Qabala vs Şamaxı FK Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026

Time: 14:00

Final 0-0

Qabala

36%

33%

31%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Şamaxı FK

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Qabala’s recent run of two defeats followed by three wins shows a team that can rally, yet they lost 0-1 to Safa Baku, hinting at defensive fragility. Şəmxayı FK, after a draw, has struggled to score, going 0-0 against Turan, but their away defence has been solid, conceding only 0.8 goals on average. The model favours a home win, giving Qabala a 36% chance, a draw 33%, and Şəmxayı 31%. The expected total is 2.1 goals, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.8% probability. Home side averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against similar opponents, while Şəmxayı FK averages 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded away. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1%), Under 5.5 (97.9% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5%), and Home under 3.5 goals (97.4% with an 8% edge).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Qabala, fell short in a 0-0 draw, a result that surprised the model’s Home win call with a 36% probability. The match ended in a stalemate, with both sides unable to break the deadlock, so the model’s prediction was wrong. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.8%, Under 6.5 at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.1%, Under 5.5 at 97.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 97.4%. The game’s quiet finish matched the model’s low-scoring expectation, but the favourite’s win was missed.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qabala win✗ Miss

36.3%

Avg Implied 47.3% · @ 1.91

Edge

-11.0%

Best 5 market prices

Superbet

2.00

Betano

2.00

Pinnacle

1.95

Bet365

1.95

Marathonbet

1.91

Draw✓ Hit

32.6%

Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.13

Edge

+3.7%

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

3.25

Pinnacle

3.24

1xBet

3.22

BetVictor

3.20

Marathonbet

3.18

Şamaxı FK win✗ Miss

31.2%

Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.78

Edge

+7.3%

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

4.00

1xBet

3.94

Unibet

3.90

Dafabet

3.85

William Hil

3.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Qabala

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	1.37	1.19	1.44	0.79	1.29
vs Stronger (11)	0.55	1.82	1.00	1.80	0.17	1.83
vs Similar (18)	1.22	1.17	1.20	1.40	1.25	0.88
vs Weaker (1)	2.00	0.00	2.00	0.00	-	-
Clean sheet %	17% (-15pp vs league)

This opponent (Şamaxı FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Şamaxı FK

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.4

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.90	1.20	1.00	1.20	0.80	1.20
vs Stronger (11)	0.91	1.73	1.17	1.50	0.60	2.00
vs Similar (19)	0.89	0.89	0.89	1.00	0.90	0.80
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	43% (+12pp vs league)

