The contest between QPR and Millwall is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win at 38% while draws and away victories trail at 30% and 32% respectively. The predicted outcome is a 1-1 draw, the most likely scoreline with a 14.4% chance, even though the model still picks a home win as the single favourite. The expected total of 2.4 goals translates to an average of 2 goals, a 28% probability for that total.
QPR, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Millwall, on the road, averages 0.92 goals scored and 1.08 conceded against comparable opposition. These figures suggest a cautious, evenly matched affair.
The model’s selections lean heavily on match events: Over 19.5 fouls (81.4%), Under 3.5 (78.5%), Under 5.5 cards (77.6%), Over 2.5 cards (77.0%) and Over 8.5 corners (70.2%). Each selection carries its own probability, independent of the match result.
Results analysis
The 1-1 draw shocked many after QPR’s recent win streak, yet the pre-match favourite - Home win with a 38% chance - proved wrong. The model’s call was incorrect, as the match finished in a stalemate. The model’s selection of Over 19.5 fouls, hit at 81.4%, Under 3.5 goals, hit at 78.5%, Under 5.5 cards, hit at 77.6%, Over 2.5 cards, hit at 77.0%, and Over 8.5 corners, hit at 70.2%, all came through. QPR, fresh from a 2-1 victory over Blackburn, and Millwall, after a 1-5 loss to Southampton, each delivered a respectable performance, leaving the Championship fans with a surprising, evenly-matched contest.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
QPR win✗ Miss
38.0%
Avg Implied 40.1% · @ 2.37
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.4%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.23
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Millwall win✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 3.11
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
QPR
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.17
1.38
1.38
1.14
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
0.83
1.67
1.33
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (22)
1.23
1.27
1.25
1.42
1.20
1.10
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.10
1.12
1.06
0.86
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.07
1.07
1.20
1.07
0.92
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.8%
Under 1.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.3%
@ 2.30+1.0%
Under 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.62-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.4%
No
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.4%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
QPR goals ↓
Millwall goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.1%
5.8%
2.2%
0.6%
1
10%
14%
7.3%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.3%
8.2%
4.6%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.1%
3.4%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = QPR goals (down), columns = Millwall goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
QPR is 0.22 points worse than Millwall in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
QPR is 0.13 goals better than Millwall in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
QPR is 0.30 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.07).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
QPR is 4.1 percentage points better than Millwall in terms of average possession (47% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
QPR
For 6.6 · Against 5.8 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 12.2 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Millwall
For 5.5 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
QPR
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.0
11.2
4.1
4.4
3.8
22.6
23.2
22.0
vs Stronger (10)
11.8
11.2
12.2
3.8
3.8
3.8
21.1
20.2
21.8
vs Similar (37)
11.0
11.1
10.9
4.3
4.5
4.1
22.9
23.7
21.9
vs Weaker (3)
10.5
9.0
12.0
2.7
5.0
1.5
25.0
26.0
24.0
% over line
60%
46%
74%
60%
69%
50%
62%
67%
57%
% under line
40%
54%
26%
40%
31%
50%
38%
33%
43%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.4
9.9
4.0
3.9
4.1
23.0
23.2
22.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
10.2
10.7
9.6
4.1
4.3
4.0
22.8
22.9
22.6
vs Weaker (5)
9.8
6.5
13.0
2.8
1.3
5.0
25.2
26.0
24.5
% over line
54%
60%
48%
60%
62%
58%
62%
72%
52%
% under line
46%
40%
52%
40%
38%
42%
38%
28%
48%
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Plymouth
12.5
Coventry
11.8
Blackburn
11.2
Derby
11.2
QPR
11.2
Middlesbrough
11.0
Luton
11.0
West Brom
11.0
Stoke
10.9
Sheffield Weds
10.8
Sheffield United
10.8
Bristol City
10.7
Hull
10.7
Burnley
10.6
Leeds
10.5
Oxford
10.5
Swansea
10.4
Norwich
10.3
Sunderland
10.2
Millwall
10.1
Watford
9.9
Portsmouth
9.9
Cardiff
9.5
Preston
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Portsmouth
5.0
Sunderland
4.9
Burnley
4.5
QPR
4.4
Watford
4.4
Coventry
4.3
Leeds
4.3
Oxford
4.2
Plymouth
4.2
Hull
4.2
Norwich
4.2
Blackburn
4.2
Millwall
4.1
Swansea
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield Weds
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Luton
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.8
Preston
3.8
Derby
3.7
Cardiff
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Bristol City
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
24.9
Luton
23.8
Watford
23.4
Sunderland
23.4
Leeds
23.1
Swansea
23.0
Preston
23.0
Millwall
22.9
Coventry
22.8
QPR
22.6
Hull
22.6
Sheffield Weds
22.6
Plymouth
22.3
Stoke
22.1
Middlesbrough
21.9
Oxford
21.6
Burnley
21.6
Derby
21.5
Norwich
21.3
Bristol City
20.7
Blackburn
20.2
Cardiff
20.2
Sheffield United
19.8
West Brom
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.1%
Under 9.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.8%
Under 3.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
67.8%
Under 21.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
QPR
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.47
0.56
0.50
