Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK Result & Analysis

Date: 17/08/2026

Time: 15:30

Final 3-1

Qarabag

74%

18%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Şamaxı FK

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 13 Player market rates 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Qarabag is the clear favourite to take the three points against Samaxi FK, with the model predicting a home win. This is largely due to Qarabag's impressive home form, where they have scored an average of 3.43 goals and conceded just 0.57 against weaker opponents. In contrast, Samaxi FK has struggled on the road, scoring only 0.43 goals and conceding 1.43 against stronger opponents.

The model predicts a 75% chance of a Qarabag win, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 7% chance of a Samaxi FK victory. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely score is 2-0 to Qarabag, with a probability of 15.2%. The model's selection is the home win, which it rates at 74.7%. Another selection is Over 1.5, which the model rates at 77.5%.

Results analysis

Qarabag’s 3-1 victory over Şəmaxı FK confirmed the model’s prediction that the home side would win, a result that matched the 74 % probability assigned to a home win. The win extends Qarabag’s three-game winning run, while Şəmaxı’s form has dipped after a recent draw. The model’s favourite call was correct, and every suggested pick also hit. The selections included Away under 3.5 goals at 99.7 %, Home +2 handicap at 98.2 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 98.0 %, Home or Draw at 92.8 %, Home +1 handicap at 92.8 %, Home over 0.5 goals at 89.1 %, Away under 1.5 goals at 88.9 % and Home or Away at 81.7 %. All were settled in favour of the predicted outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qarabag win✓ Hit

74.5%

Avg Implied 64.5% · @ 1.40

Edge

+10.0%

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.44

888Sport

1.44

SBO

1.43

Betano

1.42

Unibet

1.42

Draw✗ Miss

18.3%

Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.33

Edge

-2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

4.75

Betfair

4.60

BetVictor

4.60

Dafabet

4.50

Betano

4.45

Şamaxı FK win✗ Miss

7.2%

Avg Implied 14.7% · @ 6.16

Edge

-7.5%

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

7.00

1xBet

6.82

Marathonbet

6.55

Betfair

6.50

Pinnacle

6.34

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Qarabag

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.4

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.90	1.40	2.36	1.29	1.50	1.50
vs Stronger (3)	1.00	5.00	1.00	6.00	1.00	4.50
vs Similar (9)	1.22	1.22	1.67	1.33	0.33	1.00
vs Weaker (18)	2.39	0.89	3.14	0.57	1.91	1.09
Clean sheet %	33% (+2pp vs league)

This opponent (Şamaxı FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Şamaxı FK

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.90	1.23	1.00	1.38	0.79	1.07
vs Stronger (11)	0.82	1.45	1.17	1.50	0.40	1.40
vs Similar (19)	0.95	1.11	0.90	1.30	1.00	0.89
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	43% (+12pp vs league)

This opponent (Qarabag) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

77.3%

@ 1.15-3.1%

Under 1.5

22.7%

@ 4.74+3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

1.17

Bet365

1.17

10Bet

1.17

Betfair

1.14

Marathonbet

1.14

Under

Betfair

5.50

BetVictor

5.00

888Sport

4.80

10Bet

4.50

Bet365

4.50

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

52.6%

@ 1.52-7.7%

Under 2.5

47.4%

@ 2.31+7.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.55

Pinnacle

1.55

Bet365

1.53

888Sport

1.53

1xBet

1.51

Under

Betfair

2.40

Bet365

2.38

10Bet

2.35

Pinnacle

2.34

888Sport

2.30

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

30.4%

@ 2.30-9.6%

Under 3.5

69.6%

@ 1.53+9.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.45

10Bet

2.38

888Sport

2.38

Pinnacle

2.35

1xBet

2.31

Under

Bet365

1.57

Pinnacle

1.54

Unibet

1.53

888Sport

1.53

10Bet

1.53

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

39.3%

@ 1.69-15.1%

60.7%

@ 2.01+15.1%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.73

Betfair

1.73

1xBet

1.71

Marathonbet

1.71

10Bet

1.67

William Hil

2.10

888Sport

2.10

Betfair

2.05

10Bet

2.00

Bet365

2.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

2-0

15.2%@ 7.30+9.3%

1-0

13.0%@ 7.95+7.5%

3-0

11.2%@ 9.48+6.7%

2-1

8.6%@ 7.32+2.7%

1-1

8.6%@ 8.08+3.2%

0-0

7.0%@ 15.04+4.1%

3-1 ✓

6.4%@ 9.77+1.9%

4-0

6.2%@ 16.05+3.5%

Qarabag goals ↓

	Şamaxı FK goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	2.7%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
1	13%	8.6%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
2	15%	8.6%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%
3	11%	6.4%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
4	6.2%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Qarabag goals (down), columns = Şamaxı FK goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Sabah FA