This opponent (Qabala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

63.5%

@ 1.39-2.4%

Under 1.5

36.5%

@ 2.69+2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.40

Bet365

1.40

Unibet

1.40

Betfair

1.40

BetVictor

1.40

Under

Betfair

2.88

Pinnacle

2.76

BetVictor

2.75

Bet365

2.75

1xBet

2.70

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

35.2%

@ 2.22-6.2%

Under 2.5

64.8%

@ 1.57+6.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.28

Unibet

2.25

Superbet

2.25

Bet365

2.25

Betfair

2.25

Under

Bet365

1.62

Pinnacle

1.60

1xBet

1.58

Marathonbet

1.57

Betfair

1.57

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

16.2%

@ 4.07-6.3%

Under 3.5

83.8%

@ 1.18+6.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

4.40

Betfair

4.33

Marathonbet

4.15

1xBet

4.05

Bet365

4.00

Under

Bet365

1.22

Betano

1.20

Betfair

1.20

BetVictor

1.18

Superbet

1.17

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

43.6%

@ 1.99-2.6%

56.4%

@ 1.71+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

2.05

Betfair

2.05

Bet365

2.00

William Hil

2.00

1xBet

1.97

William Hil

1.73

Bet365

1.73

Betfair

1.73

1xBet

1.72

Betano

1.70

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

14.8%@ 5.81+7.4%

0-0 ✓

13.5%@ 7.45+7.8%

1-0

12.1%@ 5.43+4.2%

0-1

10.9%@ 8.55+5.8%

2-1

7.4%@ 8.03+2.1%

2-0

7.4%@ 7.65+1.8%

1-2

6.7%@ 12.57+3.3%

0-2

6.1%@ 18.34+3.8%

Qabala goals ↓

	Şamaxı FK goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	14%	11%	6.1%	2.0%	0.5%
1	12%	15%	6.7%	2.3%	0.6%
2	7.4%	7.4%	3.7%	1.2%	0.3%
3	2.7%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Qabala goals (down), columns = Şamaxı FK goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Sabah FA

2.36

Qarabag

2.09

Neftchi Baku

1.79

Turan

1.79

Zira

1.61

Araz

1.39

Sumqayıt

1.19

Şamaxı FK

1.15

Safa Baku

1.09

Imisli FK

1.06

Qabala

0.88

Kapaz

0.82

Qabala is 0.27 points worse than Şamaxı FK in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Sabah FA

2.27

Qarabag

2.15

Neftchi Baku

1.73

Araz

1.33

Turan

1.33

Sumqayıt

1.31

Zira

1.30

Safa Baku

1.02

Qabala

1.00

Şamaxı FK

0.94

Kapaz

0.76

Imisli FK

0.72

Qabala is 0.06 goals better than Şamaxı FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Sabah FA

0.76

Qarabag

0.82

Turan

0.82

Neftchi Baku

0.97

Zira

1.09

Şamaxı FK

1.21

Imisli FK

1.25

Qabala

1.44

Sumqayıt

1.53

Safa Baku

1.57

Araz

1.76

Kapaz

1.85

Qabala is 0.23 goals worse than Şamaxı FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Qabala or Draw✓ Hit

68.8%

Avg Implied 76.8% · @ 1.19

Edge

-7.9%

36%

33%

31%

covers Qabala + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.24

BetVictor

1.22

William Hil

1.22

Superbet

1.21

Betfair

1.20

Qabala or Şamaxı FK✗ Miss

67.4%

Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.28

Edge

-4.1%

36%

33%

31%

covers Qabala + Şamaxı FK

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

1.36

William Hil

1.33

Betano

1.31

Superbet

1.30

Bet365

1.28

Draw or Şamaxı FK✓ Hit

63.7%

Avg Implied 51.7% · @ 1.77

Edge

+12.0%

36%

33%

31%

covers Draw + Şamaxı FK

Best 5 market prices

SBO

1.89

Bet365

1.80

Betfair

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.78

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Qabala over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