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.17
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.55
0.58
0.50
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.57
0.50
0.69
0.29
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.44
0.59
0.53
0.67
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
QPR over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
QPR
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.81
0.88
0.71
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.73
0.67
0.92
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.62
0.38
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.48
0.67
0.40
0.58
0.58
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
QPR over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
QPR
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michael Frey29%
Rayan Kolli19%
Yang Min-hyeok14%
Karamoko Dembélé12%
Hevertton Santos11%
Jimmy Dunne10%
Ronnie Edwards9%
Nicolas Madsen9%
Sam Field8%
Koki Saito7%
Alfie Lloyd6%
Steve Cook6%
Lucas Andersen6%
Žan Celar5%
Paul Smyth4%
Jack Colback4%
Morgan Fox4%
Ilias Chair3%
Kieran Morgan3%
Kenneth Paal2%
Jonathan Varane2%
Paul Nardi0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Elijah Dixon-Bonner0%
Harrison Ashby0%
Liam Morrison0%
Daniel Bennie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jack Colback31%
Sam Field24%
Harrison Ashby23%
Hevertton Santos22%
Jake Clarke-Salter21%
Jonathan Varane21%
Michael Frey19%
Jimmy Dunne19%
Elijah Dixon-Bonner17%
Kieran Morgan16%
Daniel Bennie15%
Paul Smyth15%
Liam Morrison14%
Alfie Lloyd13%
Morgan Fox12%
Rayan Kolli10%
Kenneth Paal9%
Žan Celar9%
Steve Cook9%
Ronnie Edwards9%
Karamoko Dembélé8%
Yang Min-hyeok7%
Ilias Chair7%
Nicolas Madsen6%
Lucas Andersen6%
Paul Nardi4%
Koki Saito0%
Joe Walsh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilias Chair21%
Karamoko Dembélé16%
Rayan Kolli14%
Nicolas Madsen9%
Paul Smyth9%
Yang Min-hyeok7%
Kenneth Paal7%
Kieran Morgan6%
Jimmy Dunne6%
Koki Saito5%
Jonathan Varane5%
Jack Colback4%
Michael Frey3%
Harrison Ashby3%
Alfie Lloyd3%
Žan Celar0%
Paul Nardi0%
Lucas Andersen0%
Steve Cook0%
Sam Field0%
Morgan Fox0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Elijah Dixon-Bonner0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Liam Morrison0%
Daniel Bennie0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yang Min-hyeok14%
Rayan Kolli14%
Ilias Chair14%
Michael Frey13%
Žan Celar9%
Jimmy Dunne8%
Paul Smyth6%
Sam Field5%
Kieran Morgan3%
Steve Cook3%
Nicolas Madsen3%
Koki Saito2%
Kenneth Paal2%
Jonathan Varane2%
Paul Nardi0%
Lucas Andersen0%
Jack Colback0%
Morgan Fox0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Karamoko Dembélé0%
Joe Walsh0%
Elijah Dixon-Bonner0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Harrison Ashby0%
Alfie Lloyd0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Liam Morrison0%
Daniel Bennie0%
Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mihailo Ivanović28%
Calum Scanlon25%
Josh Coburn24%
Romain Esse19%
Camiel Neghli17%
Duncan Watmore14%
Wes Harding12%
Femi Azeez8%
Casper De Norre8%
Tom Bradshaw8%
Raees Bangura-Williams8%
Jake Cooper8%
Aaron Connolly7%
Luke Cundle6%
Japhet Tanganga5%
George Honeyman4%
Ryan Wintle4%
Macaulay Langstaff3%
Joe Bryan2%
George Saville2%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Liam Roberts0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Tristan Crama0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Zak Sturge0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raees Bangura-Williams23%
Aaron Connolly21%
Ryan Leonard19%
Japhet Tanganga19%
Joe Bryan18%
Liam Roberts17%
George Saville16%
George Honeyman16%
Romain Esse15%
Danny McNamara13%
Ryan Wintle13%
Wes Harding12%
Jake Cooper12%
Casper De Norre12%
Luke Cundle11%
Aidomo Emakhu11%
Femi Azeez11%
Shaun Hutchinson9%
Murray Wallace8%
Tristan Crama5%
Mihailo Ivanović5%
Billy Mitchell5%
Lukas Jensen2%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Duncan Watmore0%
Macaulay Langstaff0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raees Bangura-Williams23%
George Honeyman13%
Femi Azeez13%
Tristan Crama10%
Casper De Norre10%
Aidomo Emakhu7%
Joe Bryan7%
Macaulay Langstaff6%
Billy Mitchell5%
George Saville4%
Romain Esse4%
Duncan Watmore3%
Ryan Leonard3%
Jake Cooper2%
Ryan Wintle0%
Wes Harding0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Danny McNamara0%
Tom Bradshaw0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Liam Roberts0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Camiel Neghli0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Mihailo Ivanović0%
George Evans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mihailo Ivanović18%
Camiel Neghli17%
Femi Azeez16%
Josh Coburn10%
Tom Bradshaw8%
Jake Cooper8%
Japhet Tanganga7%
Duncan Watmore7%
Romain Esse4%
George Honeyman2%
Casper De Norre2%
Ryan Wintle0%
Joe Bryan0%
George Saville0%
Wes Harding0%
Shaun Hutchinson0%
Murray Wallace0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Liam Roberts0%
Macaulay Langstaff0%
Luke Cundle0%
Lukas Jensen0%
Tristan Crama0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Zak Sturge0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
George Evans0%
Raees Bangura-Williams0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
QPR's squad is €14m less valuable than Millwall's (€71m vs €85m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
QPR's attack is €1m less valuable than Millwall's (€29m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
QPR's midfield is €14m less valuable than Millwall's (€15m vs €29m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
QPR's defence is €2m more valuable than Millwall's (€27m vs €25m).
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Leeds
Burnley
Sheffield United
Sunderland
Coventry
Bristol City
Blackburn
West Brom
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Sheffield Weds
Norwich
Watford
Portsmouth
Oxford
Stoke
Derby
Preston
Hull
Luton
Plymouth
Cardiff