2.36

Qarabag

2.09

Neftchi Baku

1.79

Turan

1.79

Zira

1.61

Araz

1.39

Sumqayıt

1.19

Şamaxı FK

1.15

Imisli FK

1.06

Safa Baku

1.05

Qabala

0.88

Kapaz

0.82

Qarabag is 0.94 points better than Şamaxı FK in terms of average points per game (2.09 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Sabah FA

2.27

Qarabag

2.15

Neftchi Baku

1.73

Araz

1.33

Turan

1.33

Sumqayıt

1.31

Zira

1.30

Qabala

1.00

Safa Baku

0.98

Şamaxı FK

0.94

Kapaz

0.76

Imisli FK

0.72

Qarabag is 1.21 goals better than Şamaxı FK in terms of goals scored per game (2.15 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Sabah FA

0.76

Qarabag

0.82

Turan

0.82

Neftchi Baku

0.97

Zira

1.09

Şamaxı FK

1.21

Imisli FK

1.25

Qabala

1.44

Sumqayıt

1.53

Safa Baku

1.64

Araz

1.76

Kapaz

1.85

Qarabag is 0.39 goals better than Şamaxı FK in terms of goals conceded per game (0.82 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Qarabag or Draw✓ Hit

92.8%

Avg Implied 85.2% · @ 1.08

Edge

+7.6%

74%

18%

covers Qarabag + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.12

BetVictor

1.11

888Sport

1.11

Bet365

1.11

William Hil

1.11

Qarabag or Şamaxı FK✓ Hit

81.7%

Avg Implied 79.6% · @ 1.16

Edge

+2.1%

74%

18%

covers Qarabag + Şamaxı FK

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

1.22

William Hil

1.20

888Sport

1.20

Betano

1.17

Unibet

1.15

Draw or Şamaxı FK✗ Miss

25.5%

Avg Implied 35.2% · @ 2.62

Edge

-9.7%

74%

18%

covers Draw + Şamaxı FK

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

2.80

Betfair

2.80

Betano

2.75

10Bet

2.75

888Sport

2.63

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Qarabag over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

89.1%

@ 1.07+2.6%

Under

10.9%

@ 6.85-2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.08

888Sport

1.08

BetVictor

1.07

Betfair

1.06

1xBet

1.05

Under

888Sport

7.50

Betfair

7.50

Bet365

7.00

1xBet

6.85

BetVictor

5.40

Qarabag over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

64.9%

@ 1.41+0.2%

Under

35.1%

@ 2.59-0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.44

888Sport

1.44

1xBet

1.42

Marathonbet

1.42

10Bet

1.42

Under

Betfair

2.75

Bet365

2.62

Marathonbet

2.57

1xBet

2.57

BetVictor

2.55

Qarabag over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

38.1%

@ 2.32-1.5%

Under

61.9%

@ 1.53+1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

2.40

Bet365

2.38

Betfair

2.38

Pinnacle

2.36

Betano

2.32

Under

Pinnacle

1.56

Betano

1.55

Marathonbet

1.53

Betfair

1.53

Bet365

1.53

Qarabag over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

18.4%

@ 4.13-3.9%

Under

81.6%

@ 1.18+3.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

4.60

Betfair

4.50

Bet365

4.50

BetVictor

4.10

Marathonbet

3.60

Under

1xBet

1.22

Marathonbet

1.21

Betfair

1.17

888Sport

1.17

Bet365

1.17

Şamaxı FK over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

43.2%

@ 1.55-15.9%

Under

56.8%

@ 2.24+15.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.60

Betano

1.57

Betfair

1.57

Marathonbet

1.56

1xBet

1.56

Under

Bet365

2.38

888Sport

2.30

Betano

2.27

Pinnacle

2.27

10Bet

2.25

Şamaxı FK over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

11.1%

@ 3.51-15.2%

Under

88.9%

@ 1.25+15.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.75

Betfair

3.75

Marathonbet

3.75

888Sport

3.60

10Bet

3.55

Under

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.28

888Sport

1.25

10Bet

1.22

Betfair

1.22

Şamaxı FK over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

2.0%

@ 9.36-7.9%

Under

98.0%

@ 1.03+7.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

11.00

Betfair

9.50

Marathonbet

8.90

1xBet

8.90

Bet365

8.50

Under

Bet365

1.05

888Sport

1.04

Betfair

1.04

1xBet

1.01

Marathonbet

1.01

Şamaxı FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

0.3%

@ 22.00-4.1%

Under

99.7%

@ 1.01+4.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

888Sport

29.00

Bet365

15.00

Under

888Sport

1.01

Bet365

1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Qarabag, so a minus line means Qarabag give that many goals of a start and Şamaxı FK receive them. At -1, Qarabag must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Qarabag win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Qarabag)Actual: Draw

Qarabag -2

28.3%

@ 3.53+3.1%

Draw -2

22.6%

@ 4.26+1.8%

Şamaxı FK +2

49.1%

@ 1.64-4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

3.75

Bet365

3.50

Marathonbet

3.34

Draw

Bet365

4.33

Marathonbet

4.25

Betfair

4.20

Away

Bet365

1.67

Marathonbet

1.64

Betfair

1.62

Handicap -1 (Qarabag)Actual: Qarabag

Qarabag -1

50.9%

@ 2.04+7.6%

Draw -1

23.6%

@ 3.72-0.2%

Şamaxı FK +1

25.5%

@ 2.69-7.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

2.10

Bet365

2.05

Marathonbet

2.02

Betfair

2.00

Draw

Bet365

4.00

Betfair

3.75

Marathonbet

3.58

10Bet

3.55

Away

Betfair

2.80

10Bet

2.75

Bet365

2.60

Marathonbet

2.59

Handicap +1 (Qarabag)Actual: Qarabag

Qarabag +1

92.8%

@ 1.13+14.6%

Draw +1

5.4%

@ 6.65-7.8%

Şamaxı FK -1

1.8%

@ 10.35-6.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.16

Bet365

1.10

Draw

Bet365

7.50

Marathonbet

5.80

Away

Bet365

13.00

Marathonbet

7.70

Handicap +2 (Qarabag)Actual: Qarabag

Qarabag +2

98.2%

@ 1.03+6.0%

Draw +2

1.5%

@ 19.00-3.5%

Şamaxı FK -2

0.3%

@ 34.00-2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.03

Draw

Bet365

19.00

Away

Bet365

34.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Qarabag

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.7

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

0.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	0.70	0.93	0.79	0.62	0.62
vs Stronger (3)	0.00	3.00	0.00	5.00	0.00	2.00
vs Similar (9)	0.33	0.56	0.50	0.67	0.00	0.33
vs Weaker (18)	1.11	0.39	1.43	0.29	0.91	0.45
Clean sheet %	53% (+22pp vs league)

This opponent (Şamaxı FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Şamaxı FK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.9

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.37	0.43	0.38	0.38	0.36	0.50
vs Stronger (11)	0.36	0.45	0.50	0.50	0.20	0.40
vs Similar (19)	0.37	0.42	0.30	0.30	0.44	0.56
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	67% (+35pp vs league)

This opponent (Qarabag) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Qarabag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Qarabag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Qarabag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Şamaxı FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Şamaxı FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Şamaxı FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Qarabag

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.13	0.70	1.43	0.50	0.88	0.88
vs Stronger (3)	1.00	2.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	2.50
vs Similar (9)	0.89	0.67	1.17	0.67	0.33	0.67
vs Weaker (18)	1.28	0.50	1.71	0.29	1.00	0.64
Clean sheet %	57% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (Şamaxı FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Şamaxı FK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.53	0.80	0.62	1.00	0.43	0.57
vs Stronger (11)	0.45	1.00	0.67	1.00	0.20	1.00
vs Similar (19)	0.58	0.68	0.60	1.00	0.56	0.33
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+22pp vs league)

This opponent (Qarabag) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Qarabag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Qarabag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Qarabag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Şamaxı FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Şamaxı FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Şamaxı FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Away under 3.5 goals	99.7%	1.01	888Sport 1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	+4.1%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	98.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.0%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	98.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.05	888Sport 1.04	Betfair 1.04	1xBet 1.01	Marathonbet 1.01	+7.9%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	92.8%	1.08	Betano 1.12	BetVictor 1.11	888Sport 1.11	Bet365 1.11	William Hil 1.11	+7.6%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	92.8%	1.13	Marathonbet 1.16	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	+14.6%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	89.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.08	888Sport 1.08	BetVictor 1.07	Betfair 1.06	1xBet 1.05	+2.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals	88.9%	1.25	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.28	888Sport 1.25	10Bet 1.22	Betfair 1.22	+15.2%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	81.7%	1.16	BetVictor 1.22	William Hil 1.20	888Sport 1.20	Betano 1.17	Unibet 1.15	+2.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	81.6%	1.18	1xBet 1.22	Marathonbet 1.21	Betfair 1.17	888Sport 1.17	Bet365 1.17	+3.9%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	77.3%	1.15	888Sport 1.17	Bet365 1.17	10Bet 1.17	Betfair 1.14	Marathonbet 1.14	-3.1%	✓ Hit
Home win	74.5%	1.40	William Hil 1.44	888Sport 1.44	SBO 1.43	Betano 1.42	Unibet 1.42	+10.0%	✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Qarabag · 2025/26

Anytime goalscorer

Matches in which the player scored

Camilo Durán40%

Leandro Andrade36%

Marko Janković18%

Abdellah Zoubir17%

Elvin Jafarguliyev17%

Musa Qurbanlı12%

Oleksiy Kashchuk11%

Bahlul Mustafazada9%

Matheus Silva8%

Kevin Medina8%

Emmanuel Addai8%

Toral Bayramov0%

Kady Borges0%

Joni Montiel0%

Chris Kouakou0%

Mateusz Kochalski0%

Pedro Bicalho0%

Dani Bolt0%

Nariman Akhundzade0%

To be booked (yellow)

Matches in which the player was booked

Matheus Silva33%

Kevin Medina25%

Marko Janković18%

Pedro Bicalho17%

Nariman Akhundzade12%

Toral Bayramov11%

Camilo Durán10%

Abdellah Zoubir0%

Kady Borges0%

Joni Montiel0%

Chris Kouakou0%

Bahlul Mustafazada0%

Elvin Jafarguliyev0%

Oleksiy Kashchuk0%

Mateusz Kochalski0%

Musa Qurbanlı0%

Leandro Andrade0%

Dani Bolt0%

Emmanuel Addai0%

Anytime assist

Matches in which the player assisted

Nariman Akhundzade25%

Joni Montiel20%

Marko Janković18%

Leandro Andrade18%

Abdellah Zoubir17%

Kady Borges12%

Camilo Durán10%

Bahlul Mustafazada9%

Matheus Silva8%

Elvin Jafarguliyev8%

Toral Bayramov0%

Kevin Medina0%

Chris Kouakou0%

Oleksiy Kashchuk0%

Mateusz Kochalski0%

Musa Qurbanlı0%

Pedro Bicalho0%

Dani Bolt0%

Emmanuel Addai0%

Over 2.5 shots

Matches with 3+ shots taken

Camilo Durán20%

Abdellah Zoubir17%

Emmanuel Addai8%

Toral Bayramov0%

Kady Borges0%

Matheus Silva0%

Marko Janković0%

Kevin Medina0%

Joni Montiel0%

Chris Kouakou0%

Bahlul Mustafazada0%

Elvin Jafarguliyev0%

Oleksiy Kashchuk0%

Mateusz Kochalski0%

Musa Qurbanlı0%

Leandro Andrade0%

Pedro Bicalho0%

Dani Bolt0%

Nariman Akhundzade0%

Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (25)

€25m

SF (24)

€17m

NB (23)

€13m

ZIR (23)

€12m

TUR (23)

€10m

SUM (22)

€9m

IF (18)

€6m

ARA (19)

€6m

KAP (24)

€5m

QAB (18)

€5m

SB (15)

€4m

ŞF (15)

€4m

Qarabag's squad is €21m more valuable than Şamaxı FK's (€25m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (9)

€8m

ZIR (10)

€6m

SF (7)

€5m

NB (7)

€4m

SUM (7)

€4m

TUR (7)

€3m

IF (7)

€3m

ARA (7)

€3m

SB (5)

€1m

QAB (5)

€1m

ŞF (6)

€1m

KAP (8)

€1m

Qarabag's attack is €7m more valuable than Şamaxı FK's (€8m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SF (7)

€5m

QAR (3)

€3m

NB (6)

€3m

SUM (4)

€2m

TUR (4)

€2m

ARA (5)

€2m

KAP (6)

€2m

ŞF (3)

€1m

ZIR (3)

€1m

QAB (3)

€1m

IF (2)

€1m

SB (2)

€0m

Qarabag's midfield is €2m more valuable than Şamaxı FK's (€3m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (13)

€14m

SF (10)

€7m

NB (10)

€6m

ZIR (10)

€6m

TUR (12)

€5m

SUM (11)

€4m

IF (9)

€3m

QAB (10)

€3m

KAP (10)

€3m

SB (8)

€3m

ARA (7)

€2m

ŞF (6)

€2m

Qarabag's defence is €12m more valuable than Şamaxı FK's (€14m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