66.8%

@ 1.22-7.5%

Under

33.2%

@ 3.53+7.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.25

Marathonbet

1.23

Superbet

1.23

1xBet

1.21

BetVictor

1.20

Under

Bet365

3.75

1xBet

3.66

Marathonbet

3.50

BetVictor

3.40

Superbet

3.35

Qabala over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

30.2%

@ 2.20-11.6%

Under

69.8%

@ 1.58+11.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.28

Betano

2.25

Superbet

2.25

Marathonbet

2.24

Bet365

2.20

Under

Bet365

1.62

1xBet

1.61

Pinnacle

1.60

Betano

1.57

BetVictor

1.57

Qabala over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

10.0%

@ 4.65-9.5%

Under

90.0%

@ 1.13+9.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.00

1xBet

4.75

Superbet

4.65

Bet365

4.50

BetVictor

4.33

Under

Bet365

1.17

BetVictor

1.13

1xBet

1.12

Superbet

1.12

Marathonbet

1.10

Qabala over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

2.6%

@ 9.00-7.8%

Under

97.4%

@ 1.04+7.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

9.00

Under

Bet365

1.04

Şamaxı FK over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

63.3%

@ 1.56+4.3%

Under

36.7%

@ 2.24-4.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.62

Pinnacle

1.58

Superbet

1.56

Betano

1.55

1xBet

1.55

Under

Pinnacle

2.32

Betano

2.30

Marathonbet

2.27

Superbet

2.25

Bet365

2.20

Şamaxı FK over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

26.5%

@ 3.73+2.1%

Under

73.5%

@ 1.21-2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

4.00

1xBet

3.85

Marathonbet

3.66

BetVictor

3.60

Superbet

3.55

Under

Marathonbet

1.22

Bet365

1.22

Superbet

1.21

1xBet

1.20

BetVictor

1.18

Şamaxı FK over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

8.1%

@ 9.03-2.1%

Under

91.9%

@ 1.02+2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

9.30

1xBet

9.20

Bet365

9.00

Superbet

8.60

Under

Bet365

1.04

Superbet

1.01

Şamaxı FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

1.9%

@ 17.00-98.1%

Under

98.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

17.00

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Qabala, so a minus line means Qabala give that many goals of a start and Şamaxı FK receive them. At -1, Qabala must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Qabala win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Qabala)Actual: Şamaxı FK

Qabala -2

4.7%

@ 8.70-5.6%

Draw -2

10.5%

@ 5.60-5.5%

Şamaxı FK +2

84.7%

@ 1.22+11.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

9.00

Marathonbet

8.40

Draw

Marathonbet

5.70

Bet365

5.50

Away

Bet365

1.25

Marathonbet

1.19

Handicap -1 (Qabala)Actual: Şamaxı FK

Qabala -1

15.3%

@ 3.76-8.4%

Draw -1

21.0%

@ 3.51-4.4%

Şamaxı FK +1

63.7%

@ 1.75+12.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

3.78

Bet365

3.75

Betfair

3.75

Draw

Bet365

3.60

Betfair

3.50

Marathonbet

3.42

Away

Bet365

1.83

Betfair

1.73

Marathonbet

1.70

Handicap +1 (Qabala)Actual: Qabala

Qabala +1

68.8%

@ 1.21-4.8%

Draw +1

19.0%

@ 5.28+2.1%

Şamaxı FK -1

12.2%

@ 9.35+2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.22

Marathonbet

1.20

Draw

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.05

Away

Bet365

10.00

Marathonbet

8.70

Handicap +2 (Qabala)Actual: Qabala

Qabala +2

87.8%

@ 1.06-1.3%

Draw +2

8.7%

@ 13.00+1.4%

Şamaxı FK -2

3.5%

@ 26.00-0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.06

Draw

Bet365

13.00

Away

Bet365

26.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Qabala

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.47	0.73	0.75	0.75	0.14	0.71
vs Stronger (11)	0.18	1.00	0.40	0.80	0.00	1.17
vs Similar (18)	0.56	0.61	0.80	0.80	0.25	0.38
vs Weaker (1)	2.00	0.00	2.00	0.00	-	-
Clean sheet %	40% (+9pp vs league)

This opponent (Şamaxı FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Şamaxı FK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.1

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.37	0.40	0.33	0.27	0.40	0.53
vs Stronger (11)	0.45	0.55	0.50	0.50	0.40	0.60
vs Similar (19)	0.32	0.32	0.22	0.11	0.40	0.50
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	67% (+35pp vs league)

This opponent (Qabala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

65.2%

@ 1.46+2.5%

Under 0.5

34.8%

@ 2.46-2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Pinnacle

1.48

Superbet

1.47

BetVictor

1.46

Under

Betfair

2.63

William Hil

2.62

Pinnacle

2.54

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.47

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

28.6%

@ 3.22-0.1%

Under 1.5

71.4%

@ 1.29+0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.40

BetVictor

3.40

Betfair

3.20

Marathonbet

3.20

1xBet

3.14

Under

William Hil

1.33

Bet365

1.30

Betfair

1.30

BetVictor

1.29

1xBet

1.28

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

8.8%

@ 8.46-2.1%

Under 2.5

91.2%

@ 1.04+2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

9.50

William Hil

9.00

Marathonbet

8.50

Betfair

8.50

1xBet

8.40

Under

Bet365

1.06

William Hil

1.06

Betfair

1.05

Superbet

1.03

BetVictor

1.03

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Qabala over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

