Qabala vs Zira Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with Zira holding a 44% chance to triumph, a 31% chance of a draw, and Qabala only 25%. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly open affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.2% probability. Qabala, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.67 conceded, while Zira, on the road versus a weaker opponent, averages 1.33 scored and 0.78 conceded. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals carries an 80.7% probability. Home win 25%, draw 31%, away win 44% are the only team-win chances. The suggested pick list includes only Under 3.5 with its 80.7% chance; no other selections appear. This concise preview highlights the odds, expected goal output, likely score, team form metrics, and the model’s single selection, all drawn directly from the data.

The upset came as Qabala edged Zira 1-0, overturning the pre-match favourite of an away win that the model had assigned a 44% chance. The prediction was wrong, but the model’s other selection, Under 3.5 goals, proved correct, hitting its 80.7% probability. Qabala, fresh from a draw in their last five, were still the stronger side at home, while Zira, on a three-game winning streak away, had a better defensive record. The final score of 1-0 was a narrow home victory that left the model’s odds on the away side off target, yet its goal-total pick delivered as expected.