BetVictor

1.42

1xBet

1.41

Under

William Hil

2.80

Betfair

2.75

10Bet

2.75

Superbet

2.65

Pinnacle

2.65

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

34.0%

@ 2.91+2.5%

Under 1.5

66.0%

@ 1.34-2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.04

Marathonbet

3.04

Pinnacle

3.01

Betfair

3.00

Bet365

3.00

Under

10Bet

1.38

William Hil

1.36

Bet365

1.36

Superbet

1.34

Pinnacle

1.34

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

12.0%

@ 7.79+0.2%

Under 2.5

88.0%

@ 1.05-0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

9.00

Betfair

8.00

William Hil

8.00

Marathonbet

7.90

1xBet

7.90

Under

William Hil

1.07

Bet365

1.07

Betfair

1.06

Superbet

1.05

BetVictor

1.04

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Qabala over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

33.0%

@ 1.90-15.7%

Under

67.0%

@ 1.80+15.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.91

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathonbet

1.90

1xBet

1.90

Superbet

1.88

Under

Pinnacle

1.84

Superbet

1.82

1xBet

1.81

Betano

1.80

Marathonbet

1.75

Qabala over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

7.6%

@ 5.70-8.5%

Under

92.4%

@ 1.09+8.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.90

1xBet

5.50

Under

1xBet

1.10

Marathonbet

1.08

Qabala over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.9%

Under

99.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Safa Baku over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

55.4%

@ 2.54+19.2%

Under

44.6%

@ 1.44-19.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.69

Marathonbet

2.56

Betano

2.50

1xBet

2.50

Superbet

2.47

Under

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.46

Superbet

1.44

Pinnacle

1.43

Marathonbet

1.41

Safa Baku over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

17.0%

@ 9.70+7.6%

Under

83.0%

@ 1.01-7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.80

Marathonbet

9.60

Under

1xBet

1.01

Safa Baku over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.6%

Under

96.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Qabala

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.9

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

0.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	0.63	0.69	0.69	0.64	0.57
vs Stronger (11)	0.36	0.82	0.60	1.00	0.17	0.67
vs Similar (17)	0.71	0.53	0.44	0.56	1.00	0.50
vs Weaker (2)	2.00	0.50	2.00	0.50	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+22pp vs league)

This opponent (Safa Baku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Safa Baku

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.10	0.60	1.14	0.50	1.06	0.69
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (11)	1.09	0.45	1.80	0.40	0.50	0.50
vs Weaker (19)	1.11	0.68	0.78	0.56	1.40	0.80
Clean sheet %	57% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (Qabala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

77.8%

Under 0.5

22.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

47.5%

Under 1.5

52.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

23.2%

Under 2.5

76.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Qabala over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

46.4%

Under

53.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Qabala over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

11.9%

Under

88.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Qabala over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

1.9%

Under

98.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Safa Baku over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

62.4%

Under

37.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Safa Baku over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

28.6%

Under

71.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Safa Baku over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

16.8%

Under

83.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	99.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	98.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	98.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	96.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	95.2%	1.02	1xBet 1.02	Bet365 1.02	888Sport 1.02	Betfair 1.01	-	+1.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	93.6%	1.04	888Sport 1.05	Bet365 1.05	Superbet 1.03	-	-	+4.1%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	93.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.7%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	92.4%	1.09	1xBet 1.10	Marathonbet 1.08	-	-	-	+8.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	91.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.05	888Sport 1.04	-	-	-	+0.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	88.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	88.0%	1.05	William Hil 1.07	Bet365 1.07	Betfair 1.06	Superbet 1.05	BetVictor 1.04	-0.2%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	87.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.08	Betfair 1.07	Superbet 1.06	888Sport 1.06	BetVictor 1.04	+0.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	83.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	83.0%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	-7.6%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	81.4%	1.20	888Sport 1.22	Bet365 1.22	10Bet 1.20	1xBet 1.20	Marathonbet 1.20	+5.5%	✗ Miss
Home or Draw	81.0%	1.21	BetVictor 1.25	Betano 1.24	Superbet 1.22	888Sport 1.22	William Hil 1.22	+4.9%	✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap	81.0%	1.21	Bet365 1.22	Marathonbet 1.19	-	-	-	+7.8%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals	77.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals	77.1%	1.25	10Bet 1.28	Bet365 1.28	Superbet 1.27	888Sport 1.25	Marathonbet 1.24	+4.2%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	76.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	76.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.20	888Sport 1.17	Superbet 1.15	BetVictor 1.13	1xBet 1.13	-3.1%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	74.1%	1.33	Betfair 1.36	Pinnacle 1.36	BetVictor 1.36	888Sport 1.33	Unibet 1.33	+5.0%	✗ Miss
Under 3.5	73.9%	1.23	Betano 1.28	10Bet 1.28	Bet365 1.25	Superbet 1.24	Betfair 1.22	-1.0%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	73.5%	1.27	BetVictor 1.36	William Hil 1.33	888Sport 1.33	Betano 1.29	Superbet 1.28	+1.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	71.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	70.0%	1.41	Bet365 1.44	Pinnacle 1.43	Betano 1.42	BetVictor 1.42	1xBet 1.41	+5.0%	✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (25)

€25m

SF (24)

€17m

NB (23)

€13m

ZIR (23)

€12m

TUR (23)