42.4%

@ 1.98-4.3%

Under

57.6%

@ 1.73+4.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.05

Pinnacle

1.99

Superbet

1.97

Marathonbet

1.96

1xBet

1.94

Under

1xBet

1.77

Pinnacle

1.76

Superbet

1.73

Marathonbet

1.70

Betano

1.70

Qabala over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

10.2%

@ 6.08-4.9%

Under

89.8%

@ 1.07+4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.35

1xBet

5.80

Under

1xBet

1.09

Marathonbet

1.06

Qabala over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.8%

Under

98.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Şamaxı FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

37.5%

@ 2.69+3.3%

Under

62.5%

@ 1.40-3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.77

Betano

2.70

1xBet

2.70

Superbet

2.65

Marathonbet

2.63

Under

Pinnacle

1.41

1xBet

1.41

Betano

1.40

Marathonbet

1.39

Superbet

1.38

Şamaxı FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

8.7%

@ 9.80-91.3%

Under

91.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

9.80

1xBet

9.80

Under

No market prices yet.

Şamaxı FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.2%

Under

98.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Qabala

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.8

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.53	0.63	0.44	0.69	0.64	0.57
vs Stronger (11)	0.36	0.82	0.60	1.00	0.17	0.67
vs Similar (18)	0.67	0.56	0.40	0.60	1.00	0.50
vs Weaker (1)	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+22pp vs league)

This opponent (Şamaxı FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Şamaxı FK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.53	0.80	0.67	0.93	0.40	0.67
vs Stronger (11)	0.45	1.18	0.67	1.00	0.20	1.40
vs Similar (19)	0.58	0.58	0.67	0.89	0.50	0.30
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+22pp vs league)

This opponent (Qabala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

71.5%

@ 1.29+0.5%

Under 0.5

28.5%

@ 3.17-0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.33

Bet365

1.30

Superbet

1.29

Marathonbet

1.28

1xBet

1.27

Under

Bet365

3.40

1xBet

3.20

Marathonbet

3.14

William Hil

3.10

Superbet

3.00

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

38.4%

@ 2.39-0.1%

Under 1.5

61.6%

@ 1.49+0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

2.45

Superbet

2.42

Marathonbet

2.39

Bet365

2.38

1xBet

2.36

Under

Bet365

1.53

Betano

1.52

William Hil

1.50

1xBet

1.48

Marathonbet

1.47

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

13.5%

@ 5.60-2.9%

Under 2.5

86.5%

@ 1.10+2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

6.00

William Hil

5.80

Marathonbet

5.55

1xBet

5.45

Superbet

5.20

Under

Bet365

1.12

William Hil

1.11

Superbet

1.09

1xBet

1.08

Marathonbet

1.08

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Qabala over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

48.8%

@ 1.69-5.7%

Under

51.2%

@ 2.02+5.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.72

Marathonbet

1.68

1xBet

1.67

Under

1xBet

2.08

Superbet

2.00

Marathonbet

1.99

Qabala over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

15.2%

@ 4.38-5.7%

Under

84.8%

@ 1.16+5.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.55

1xBet

4.20

Under

1xBet

1.17

Marathonbet

1.14

Qabala over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

2.8%

Under

97.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Şamaxı FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

