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QPR vs Middlesbrough Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2026
Time: 16:30
Final 0-4
QPR
QPR
Vs
28%
27%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Referee: J Smith

🎯 1. Model Analysis

QPR win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 4.08
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.61
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough win✓ Hit
45.3%
Avg Implied 51.0% · @ 1.84
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

QPRQPR

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D00D00D23L21W00D13L31W05L02LA·WES11/01A·STO17/01A·OXF20/01H·WRE24/01H·COV31/01A·CHA06/02H·BLA14/02A·HUL21/02A·SOU24/02H·SHE28/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.431.711.710.811.19
vs Stronger (5)1.402.401.672.671.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.201.241.731.450.791.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L32W21W40W10W21W13L00D11D31WA·FUL10/01A·WES16/01A·STO21/01H·PRE24/01H·NOR31/01A·SHE09/02A·COV16/02H·OXF21/02H·LEI24/02A·BIR02/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.131.570.791.381.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.611.301.730.911.501.67
vs Weaker (7)1.000.571.000.331.000.75
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.7%
@ 1.83+1.4%
Under 2.5
47.3%
@ 1.93-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.7%
No
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
QPR goals ↓
Middlesbrough goals →
01234
07.3%8.6%7.8%4.1%1.6%
16.2%13%9.3%4.9%2.0%
24.4%7.0%5.6%3.0%1.2%
31.8%2.8%2.2%1.2%0.5%
40.5%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = QPR goals (down), columns = Middlesbrough goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
QPR is 0.41 points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
QPR is 0.16 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.49).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
QPR is 0.59 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
QPR is 13.5 percentage points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average possession (46% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

QPRQPR

For 5.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

1407435488157557362263111181291210108814H·SHEA·SOUA·HULH·BLAA·CHAH·COVH·WREA·OXFA·STOA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

7022113231212222143434145334377H·SHEA·SOUA·HULH·BLAA·CHAH·COVH·WREA·OXFA·STOA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.5

⚠️ Fouls

31081112614812148578131311131011131819182226131526242131H·SHEA·SOUA·HULH·BLAA·CHAH·COVH·WREA·OXFA·STOA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 4.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1602685952388358345142381314516811955A·BIRH·LEIH·OXFA·COVA·SHEH·NORH·PREA·STOA·WESA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

604211312324223122216245643323A·BIRH·LEIH·OXFA·COVA·SHEH·NORH·PREA·STOA·WESA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

30012111191010131711141218111910114118923202030253030211517A·BIRH·LEIH·OXFA·COVA·SHEH·NORH·PREA·STOA·WESA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QPRQPR

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.98.910.83.73.73.721.922.721.3
vs Stronger (10)11.58.513.53.44.22.822.924.022.2
vs Similar (40)9.59.010.03.83.63.921.722.521.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%39%52%52%52%52%54%61%48%
% under line54%61%48%48%48%48%46%39%52%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.311.29.43.62.94.322.622.123.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)10.211.29.33.73.04.323.022.623.4
vs Weaker (12)10.511.39.73.42.54.321.320.821.8
% over line50%58%42%52%38%65%58%54%62%
% under line50%42%58%48%62%35%42%46%38%
This opponent (QPR) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.5
Oxford
11.1
Hull
10.7
Portsmouth
10.6
Preston
10.6
Norwich
10.5
Millwall
10.4
Southampton
10.4
Leicester
10.4
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Middlesbrough
10.3
Coventry
10.3
Stoke
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
QPR
9.9
Ipswich
9.9
Blackburn
9.9
Watford
9.9
Birmingham
9.8
Derby
9.8
Swansea
9.7
West Brom
9.5
Bristol City
9.4
Charlton
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.2
Ipswich
4.2
Stoke
4.0
Blackburn
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Hull
4.0
Portsmouth
4.0
Derby
3.9
Coventry
3.9
Sheffield United
3.8
Southampton
3.7
QPR
3.7
Charlton
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Millwall
3.6
Preston
3.6
Leicester
3.5
Bristol City
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Birmingham
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Norwich
3.5
Wrexham
3.3
Sheffield Weds
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Swansea
23.3
Ipswich
23.2
Southampton
23.1
Blackburn
23.0
Middlesbrough
22.6
Portsmouth
22.5
Leicester
22.2
Birmingham
22.2
Derby
22.1
Millwall
22.1
Sheffield United
22.0
QPR
21.9
West Brom
21.7
Charlton
21.7
Hull
21.6
Oxford
21.5
Sheffield Weds
21.5
Norwich
21.1
Watford
20.9
Stoke
20.9
Bristol City
20.7
Coventry
20.6
Preston
20.5
Wrexham
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.5%
Under 9.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.4%
Under 3.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.2%
Under 21.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