€10m

SUM (22)

€9m

IF (18)

€6m

ARA (19)

€6m

KAP (24)

€5m

QAB (18)

€5m

SB (15)

€4m

ŞF (15)

€4m

Qabala and Safa Baku have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (9)

€8m

ZIR (10)

€6m

SF (7)

€5m

NB (7)

€4m

SUM (7)

€4m

TUR (7)

€3m

IF (7)

€3m

ARA (7)

€3m

SB (5)

€1m

QAB (5)

€1m

ŞF (6)

€1m

KAP (8)

€1m

Qabala and Safa Baku have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SF (7)

€5m

QAR (3)

€3m

NB (6)

€3m

SUM (4)

€2m

TUR (4)

€2m

ARA (5)

€2m

KAP (6)

€2m

ŞF (3)

€1m

ZIR (3)

€1m

QAB (3)

€1m

IF (2)

€1m

SB (2)

€0m

Qabala and Safa Baku have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (13)

€14m

SF (10)

€7m

NB (10)

€6m

ZIR (10)

€6m

TUR (12)

€5m

SUM (11)

€4m

IF (9)

€3m

QAB (10)

€3m

KAP (10)

€3m

SB (8)

€3m

ARA (7)

€2m

ŞF (6)

€2m

Qabala and Safa Baku have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting

QAB wins

Draws

SB wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Qabala vs Safa Baku · H/A from QAB

Date	H/A	Game	Score
04/12/25	H	QAB Vs Safa Baku	2-1

Qabala

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
14/08/26	A	Turan Vs QAB	1-0
28/05/26	H	QAB Vs Mingəçevir	2-0
21/05/26	H	QAB Vs Şamaxı FK	3-1
15/05/26	A	Karvan Vs QAB	1-2
09/05/26	H	QAB Vs Qarabag	1-1
03/05/26	A	Zira Vs QAB	1-0
25/04/26	H	QAB Vs Araz	1-1
19/04/26	A	Sumqayıt Vs QAB	1-0
12/04/26	H	QAB Vs Imisli FK	0-1
05/04/26	A	Kapaz Vs QAB	0-2

Safa Baku

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
16/08/26	A	Zira Vs SB	2-0
22/05/26	A	Zaqatala Vs SB	2-1
15/05/26	H	SB Vs Cəbrayıl	1-0
06/05/26	A	Difai Ağsu Vs SB	0-0
29/04/26	H	SB Vs Şimal	0-0
22/04/26	H	SB Vs MOIK	3-0
16/04/26	A	Baku Sportinq Vs SB	0-0
09/04/26	H	SB Vs Səbail	2-1
03/04/26	A	Mingəçevir Vs SB	5-2
18/03/26	H	SB Vs Şahdağ	1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Qabala

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWWWL	1.26
Home	LDDWW	1.60
Away	WLLWL	0.92

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	48%	24%
AVG goals	2.60	2.84	2.36
Over 1.5 %	70%	84%	56%
Over 2.5 %	46%	56%	36%
Over 3.5 %	28%	32%	24%
Scored	1.38	1.68	1.08
Conceded	1.22	1.16	1.28
BTTS	42%	52%	32%
Clean Sheet	24%	24%	24%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Safa Baku

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DDWLL	1.97
Home	WWWDW	2.07
Away	LDDLL	1.88

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	55%	53%	56%
AVG goals	2.74	2.60	2.88
Over 1.5 %	77%	80%	75%
Over 2.5 %	52%	53%	50%
Over 3.5 %	26%	27%	25%
Scored	1.87	1.80	1.94
Conceded	0.87	0.80	0.94
BTTS	48%	60%	38%
Clean Sheet	48%	40%	56%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Zira	3	9	100%	3.0	6	1	+5	2.3	67%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	12	6	1	6	2.0	0.3	-
2	Neftchi Baku	3	6	67%	2.0	8	2	+6	3.3	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	13	4	3	6	2.7	0.7	-
3	Qarabag	2	6	100%	3.0	4	1	+3	2.5	50%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	25	8	3	14	2.0	0.5	-
4	Sabah FA	2	6	100%	3.0	3	0	+3	1.5	50%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	17	5	5	7	1.5	0.0	-
5	Turan	3	4	33%	1.3	1	1	+0	0.7	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	10	3	2	5	0.3	0.3	-
6	Imisli FK	3	4	33%	1.3	2	3	-1	1.7	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	3	0.7	1.0	-
7	Kapaz	2	3	50%	1.5	1	2	-1	1.5	50%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	2	3	0.5	1.0	-
8	Safa Baku	3	3	33%	1.0	1	3	-2	1.3	33%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	0	3	0.3	1.0	-
9	Şamaxı FK	3	2	0%	0.7	1	3	-2	1.3	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	0.3	1.0	-
10	Qabala	3	1	0%	0.3	0	2	-2	0.7	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	1	3	0.0	0.7	-
11	Araz	3	1	0%	0.3	0	6	-6	2.0	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	2	2	0.0	2.0	-
12	Sumqayıt	2	0	0%	0.0	1	4	-3	2.5	50%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	4	2	4	0.5	2.0	-

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

← all matches

Qabala vs Safa Baku Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Qabala

Safa Baku

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Qabala

Safa Baku

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Qabala

Safa Baku

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Qabala

Safa Baku

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature