PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Qarabag vs Kapaz Prediction & Stats

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Qarabag
Qarabag
Vs
85%
11%
4%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kapaz
Kapaz
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Qarabag’s dominant home form and Kapaz’s struggles on the road make a home win the clear favourite, a 85 % chance that the model assigns. The team’s average of 3.14 goals scored at home against weaker opponents and a mere 0.57 conceded underlines their advantage, while Kapaz’s 0.55 goals scored and 1.64 conceded away against stronger sides show a defensive frailty. The expected total is 3.4 goals, with the most likely total of 3 goals at 22 %. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, a 13.7 % probability. The probabilities for the match result are 85 % home win, 11 % draw, 4 % away win. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals (99.8 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.5 %), Home +2 handicap (99.2 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (99.0 %), Away under 2.5 goals (98.4 % with a 4 % edge), Under 7.5 (97.5 % with a 4 % edge), Home or Draw (96.4 % with a 6 % edge) and Home +1 handicap (96.4 % with a 6 % edge). Recent form notes that Qarabag are on a three-game winning run, while Kapaz have just recovered from three straight defeats.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qarabag win
85.2%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.20
Edge
+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Draw
11.2%
Avg Implied 15.7% · @ 5.84
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.10
Pinnacle
6.03
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Kapaz win
3.6%
Avg Implied 8.4% · @ 10.93
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
12.50
888Sport
12.00
William Hil
12.00
Betfair
11.00
BetVictor
11.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

QarabagQarabag

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D30W43W30W00D00D01L20W31W10WA·QAB09/05H·IMI16/05A·SUM22/05A·VES16/07H·CSK23/07A·CSK30/07A·DYN06/08H·DYN13/08H·ŞAM17/08A·TWE20/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.302.541.151.471.41
vs Stronger (3)1.005.001.006.001.004.50
vs Similar (9)1.001.001.401.200.500.75
vs Weaker (18)2.560.833.570.431.911.09
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kapaz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KapazKapaz

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L14L01L02L21W10W02L01L02LH·QAR20/03H·QAB05/04A·KAR10/04H·IMI19/04A·ŞAM26/04H·SUM02/05A·SAB08/05A·ARA15/05H·NEF23/05A·SAB15/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.531.001.500.641.57
vs Stronger (18)0.561.610.501.750.601.50
vs Similar (12)1.251.421.501.250.751.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Qarabag) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%119%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.3%
@ 1.13+3.7%
Under 1.5
13.7%
@ 5.34-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
BetVictor
5.25
888Sport
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.9%
@ 1.47+4.4%
Under 2.5
33.1%
@ 2.44-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.50
BetVictor
1.48
Betano
1.47
Under
Marathonbet
2.70
Betfair
2.55
888Sport
2.45
Pinnacle
2.44
1xBet
2.40
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
45.2%
@ 2.18+2.9%
Under 3.5
54.8%
@ 1.60-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
888Sport
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.71
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Both teams to score
Yes
38.8%
@ 1.97-7.8%
No
61.2%
@ 1.72+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
2.05
888Sport
2.05
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Betfair
1.95
No
Betfair
1.80
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.70

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.7%@ 6.01+6.5%
3-0
13.4%@ 6.94+7.2%
4-0
9.8%@ 10.13+5.5%
1-0
8.9%@ 7.56+3.2%
2-1
7.1%@ 8.09+1.8%
3-1
6.9%@ 9.54+2.4%
5-0
5.7%@ 17.79+3.3%
1-1
5.3%@ 10.58+1.3%
Qarabag goals ↓
Kapaz goals →
01234
03.7%1.2%0.4%0.1%0.0%
18.9%5.3%1.3%0.2%0.0%
214%7.1%1.8%0.3%0.0%
313%6.9%1.8%0.3%0.0%
49.8%5.1%1.3%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Qarabag goals (down), columns = Kapaz goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sabah FA
2.36
Qarabag
2.09
Neftchi Baku
1.79
Turan
1.79
Zira
1.61
Araz
1.39
Sumqayıt
1.19
Şamaxı FK
1.15
Safa Baku
1.09
Imisli FK
1.06
Qabala
0.88
Kapaz
0.82
Qarabag is 1.27 points better than Kapaz in terms of average points per game (2.09 vs 0.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sabah FA
2.27
Qarabag
2.15
Neftchi Baku
1.73
Araz
1.33
Turan
1.33
Sumqayıt
1.31
Zira
1.30
Safa Baku
1.02
Qabala
1.00
Şamaxı FK
0.94
Kapaz
0.76
Imisli FK
0.72
Qarabag is 1.39 goals better than Kapaz in terms of goals scored per game (2.15 vs 0.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sabah FA
0.76
Qarabag
0.82
Turan
0.82
Neftchi Baku
0.97
Zira
1.09
Şamaxı FK
1.21
Imisli FK
1.25
Qabala
1.44
Sumqayıt
1.53
Safa Baku
1.57
Araz
1.76
Kapaz
1.85
Qarabag is 1.03 goals better than Kapaz in terms of goals conceded per game (0.82 vs 1.85).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Qarabag or Draw
96.4%
Avg Implied 90.2% · @ 1.04
Edge
+6.2%
85%
11%
4%
covers Qarabag + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.04
William Hil
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Qarabag or Kapaz
88.8%
Avg Implied 85.5% · @ 1.09
Edge
+3.4%
85%
11%
4%
covers Qarabag + Kapaz
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Draw or Kapaz
14.8%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.85
Edge
-9.5%
85%
11%
4%
covers Draw + Kapaz
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
4.35
888Sport
4.20
William Hil
4.20
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.90

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Qarabag over/under 0.5
Over
94.7%
@ 1.04+4.0%
Under
5.3%
@ 10.17-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Under
1xBet
11.50
888Sport
11.00
Bet365
8.00
Qarabag over/under 1.5
Over
79.0%
@ 1.29+7.3%
Under
21.0%
@ 3.26-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
BetVictor
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Marathonbet
3.68
888Sport
3.30
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.05
BetVictor
3.00
Qarabag over/under 2.5
Over
56.1%
@ 1.92+8.0%
Under
43.9%
@ 1.77-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
1.98
888Sport
1.95
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Under
Marathonbet
1.92
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
888Sport
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Qarabag over/under 3.5
Over
33.7%
@ 3.27+5.6%
Under
66.3%
@ 1.27-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
888Sport
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
2.93
Under
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
888Sport
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Kapaz over/under 0.5
Over
40.5%
@ 1.87-8.7%
Under
59.5%
@ 1.81+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
1xBet
1.95
888Sport
1.85
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.84
888Sport
1.83
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Kapaz over/under 1.5
Over
9.6%
@ 5.17-8.2%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.12+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.75
Marathonbet
5.45
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
BetVictor
4.75
Under
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
BetVictor
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Kapaz over/under 2.5
Over
1.6%
@ 17.00-4.1%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
11.00
Under
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Kapaz over/under 3.5
Over
0.2%
@ 21.00-99.8%
Under
99.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Qarabag, so a minus line means Qarabag give that many goals of a start and Kapaz receive them. At -1, Qarabag must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Qarabag win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Qarabag)
Qarabag -2
45.3%
@ 2.51+9.8%
Draw -2
22.0%
@ 3.93-0.6%
Kapaz +2
32.7%
@ 2.12-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Marathonbet
2.33
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
2.21
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.05
Handicap -1 (Qarabag)
Qarabag -1
67.3%
@ 1.60+12.0%
Draw -1
18.0%
@ 4.05-3.9%
Kapaz +1
14.8%
@ 3.88-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.53
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
4.35
Bet365
3.40
Handicap +1 (Qarabag)
Qarabag +1
96.4%
@ 1.03+5.8%
Draw +1
2.8%
@ 15.00-3.4%
Kapaz -1
0.8%
@ 29.00-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
Handicap +2 (Qarabag)
Qarabag +2
99.2%
Draw +2
0.7%
Kapaz -2
0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

QarabagQarabag

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W20W00D00D01L10W11D00DA·QAB09/05H·IMI16/05A·SUM22/05A·VES16/07H·CSK23/07A·CSK30/07A·DYN06/08H·DYN13/08H·ŞAM17/08A·TWE20/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.671.000.770.590.59
vs Stronger (3)0.003.000.005.000.002.00
vs Similar (9)0.220.440.400.600.000.25
vs Weaker (18)1.170.391.570.290.910.45
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kapaz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KapazKapaz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L01L00D00D00D01L00D00DH·QAR20/03H·QAB05/04A·KAR10/04H·IMI19/04A·ŞAM26/04H·SUM02/05A·SAB08/05A·ARA15/05H·NEF23/05A·SAB15/08
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.620.690.210.57
vs Stronger (18)0.280.670.380.880.200.50
vs Similar (12)0.670.580.880.500.250.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Qarabag) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.8%
@ 1.23+4.3%
Under 0.5
20.2%
@ 3.77-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
3.98
BetVictor
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.7%
@ 2.12+1.4%
Under 1.5
55.3%
@ 1.62-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Under
Marathonbet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 4.57-0.4%
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.16+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.33
Under
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Qarabag over/under 0.5 HT
Over
76.1%
@ 1.41+10.4%
Under
23.9%
@ 2.70-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.75
Betano
2.65
Qarabag over/under 1.5 HT
Over
36.3%
@ 2.73+2.5%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.39-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.76
Betano
2.70
Marathonbet
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.36
Qarabag over/under 2.5 HT
Over
17.7%
@ 7.30+5.2%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.05-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Under
1xBet
1.05
Kapaz over/under 0.5 HT
Over
24.3%
@ 3.21-4.4%
Under
75.7%
@ 1.29+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.28
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Kapaz over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kapaz over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