43.3%

@ 2.25+2.5%

Under

56.7%

@ 1.55-2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.27

Superbet

2.27

Marathonbet

2.20

Under

1xBet

1.56

Marathonbet

1.55

Superbet

1.53

Şamaxı FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

11.5%

@ 7.90-0.1%

Under

88.5%

@ 1.03+0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

8.00

Marathonbet

7.80

Under

1xBet

1.03

Marathonbet

1.03

Şamaxı FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

2.5%

Under

97.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	99.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	98.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	98.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.02	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+3.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	97.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	97.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	97.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	93.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.07	Betfair 1.06	Superbet 1.03	BetVictor 1.03	1xBet 1.02	+4.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	91.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.04	Superbet 1.01	-	-	-	+2.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	91.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	91.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.06	William Hil 1.06	Betfair 1.05	Superbet 1.03	BetVictor 1.03	+2.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	90.0%	1.13	Bet365 1.17	BetVictor 1.13	1xBet 1.12	Superbet 1.12	Marathonbet 1.10	+9.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	89.8%	1.07	1xBet 1.09	Marathonbet 1.06	-	-	-	+4.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	88.5%	1.03	1xBet 1.03	Marathonbet 1.03	-	-	-	+0.1%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	87.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-1.3%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	86.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.12	William Hil 1.11	Superbet 1.09	1xBet 1.08	Marathonbet 1.08	+2.9%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	84.8%	1.16	1xBet 1.17	Marathonbet 1.14	-	-	-	+5.7%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	84.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.25	Marathonbet 1.19	-	-	-	+11.1%	✓ Hit
Under 3.5	83.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.22	Betano 1.20	Betfair 1.20	BetVictor 1.18	Superbet 1.17	+6.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals	73.5%	1.21	Marathonbet 1.22	Bet365 1.22	Superbet 1.21	1xBet 1.20	BetVictor 1.18	-2.1%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	71.5%	1.29	William Hil 1.33	Bet365 1.30	Superbet 1.29	Marathonbet 1.28	1xBet 1.27	+0.5%	✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals	71.4%	1.29	William Hil 1.33	Bet365 1.30	Betfair 1.30	BetVictor 1.29	1xBet 1.28	+0.1%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (25)

€25m

SF (24)

€17m

NB (23)

€13m

ZIR (23)

€12m

TUR (23)

€10m

SUM (22)

€9m

IF (18)

€6m

ARA (19)

€6m

KAP (24)

€5m

QAB (18)

€5m

SB (15)

€4m

ŞF (15)

€4m

Qabala and Şamaxı FK have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (9)

€8m

ZIR (10)

€6m

SF (7)

€5m

NB (7)

€4m

SUM (7)

€4m

TUR (7)

€3m

IF (7)

€3m

ARA (7)

€3m

SB (5)

€1m

QAB (5)

€1m

ŞF (6)

€1m

KAP (8)

€1m

Qabala and Şamaxı FK have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SF (7)

€5m

QAR (3)

€3m

NB (6)

€3m

SUM (4)

€2m

TUR (4)

€2m

ARA (5)

€2m

KAP (6)

€2m

ŞF (3)

€1m

ZIR (3)

€1m

QAB (3)

€1m

IF (2)

€1m

SB (2)

€0m

Qabala and Şamaxı FK have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (13)

€14m

SF (10)

€7m

NB (10)

€6m

ZIR (10)

€6m

TUR (12)

€5m

SUM (11)

€4m

IF (9)

€3m

QAB (10)

€3m

KAP (10)

€3m

SB (8)

€3m

ARA (7)

€2m

ŞF (6)

€2m

Qabala's defence is €1m more valuable than Şamaxı FK's (€3m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings

QAB wins

Draws

ŞF wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Qabala vs Şamaxı FK · H/A from QAB

Date	H/A	Game	Score
21/05/26	H	QAB Vs Şamaxı FK	3-1
24/01/26	A	Şamaxı FK Vs QAB	0-4
05/10/25	H	QAB Vs Şamaxı FK	0-1
22/05/23	A	Şamaxı FK Vs QAB	0-0
17/03/23	H	QAB Vs Şamaxı FK	2-0
14/10/22	A	Şamaxı FK Vs QAB	1-1
14/08/22	H	QAB Vs Şamaxı FK	3-1