QAR wins

Draws

ŞF wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK · H/A from QAR

Date	H/A	Game	Score
11/04/26	A	Şamaxı FK Vs QAR	0-0
04/03/26	H	QAR Vs Şamaxı FK	3-1
10/02/26	A	Şamaxı FK Vs QAR	1-2
05/02/26	A	Şamaxı FK Vs QAR	2-1
26/10/25	H	QAR Vs Şamaxı FK	0-0
24/05/25	A	Şamaxı FK Vs QAR	0-1
17/01/25	H	QAR Vs Şamaxı FK	3-2
19/12/24	A	Şamaxı FK Vs QAR	0-1

Qarabag

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
13/08/26	H	QAR Vs Dynamo Kyiv	2-0
06/08/26	A	Dynamo Kyiv Vs QAR	1-0
30/07/26	A	CSKA Sofia Vs QAR	0-0
23/07/26	H	QAR Vs CSKA Sofia	0-0
16/07/26	A	Vestri Vs QAR	0-3
22/05/26	A	Sumqayıt Vs QAR	3-4
16/05/26	H	QAR Vs Imisli FK	3-0
09/05/26	A	Qabala Vs QAR	1-1
04/05/26	H	QAR Vs Turan	2-1
30/04/26	A	Neftchi Baku Vs QAR	2-1

Şamaxı FK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
21/05/26	A	Qabala Vs ŞF	3-1
16/05/26	H	ŞF Vs Turan	3-2
10/05/26	A	Neftchi Baku Vs ŞF	3-0
03/05/26	H	ŞF Vs Sabah FA	0-3
26/04/26	H	ŞF Vs Kapaz	2-0
18/04/26	A	Karvan Vs ŞF	1-0
11/04/26	H	ŞF Vs Qarabag	0-0
07/04/26	A	Zira Vs ŞF	1-1
18/03/26	H	ŞF Vs Araz	0-1
13/03/26	A	Sumqayıt Vs ŞF	0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Qarabag

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WDDLW	1.80
Home	LWWDW	2.12
Away	DWWDL	1.48

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	54%	64%	44%
AVG goals	3.24	3.24	3.24
Over 1.5 %	80%	80%	80%
Over 2.5 %	60%	52%	68%
Over 3.5 %	38%	40%	36%
Scored	1.98	2.24	1.72
Conceded	1.26	1.00	1.52
BTTS	50%	36%	64%
Clean Sheet	38%	56%	20%
Corners	10.83	9.00	12.67
Cards	2.92	2.43	3.50

Şamaxı FK

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLLWL	1.24
Home	LDWLW	1.27
Away	WDLLL	1.21

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	35%	29%
AVG goals	2.14	2.19	2.08
Over 1.5 %	66%	62%	71%
Over 2.5 %	42%	46%	38%
Over 3.5 %	14%	15%	12%
Scored	0.94	0.96	0.92
Conceded	1.20	1.23	1.17
BTTS	44%	42%	46%
Clean Sheet	34%	31%	38%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Zira	3	9	100%	3.0	6	1	+5	2.3	67%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	12	6	1	6	2.0	0.3	-
2	Neftchi Baku	3	6	67%	2.0	8	2	+6	3.3	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	13	4	3	6	2.7	0.7	-
3	Turan	3	4	33%	1.3	1	1	+0	0.7	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	10	3	2	5	0.3	0.3	-
4	Imisli FK	3	4	33%	1.3	2	3	-1	1.7	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	3	0.7	1.0	-
5	Qarabag	1	3	100%	3.0	3	1	+2	4.0	100%	100%	100%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	25	8	3	14	3.0	1.0	-
6	Sabah FA	1	3	100%	3.0	2	0	+2	2.0	100%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	17	5	5	7	2.0	0.0	-
7	Kapaz	2	3	50%	1.5	1	2	-1	1.5	50%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	2	3	0.5	1.0	-
8	Safa Baku	3	3	33%	1.0	1	3	-2	1.3	33%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	0	3	0.3	1.0	-
9	Şamaxı FK	3	2	0%	0.7	1	3	-2	1.3	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	0.3	1.0	-
10	Qabala	3	1	0%	0.3	0	2	-2	0.7	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	1	3	0.0	0.7	-
11	Araz	2	1	0%	0.5	0	5	-5	2.5	50%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	2	2	0.0	2.5	-
12	Sumqayıt	1	0	0%	0.0	1	3	-2	4.0	100%	100%	100%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	4	2	4	1.0	3.0	-

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

← all matches

Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Qarabag

Şamaxı FK

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Qarabag

Şamaxı FK

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Qarabag

Şamaxı FK

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

🎽 13. Player market rates

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Qarabag

Şamaxı FK

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature