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Qarabag vs Araz Result & Analysis

Date: 20/08/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Qarabag
Qarabag
vs
Araz
Araz
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qarabag win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Araz win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

QarabagQarabag

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L31W21W40W23L11D01L21W30W21WH·SUM22/05H·TUR28/05A·LIN11/07H·LIN19/07A·RAK26/07H·RAK02/08H·ZIR05/08H·HJK10/08H·TUR13/08A·HJK17/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.130.872.000.752.291.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.001.331.000.671.002.00
vs Weaker (24)2.420.752.230.772.640.73
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Araz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArazAraz

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-665W00D21W20W20W31W12L20W03L20WA·TUR30/03H·FK 05/04A·MOI17/04H·MIN26/04A·QAR04/05H·SƏB08/05A·NEF16/05H·ZAQ23/05H·TUR04/08H·QAB12/08← Birinci DastaPremyer Liqa →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.370.832.690.622.001.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)2.460.882.690.772.181.00
vs Weaker (6)2.000.672.670.001.331.33
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Qarabag) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Qarabag
2.31
Sabah FA
1.61
Zira
1.61
Sumqayıt
1.58
Neftchi Baku
1.56
Turan
1.33
Səbail
1.17
Araz
1.00
Kapaz
0.97
Qabala
0.72
Qarabag is 1.31 points better than Araz in terms of average points per game (2.31 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Qarabag
2.69
Turan
1.47
Neftchi Baku
1.42
Sabah FA
1.39
Səbail
1.39
Kapaz
1.08
Sumqayıt
1.03
Zira
0.92
Araz
0.86
Qabala
0.83
Qarabag is 1.83 goals better than Araz in terms of goals scored per game (2.69 vs 0.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zira
0.61
Qarabag
1.03
Sumqayıt
1.06
Neftchi Baku
1.11
Sabah FA
1.11
Araz
1.39
Turan
1.47
Səbail
1.67
Qabala
1.78
Kapaz
1.86
Qarabag is 0.36 goals better than Araz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

QarabagQarabag

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W01L20W00D00D00D00D10W11DH·SUM22/05H·TUR28/05A·LIN11/07H·LIN19/07A·RAK26/07H·RAK02/08H·ZIR05/08H·HJK10/08H·TUR13/08A·HJK17/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.300.620.250.860.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.170.000.330.000.000.00
vs Weaker (24)0.880.380.690.311.090.45
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Araz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArazAraz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D00D10W10W20W11D01L00D00D10WA·TUR30/03H·FK 05/04A·MOI17/04H·MIN26/04A·QAR04/05H·SƏB08/05A·NEF16/05H·ZAQ23/05H·TUR04/08H·QAB12/08← Birinci DastaPremyer Liqa →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.140.391.330.270.920.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.180.451.330.331.000.60
vs Weaker (6)1.000.171.330.000.670.33
Clean sheet %68% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Qarabag) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Qarabag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qarabag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qarabag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

QarabagQarabag

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W20W20W23L11D01L21W20W10WH·SUM22/05H·TUR28/05A·LIN11/07H·LIN19/07A·RAK26/07H·RAK02/08H·ZIR05/08H·HJK10/08H·TUR13/08A·HJK17/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.571.380.501.430.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.831.330.670.671.002.00
vs Weaker (24)1.540.381.540.461.550.27
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Araz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArazAraz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W00D11D10W00D20W11D20W03L10WA·TUR30/03H·FK 05/04A·MOI17/04H·MIN26/04A·QAR04/05H·SƏB08/05A·NEF16/05H·ZAQ23/05H·TUR04/08H·QAB12/08← Birinci DastaPremyer Liqa →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.250.501.330.401.150.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.320.501.330.501.300.50
vs Weaker (6)1.000.501.330.000.671.00
Clean sheet %68% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Qarabag) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Qarabag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qarabag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qarabag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Araz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

🎽 13. Player market rates

Qarabag
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juninho Vieira50%
Yassine Benzia18%
Abdellah Zoubir18%
Leandro Andrade18%
Redon Xhixha14%
Matheus Silva12%
Nariman Akhundzade12%
Bahlul Mustafazada11%
Toral Bayramov9%
Marko Janković9%
Andrey Lunev0%
Bədavi Huseynov0%
Maksim Medvedev0%
Patrick Andrade0%
Marko Vešović0%
Kevin Medina0%
Hamidou Keyta0%
Elvin Cafarquliyev0%
Júlio Romão0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Júlio Romão56%
Kevin Medina43%
Marko Vešović33%
Redon Xhixha29%
Juninho Vieira20%
Patrick Andrade20%
Elvin Cafarquliyev20%
Toral Bayramov18%
Marko Janković18%
Matheus Silva12%
Bahlul Mustafazada11%
Andrey Lunev10%
Yassine Benzia9%
Leandro Andrade9%
Bədavi Huseynov0%
Maksim Medvedev0%
Abdellah Zoubir0%
Hamidou Keyta0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Toral Bayramov18%
Marko Vešović17%
Hamidou Keyta14%
Bədavi Huseynov11%
Juninho Vieira10%
Patrick Andrade10%
Elvin Cafarquliyev10%
Yassine Benzia9%
Abdellah Zoubir9%
Marko Janković9%
Leandro Andrade9%
Andrey Lunev0%
Maksim Medvedev0%
Redon Xhixha0%
Matheus Silva0%
Kevin Medina0%
Bahlul Mustafazada0%
Júlio Romão0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juninho Vieira30%
Leandro Andrade18%
Abdellah Zoubir9%
Marko Janković9%
Andrey Lunev0%
Yassine Benzia0%
Bədavi Huseynov0%
Maksim Medvedev0%
Toral Bayramov0%
Redon Xhixha0%
Matheus Silva0%
Patrick Andrade0%
Marko Vešović0%
Kevin Medina0%
Hamidou Keyta0%
Bahlul Mustafazada0%
Elvin Cafarquliyev0%
Júlio Romão0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (25)
€25m
SF (24)
€17m
NB (23)
€13m
ZIR (23)
€12m
TUR (23)
€10m
SUM (22)
€9m
ARA (19)
€6m
KAP (24)
€5m
QAB (18)
€5m
SƏB (4)
€1m
Qarabag's squad is €19m more valuable than Araz's (€25m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (9)
€8m
ZIR (10)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NB (7)
€4m
SUM (7)
€4m
TUR (7)
€3m
ARA (7)
€3m
QAB (5)
€1m
KAP (8)
€1m
SƏB (0)
€0m
Qarabag's attack is €5m more valuable than Araz's (€8m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SF (7)
€5m
QAR (3)
€3m
NB (6)
€3m
SUM (4)
€2m
TUR (4)
€2m
ARA (5)
€2m
KAP (6)
€2m
ZIR (3)
€1m
QAB (3)
€1m
SƏB (1)
€0m
Qarabag's midfield is €2m more valuable than Araz's (€3m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (13)
€14m
SF (10)
€7m
NB (10)
€6m
ZIR (10)
€6m
TUR (12)
€5m
SUM (11)
€4m
QAB (10)
€3m
KAP (10)
€3m
ARA (7)
€2m
SƏB (3)
€1m
Qarabag's defence is €12m more valuable than Araz's (€14m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
QAR wins
0
Draws
0
ARA wins

Head-to-head

Qarabag vs Araz · H/A from QAR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

QarabagQarabag

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/23AHJK Helsinki Vs QAR1-2
13/08/23HQAR Vs Turan3-0
10/08/23HQAR Vs HJK Helsinki2-1
05/08/23HQAR Vs Zira0-1
02/08/23HQAR Vs Raków Częstochowa1-1
26/07/23ARaków Częstochowa Vs QAR3-2
19/07/23HQAR Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC4-0
11/07/23ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs QAR1-2
28/05/23HQAR Vs Turan3-1
22/05/23HQAR Vs Sumqayıt1-2

ArazAraz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/23HARA Vs Qabala2-0
04/08/23HARA Vs Turan0-3
23/05/23HARA Vs Zaqatala2-0
16/05/23ANeftçi II Vs ARA2-1
08/05/23HARA Vs Səbail II3-1
04/05/23AQaradağ Lökbatan Vs ARA0-2
26/04/23HARA Vs Mingəçevir2-0
17/04/23AMOIK Vs ARA1-2
05/04/23HARA Vs FK Qəbələ II0-0
30/03/23ATuran II Vs ARA5-6

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Qarabag
Qarabag
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW2.22
HomeWDLWW2.23
AwayWWWLW2.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%65%71%
AVG goals3.002.883.12
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %66%65%67%
Over 3.5 %36%38%33%
Scored2.242.152.33
Conceded0.760.730.79
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet46%42%50%
Corners9.299.868.71
Cards4.144.004.29
Araz
Araz
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW2.40
HomeWWWLW2.56
AwayWWWWL2.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %77%81%71%
AVG goals3.203.313.07
Over 1.5 %90%94%86%
Over 2.5 %63%69%57%
Over 3.5 %30%44%14%
Scored2.372.692.00
Conceded0.830.621.07
BTTS43%31%57%
Clean Sheet50%62%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1QarabagQarabag3683
72%
2.3
9737+60
3.7
89%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
25
83142.71.0
-
2ZiraZira3658
44%
1.6
3322+11
1.5
33%
25%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6160.90.6
-
3Sabah FASabah FA3658
47%
1.6
5040+10
2.5
72%
39%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
5571.41.1
-
4SumqayıtSumqayıt3657
42%
1.6
3738-1
2.1
56%
33%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4241.01.1
-
5Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku3656
44%
1.6
5140+11
2.5
69%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4361.41.1
-
6TuranTuran3648
36%
1.3
5353+0
2.9
83%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.51.5
-
7SəbailSəbail3642
31%
1.2
5060-10
3.1
81%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.7
-
8ArazAraz3636
25%
1.0
3150-19
2.2
72%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3220.91.4
-
9KapazKapaz3635
25%
1.0
3967-28
2.9
72%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1231.11.9
-
10QabalaQabala3626
19%
0.7
3064-34
2.6
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1130.81.8
-
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

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