QPRQPR

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D10W00D00D12L11D02L02LA·WES11/01A·STO17/01A·OXF20/01H·WRE24/01H·COV31/01A·CHA06/02H·BLA14/02A·HUL21/02A·SOU24/02H·SHE28/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.790.570.250.88
vs Stronger (5)0.400.800.670.330.001.50
vs Similar (25)0.520.720.820.640.290.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L30W10W20W01L00D11D20WA·FUL10/01A·WES16/01A·STO21/01H·PRE24/01H·NOR31/01A·SHE09/02A·COV16/02H·OXF21/02H·LEI24/02A·BIR02/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.790.500.810.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.830.570.820.640.830.50
vs Weaker (7)0.710.290.670.000.750.50
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
QPR over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

QPRQPR

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D13L21W00D01L20W03L00DA·WES11/01A·STO17/01A·OXF20/01H·WRE24/01H·COV31/01A·CHA06/02H·BLA14/02A·HUL21/02A·SOU24/02H·SHE28/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.931.140.560.31
vs Stronger (5)1.001.601.002.331.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.680.520.910.820.500.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L22D20W10W00D01L12L00D00D11DA·FUL10/01A·WES16/01A·STO21/01H·PRE24/01H·NOR31/01A·SHE09/02A·COV16/02H·OXF21/02H·LEI24/02A·BIR02/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.790.290.560.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.780.740.910.270.671.17
vs Weaker (7)0.290.290.330.330.250.25
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
QPR over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards80.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

QPR
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rumarn Burrell29%
Richard Kone23%
Rayan Kolli16%
Paul Smyth14%
Harvey Vale12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Koki Saito9%
Nicolas Madsen8%
Jimmy Dunne8%
Ilias Chair7%
Kieran Morgan7%
Ronnie Edwards6%
Amadou Salif Mbengue5%
Karamoko Dembélé3%
Steve Cook3%
Jonathan Varane3%
Rhys Norrington-Davies3%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Liam Morrison0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Amadou Salif Mbengue33%
Liam Morrison25%
Paul Smyth24%
Rhys Norrington-Davies23%
Isaac Hayden20%
Richard Kone18%
Kieran Morgan17%
Jimmy Dunne15%
Jonathan Varane14%
Rumarn Burrell13%
Kealey Adamson12%
Ronnie Edwards12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Karamoko Dembélé10%
Harvey Vale9%
Rayan Kolli8%
Jake Clarke-Salter7%
Ilias Chair7%
Steve Cook6%
Kwame Poku6%
Paul Nardi6%
Nicolas Madsen3%
Michael Frey0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Koki Saito0%
Joe Walsh0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Harvey Vale16%
Nicolas Madsen15%
Ilias Chair13%
Liam Morrison8%
Jimmy Dunne8%
Isaac Hayden7%
Rumarn Burrell6%
Esquerdinha6%
Ronnie Edwards6%
Koki Saito6%
Jonathan Varane6%
Paul Smyth5%
Sam Field5%
Daniel Bennie5%
Richard Kone5%
Karamoko Dembélé3%
Kieran Morgan3%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Rhys Norrington-Davies0%
Steve Cook0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Rayan Kolli0%
Tylon Smith0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Richard Kone25%
Rumarn Burrell19%
Harvey Vale12%
Rayan Kolli12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Karamoko Dembélé10%
Ilias Chair7%
Paul Smyth5%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Nicolas Madsen0%
Rhys Norrington-Davies0%
Steve Cook0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Jimmy Dunne0%
Koki Saito0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Liam Morrison0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Kieran Morgan0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Whittaker27%
David Strelec23%
Tommy Conway22%
Riley McGree21%
Hayden Hackney15%
Alan Browne10%
Leo Castledine9%
Dael Fry9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
Matt Targett7%
Sontje Hansen5%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
Luke Ayling2%
Neto Borges0%
Callum Brittain0%
George Edmundson0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexander Gilbert27%
Adilson Malanda20%
Abdoulaye Kanté20%
Luke Ayling19%
Callum Brittain16%
Riley McGree14%
George Edmundson14%
Tommy Conway14%
Alfie Jones13%
Samuel Silvera13%
Matt Targett11%
Hayden Hackney10%
Sverre Nypan10%
Morgan Whittaker9%
Aidan Morris9%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
David Strelec6%
Sontje Hansen5%
Jeremy Sarmiento5%
Alan Browne5%
Dael Fry3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
Alex Bangura0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Whittaker16%
Hayden Hackney15%
Callum Brittain11%
Riley McGree11%
Luke Ayling10%
Tommy Conway10%
Matt Targett9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Alan Browne7%
Aidan Morris7%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
David Strelec3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Dael Fry0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Whittaker31%
Leo Castledine18%
Hayden Hackney12%
Riley McGree11%
Alan Browne10%
David Strelec9%
Aidan Morris7%
Tommy Conway6%
Delano Burgzorg4%
Dael Fry3%
Callum Brittain2%
Matt Targett2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Alex Bangura0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Samuel Silvera0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
QPR's squad is €71m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€71m vs €142m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
QPR's attack is €45m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€29m vs €74m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
QPR's midfield is €12m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€15m vs €27m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
QPR's defence is €14m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€27m vs €41m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
QPR wins
1
Draws
5
MID wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

QPR vs Middlesbrough · H/A from QPR
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/25AMiddlesbrough Vs QPR3-1
11/03/25AMiddlesbrough Vs QPR2-1
05/11/24HQPR Vs Middlesbrough1-4
09/03/24HQPR Vs Middlesbrough0-2
02/09/23AMiddlesbrough Vs QPR0-2
18/02/23AMiddlesbrough Vs QPR3-1
06/08/22HQPR Vs Middlesbrough3-2
09/02/22HQPR Vs Middlesbrough2-2

QPRQPR

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26HQPR Vs Sheffield United0-2
24/02/26ASouthampton Vs QPR5-0
21/02/26AHull Vs QPR1-3
14/02/26HQPR Vs Blackburn1-3
06/02/26ACharlton Vs QPR0-0
31/01/26HQPR Vs Coventry2-1
24/01/26HQPR Vs Wrexham2-3
20/01/26AOxford Vs QPR0-0
17/01/26AStoke Vs QPR0-0
11/01/26AWest Ham Vs QPR1-1

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/26ABirmingham Vs MID1-3
24/02/26HMID Vs Leicester1-1
21/02/26HMID Vs Oxford0-0
16/02/26ACoventry Vs MID3-1
09/02/26ASheffield United Vs MID1-2
31/01/26HMID Vs Norwich1-0
24/01/26HMID Vs Preston4-0
21/01/26AStoke Vs MID1-2
16/01/26AWest Brom Vs MID2-3
10/01/26AFulham Vs MID3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

QPR
QPR
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLL1.20
HomeWLWLL1.26
AwayDDDWL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%35%30%
AVG goals2.863.132.63
Over 1.5 %76%87%67%
Over 2.5 %64%74%56%
Over 3.5 %36%39%33%
Scored1.261.481.07
Conceded1.601.651.56
BTTS68%74%63%
Clean Sheet22%17%26%
Corners9.928.9110.78
Cards3.703.743.67
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDW1.72
HomeWWWDD2.00
AwayWWWLW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%58%42%
AVG goals2.422.212.62
Over 1.5 %68%58%77%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.361.381.35
Conceded1.060.831.27
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet28%42%15%
Corners10.2611.219.38
Cards3.642.884.35

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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