QarabagQarabag

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W23L10W00D00D00D10W20W10WA·QAB09/05H·IMI16/05A·SUM22/05A·VES16/07H·CSK23/07A·CSK30/07A·DYN06/08H·DYN13/08H·ŞAM17/08A·TWE20/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.631.540.380.880.82
vs Stronger (3)1.002.001.001.001.002.50
vs Similar (9)0.780.561.000.600.500.50
vs Weaker (18)1.390.442.000.141.000.64
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kapaz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KapazKapaz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L12L00D02L21W10W01L01L02LH·QAR20/03H·QAB05/04A·KAR10/04H·IMI19/04A·ŞAM26/04H·SUM02/05A·SAB08/05A·ARA15/05H·NEF23/05A·SAB15/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.380.810.431.00
vs Stronger (18)0.280.940.120.880.401.00
vs Similar (12)0.580.830.620.750.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Qarabag) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
85.9%
Under 0.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
55.8%
Under 1.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
30.6%
Under 2.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Qarabag over/under 0.5 2H
Over
81.2%
Under
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qarabag over/under 1.5 2H
Over
44.9%
Under
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Qarabag over/under 2.5 2H
Over
22.4%
Under
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kapaz over/under 0.5 2H
Over
29.3%
Under
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kapaz over/under 1.5 2H
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kapaz over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals99.8%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.5%-------
Home +2 handicap99.2%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals99.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals98.4%1.01
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.01
---+4.1%
Under 7.597.5%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+3.9%
Home or Draw96.4%1.04
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.04
William Hil
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
+6.2%
Home +1 handicap96.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals95.4%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals95.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals94.7%1.04
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
1xBet
1.02
--+4.0%
Under 6.593.9%1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
---+3.2%
Away under 1.5 goals90.4%1.12
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
BetVictor
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+8.2%
Home or Away88.8%1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
+3.4%
Under 5.586.5%1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
888Sport
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-0.1%
Over 1.586.3%1.13
888Sport
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
+3.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals85.9%-------
Home win85.2%1.20
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
+9.3%
Home under 2.5 HT goals82.3%1.05
1xBet
1.05
-----5.2%
Home over 0.5 2H goals81.2%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals80.1%1.16
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
+0.4%
Over 0.5 HT goals79.8%1.23
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
+4.3%
Home over 1.5 goals79.0%1.29
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
BetVictor
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Marathonbet
1.20
+7.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals77.6%-------
Home over 0.5 HT goals76.1%1.41
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
---+10.4%
Away under 0.5 HT goals75.7%1.29
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
--+4.4%
Under 4.573.6%1.24
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
-1.1%
Away under 0.5 2H goals70.7%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Qarabag · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Camilo Durán40%
Leandro Andrade36%
Marko Janković18%
Abdellah Zoubir17%
Elvin Jafarguliyev17%
Musa Qurbanlı12%
Oleksiy Kashchuk11%
Bahlul Mustafazada9%
Matheus Silva8%
Kevin Medina8%
Emmanuel Addai8%
Toral Bayramov0%
Kady Borges0%
Joni Montiel0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Pedro Bicalho0%
Dani Bolt0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matheus Silva33%
Kevin Medina25%
Marko Janković18%
Pedro Bicalho17%
Nariman Akhundzade12%
Toral Bayramov11%
Camilo Durán10%
Abdellah Zoubir0%
Kady Borges0%
Joni Montiel0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Bahlul Mustafazada0%
Elvin Jafarguliyev0%
Oleksiy Kashchuk0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Musa Qurbanlı0%
Leandro Andrade0%
Dani Bolt0%
Emmanuel Addai0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nariman Akhundzade25%
Joni Montiel20%
Marko Janković18%
Leandro Andrade18%
Abdellah Zoubir17%
Kady Borges12%
Camilo Durán10%
Bahlul Mustafazada9%
Matheus Silva8%
Elvin Jafarguliyev8%
Toral Bayramov0%
Kevin Medina0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Oleksiy Kashchuk0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Musa Qurbanlı0%
Pedro Bicalho0%
Dani Bolt0%
Emmanuel Addai0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Camilo Durán20%
Abdellah Zoubir17%
Emmanuel Addai8%
Toral Bayramov0%
Kady Borges0%
Matheus Silva0%
Marko Janković0%
Kevin Medina0%
Joni Montiel0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Bahlul Mustafazada0%
Elvin Jafarguliyev0%
Oleksiy Kashchuk0%
Mateusz Kochalski0%
Musa Qurbanlı0%
Leandro Andrade0%
Pedro Bicalho0%
Dani Bolt0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (25)
€25m
SF (24)
€17m
NB (23)
€13m
ZIR (23)
€12m
TUR (23)
€10m
SUM (22)
€9m
IF (18)
€6m
ARA (19)
€6m
KAP (24)
€5m
QAB (18)
€5m
SB (15)
€4m
ŞF (15)
€4m
Qarabag's squad is €19m more valuable than Kapaz's (€25m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (9)
€8m
ZIR (10)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NB (7)
€4m
SUM (7)
€4m
TUR (7)
€3m
IF (7)
€3m
ARA (7)
€3m
SB (5)
€1m
QAB (5)
€1m
ŞF (6)
€1m
KAP (8)
€1m
Qarabag's attack is €7m more valuable than Kapaz's (€8m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SF (7)
€5m
QAR (3)
€3m
NB (6)
€3m
SUM (4)
€2m
TUR (4)
€2m
ARA (5)
€2m
KAP (6)
€2m
ŞF (3)
€1m
ZIR (3)
€1m
QAB (3)
€1m
IF (2)
€1m
SB (2)
€0m
Qarabag's midfield is €2m more valuable than Kapaz's (€3m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (13)
€14m
SF (10)
€7m
NB (10)
€6m
ZIR (10)
€6m
TUR (12)
€5m
SUM (11)
€4m
IF (9)
€3m
QAB (10)
€3m
KAP (10)
€3m
SB (8)
€3m
ARA (7)
€2m
ŞF (6)
€2m
Qarabag's defence is €11m more valuable than Kapaz's (€14m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
QAR wins
1
Draws
2
KAP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Qarabag vs Kapaz · H/A from QAR
DateH/AGameScore
20/03/26AKapaz Vs QAR1-0
24/01/26HQAR Vs Kapaz0-2
04/10/25HQAR Vs Kapaz1-0
18/05/25HQAR Vs Kapaz3-0
15/03/25AKapaz Vs QAR0-0
18/10/24AKapaz Vs QAR0-5
09/08/24HQAR Vs Kapaz3-0
29/03/24AKapaz Vs QAR1-6

QarabagQarabag

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/26ATwente Vs QAR0-1
17/08/26HQAR Vs Şamaxı FK3-1
13/08/26HQAR Vs Dynamo Kyiv2-0
06/08/26ADynamo Kyiv Vs QAR1-0
30/07/26ACSKA Sofia Vs QAR0-0
23/07/26HQAR Vs CSKA Sofia0-0
16/07/26AVestri Vs QAR0-3
22/05/26ASumqayıt Vs QAR3-4
16/05/26HQAR Vs Imisli FK3-0
09/05/26AQabala Vs QAR1-1

KapazKapaz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26ASabah FA Vs KAP2-0
23/05/26HKAP Vs Neftchi Baku0-1
15/05/26AAraz Vs KAP2-0
08/05/26ASabah FA Vs KAP0-1
02/05/26HKAP Vs Sumqayıt2-1
26/04/26AŞamaxı FK Vs KAP2-0
19/04/26HKAP Vs Imisli FK0-1
10/04/26AKarvan Vs KAP4-1
05/04/26HKAP Vs Qabala0-2
20/03/26HKAP Vs Qarabag1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Qarabag
Qarabag
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.80
HomeWWDWW2.15
AwayWWDLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%65%42%
AVG goals3.143.273.00
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %36%42%29%
Scored1.902.271.50
Conceded1.241.001.50
BTTS50%38%62%
Clean Sheet38%54%21%
Corners10.589.0012.17
Cards3.142.433.86
Kapaz
Kapaz
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL0.88
HomeWLLWL1.04
AwayLLWLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals2.422.172.65
Over 1.5 %68%62%73%
Over 2.5 %42%29%54%
Over 3.5 %22%17%27%
Scored0.760.880.65
Conceded1.661.292.00
BTTS28%29%27%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZiraZira39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6162.00.3
-
2Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku36
67%
2.0
82+6
3.3
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4362.70.7
-
3QarabagQarabag26
100%
3.0
41+3
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
25
83142.00.5
-
4Sabah FASabah FA26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
5571.50.0
-
5TuranTuran34
33%
1.3
11+0
0.7
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3250.30.3
-
6Imisli FKImisli FK34
33%
1.3
23-1
1.7
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3130.71.0
-
7KapazKapaz23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1230.51.0
-
8Safa BakuSafa Baku33
33%
1.0
13-2
1.3
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1030.31.0
-
9Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.31.0
-
10QabalaQabala31
0%
0.3
02-2
0.7
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1130.00.7
-
11ArazAraz31
0%
0.3
06-6
2.0
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3220.02.0
-
12SumqayıtSumqayıt20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4240.52.0
-
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

← all matches