Qabala

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/08/26	H	QAB Vs Safa Baku	0-1
14/08/26	A	Turan Vs QAB	1-0
28/05/26	H	QAB Vs Mingəçevir	2-0
21/05/26	H	QAB Vs Şamaxı FK	3-1
15/05/26	A	Karvan Vs QAB	1-2
09/05/26	H	QAB Vs Qarabag	1-1
03/05/26	A	Zira Vs QAB	1-0
25/04/26	H	QAB Vs Araz	1-1
19/04/26	A	Sumqayıt Vs QAB	1-0
12/04/26	H	QAB Vs Imisli FK	0-1

Şamaxı FK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/26	A	Turan Vs ŞF	0-0
17/08/26	A	Qarabag Vs ŞF	3-1
21/05/26	A	Qabala Vs ŞF	3-1
16/05/26	H	ŞF Vs Turan	3-2
10/05/26	A	Neftchi Baku Vs ŞF	3-0
03/05/26	H	ŞF Vs Sabah FA	0-3
26/04/26	H	ŞF Vs Kapaz	2-0
18/04/26	A	Karvan Vs ŞF	1-0
11/04/26	H	ŞF Vs Qarabag	0-0
07/04/26	A	Zira Vs ŞF	1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Qabala

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWWLL	1.20
Home	DDWWL	1.54
Away	WLLWL	0.83

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	46%	21%
AVG goals	2.52	2.77	2.25
Over 1.5 %	68%	81%	54%
Over 2.5 %	44%	54%	33%
Over 3.5 %	26%	31%	21%
Scored	1.32	1.62	1.00
Conceded	1.20	1.15	1.25
BTTS	40%	50%	29%
Clean Sheet	24%	23%	25%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Şamaxı FK

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWLLD	1.20
Home	LDWLW	1.32
Away	LLLLD	1.08

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	36%	24%
AVG goals	2.16	2.24	2.08
Over 1.5 %	66%	64%	68%
Over 2.5 %	44%	48%	40%
Over 3.5 %	16%	16%	16%
Scored	0.92	1.00	0.84
Conceded	1.24	1.24	1.24
BTTS	46%	44%	48%
Clean Sheet	34%	32%	36%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Zira	3	9	100%	3.0	6	1	+5	2.3	67%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	12	6	1	6	2.0	0.3	-
2	Neftchi Baku	3	6	67%	2.0	8	2	+6	3.3	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	13	4	3	6	2.7	0.7	-
3	Qarabag	2	6	100%	3.0	4	1	+3	2.5	50%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	25	8	3	14	2.0	0.5	-
4	Sabah FA	2	6	100%	3.0	3	0	+3	1.5	50%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	17	5	5	7	1.5	0.0	-
5	Turan	3	4	33%	1.3	1	1	+0	0.7	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	10	3	2	5	0.3	0.3	-
6	Imisli FK	3	4	33%	1.3	2	3	-1	1.7	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	3	0.7	1.0	-
7	Kapaz	2	3	50%	1.5	1	2	-1	1.5	50%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	2	3	0.5	1.0	-
8	Safa Baku	3	3	33%	1.0	1	3	-2	1.3	33%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	0	3	0.3	1.0	-
9	Şamaxı FK	3	2	0%	0.7	1	3	-2	1.3	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	0.3	1.0	-
10	Qabala	3	1	0%	0.3	0	2	-2	0.7	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	1	3	0.0	0.7	-
11	Araz	3	1	0%	0.3	0	6	-6	2.0	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	2	2	0.0	2.0	-
12	Sumqayıt	2	0	0%	0.0	1	4	-3	2.5	50%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	4	2	4	0.5	2.0	-

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

← all matches

Qabala vs Şamaxı FK Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Qabala

Şamaxı FK

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Qabala

Şamaxı FK

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Qabala

Şamaxı FK

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Qabala

Şamaxı FK

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature