The match between QPR and Millwall is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities are 40% for a QPR victory, 31% for a draw and 30% for a Millwall win. The expected total is 2.3 goals, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.4% chance. QPR, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Millwall, on the road against a comparable side, averages 1.06 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 83.3%, Under 5.5 cards at 81.6%, Under 3.5 at 79.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 73.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 70.9% and Over 21.5 fouls at 70.4%. The home side’s recent form shows a win, draw, win, draw, loss, ending with a 2-1 win over Blackburn, while Millwall’s last five were a loss, win, win, win, draw, finishing with a 1-5 defeat to Southampton.
Results analysis
The upset came early, with Millwall snatching a 2-1 victory over QPR, overturning the pre-match favourite that the model had pegged at a 40% chance of a home win. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away win. The model’s other selections were mixed: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 83.3%, Under 3.5 hit at 79.3%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 73.1%, and Under 11.5 corners hit at 70.9%. The remaining picks - Under 5.5 cards at 81.6% and Over 21.5 fouls at 70.4% - missed. QPR had been coming off a win, while Millwall had just lost to Southampton, yet the away side’s form proved decisive.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
QPR win✗ Miss
39.6%
Avg Implied 36.1% · @ 2.61
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.14
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Millwall win✓ Hit
29.9%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.78
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
QPR
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.53
1.23
1.31
1.35
1.71
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
2.17
2.00
2.00
1.20
2.20
vs Similar (24)
1.29
1.38
1.17
1.25
1.42
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.30
1.15
1.15
1.06
1.41
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.10
1.34
1.15
1.15
1.06
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.2%
@ 2.16-2.3%
Under 2.5
58.8%
@ 1.66+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 3.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.4%
No
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2 ✓
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
QPR goals ↓
Millwall goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.1%
5.5%
2.0%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
7.0%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.8%
8.3%
4.4%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.3%
3.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = QPR goals (down), columns = Millwall goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
QPR is 0.49 points worse than Millwall in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
QPR is 0.01 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
QPR is 0.52 goals worse than Millwall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
QPR is 1.7 percentage points worse than Millwall in terms of average possession (46% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
QPR
For 4.2 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Millwall
For 4.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 9.4 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
QPR
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.4
11.2
3.7
3.9
3.5
23.0
23.8
22.4
vs Stronger (10)
12.5
11.0
13.5
3.2
3.8
2.8
21.4
22.5
20.7
vs Similar (40)
9.8
9.1
10.5
3.8
4.0
3.6
23.5
24.0
22.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
42%
52%
54%
54%
54%
61%
67%
56%
% under line
53%
58%
48%
46%
46%
46%
39%
33%
44%
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.4
2.9
2.9
2.8
24.1
24.0
24.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
10.3
10.0
10.6
2.9
3.0
2.8
24.0
24.0
24.0
vs Weaker (3)
7.5
-
7.5
2.0
0.0
3.0
26.5
-
26.5
% over line
60%
57%
62%
38%
33%
42%
62%
61%
62%
% under line
40%
43%
38%
62%
67%
58%
38%
39%
38%
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.4
Sheffield Weds
11.1
Portsmouth
10.9
Sheffield United
10.5
Stoke
10.4
Ipswich
10.4
Oxford
10.3
QPR
10.3
Southampton
10.3
Norwich
10.2
Millwall
10.1
Watford
10.1
Hull
10.1
Middlesbrough
10.0
Leicester
9.8
West Brom
9.8
Blackburn
9.7
Derby
9.6
Bristol City
9.6
Swansea
9.4
Preston
9.4
Charlton
9.3
Wrexham
9.3
Birmingham
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.6
Southampton
4.3
Portsmouth
4.2
Ipswich
4.1
Blackburn
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Stoke
3.8
Sheffield United
3.8
Charlton
3.8
QPR
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
West Brom
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Preston
3.7
Swansea
3.6
Oxford
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Derby
3.6
Hull
3.6
Bristol City
3.5
Sheffield Weds
3.5
Wrexham
3.4
Millwall
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Birmingham
24.6
Blackburn
24.2
Millwall
24.1
Southampton
24.0
Charlton
23.6
Portsmouth
23.5
Swansea
23.5
Sheffield Weds
23.4
QPR
23.1
Watford
23.1
Sheffield United
22.9
Ipswich
22.9
Preston
22.5
Norwich
22.4
Hull
21.8
West Brom
21.4
Leicester
21.3
Middlesbrough
21.3
Oxford
21.3
Derby
21.2
Coventry
21.1
Stoke
20.9
Wrexham
20.5
Bristol City
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.8%
Under 9.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.6%
Under 3.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
70.4%
Under 21.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
QPR
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.62
0.54
0.53
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.17
2.00
1.00
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.54
0.23
0.47
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.52
0.52
0.54
0.23
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
QPR over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
QPR
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.62
0.77
0.82
0.76
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.71
0.67
0.75
0.92
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Millwall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Millwall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.62
0.92
0.59
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.59
0.83
0.62
0.92
0.56
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (QPR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
QPR over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
QPR over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Millwall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
QPR
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rumarn Burrell29%
Richard Kone23%
Rayan Kolli16%
Paul Smyth14%
Harvey Vale12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Koki Saito9%
Nicolas Madsen8%
Jimmy Dunne8%
Ilias Chair7%
Kieran Morgan7%
Ronnie Edwards6%
Amadou Salif Mbengue5%
Karamoko Dembélé3%
Steve Cook3%
Jonathan Varane3%
Rhys Norrington-Davies3%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Liam Morrison0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Amadou Salif Mbengue33%
Liam Morrison25%
Paul Smyth24%
Rhys Norrington-Davies23%
Isaac Hayden20%
Richard Kone18%
Kieran Morgan17%
Jimmy Dunne15%
Jonathan Varane14%
Rumarn Burrell13%
Kealey Adamson12%
Ronnie Edwards12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Karamoko Dembélé10%
Harvey Vale9%
Rayan Kolli8%
Jake Clarke-Salter7%
Ilias Chair7%
Steve Cook6%
Kwame Poku6%
Paul Nardi6%
Nicolas Madsen3%
Michael Frey0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Koki Saito0%
Joe Walsh0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Harvey Vale16%
Nicolas Madsen15%
Ilias Chair13%
Liam Morrison8%
Jimmy Dunne8%
Isaac Hayden7%
Rumarn Burrell6%
Esquerdinha6%
Ronnie Edwards6%
Koki Saito6%
Jonathan Varane6%
Paul Smyth5%
Sam Field5%
Daniel Bennie5%
Richard Kone5%
Karamoko Dembélé3%
Kieran Morgan3%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Rhys Norrington-Davies0%
Steve Cook0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Rayan Kolli0%
Tylon Smith0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Richard Kone25%
Rumarn Burrell19%
Harvey Vale12%
Rayan Kolli12%
Daniel Bennie11%
Karamoko Dembélé10%
Ilias Chair7%
Paul Smyth5%
Michael Frey0%
Paul Nardi0%
Nicolas Madsen0%
Rhys Norrington-Davies0%
Steve Cook0%
Isaac Hayden0%
Ben Hamer0%
Sam Field0%
Jimmy Dunne0%
Koki Saito0%
Jake Clarke-Salter0%
Joe Walsh0%
Kwame Poku0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Liam Morrison0%
Kealey Adamson0%
Kieran Morgan0%
Esquerdinha0%
Tylon Smith0%
Millwall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Coburn29%
Femi Azeez27%
Kamarl Grant25%
Mihailo Ivanović19%
Luke Cundle12%
Ryan Leonard11%
Caleb Taylor10%
Camiel Neghli10%
Macaulay Langstaff10%
Massimo Luongo9%
Jake Cooper8%
Aidomo Emakhu6%
Tristan Crama6%
Raees Bangura-Williams6%
Derek Mazou-Sacko4%
Casper De Norre3%
Thierno Ballo3%
Zak Sturge2%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Barry Bannan0%
Wes Harding0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Alfie Doughty0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Leonard25%
Kamarl Grant25%
Joe Bryan24%
Jake Cooper20%
Billy Mitchell20%
Thierno Ballo20%
Zak Sturge19%
Massimo Luongo18%
Tristan Crama18%
Danny McNamara18%
Tom Watson17%
Raees Bangura-Williams17%
Femi Azeez16%
Casper De Norre16%
Alfie Doughty14%
Derek Mazou-Sacko12%
Camiel Neghli8%
Josh Coburn6%
Barry Bannan6%
Macaulay Langstaff5%
Mihailo Ivanović4%
Caleb Taylor3%
Luke Cundle3%
Max Crocombe0%
Steven Benda0%
Wes Harding0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Aidomo Emakhu0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Howland33%
Femi Azeez19%
Alfie Doughty18%
Casper De Norre12%
Thierno Ballo11%
Tristan Crama10%
Aidomo Emakhu10%
Camiel Neghli8%
Ryan Leonard7%
Caleb Taylor7%
Mihailo Ivanović6%
Barry Bannan6%
Raees Bangura-Williams6%
Derek Mazou-Sacko4%
Billy Mitchell3%
Macaulay Langstaff2%
Jake Cooper2%
Massimo Luongo0%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Wes Harding0%
Danny McNamara0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Luke Cundle0%
Josh Coburn0%
Zak Sturge0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Femi Azeez24%
Mihailo Ivanović19%
Aidomo Emakhu13%
Thierno Ballo11%
Josh Coburn10%
Caleb Taylor7%
Camiel Neghli4%
Casper De Norre3%
Luke Cundle3%
Macaulay Langstaff2%
Jake Cooper2%
Massimo Luongo0%
Max Crocombe0%
Joe Bryan0%
Steven Benda0%
Barry Bannan0%
Wes Harding0%
Ryan Leonard0%
Danny McNamara0%
Billy Mitchell0%
Alfie Doughty0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Kevin Nisbet0%
Will Smallbone0%
Tristan Crama0%
Zak Sturge0%
Derek Mazou-Sacko0%
Tom Watson0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Ajay Matthews0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Jack Howland0%
Raees Bangura-Williams0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
QPR's squad is €14m less valuable than Millwall's (€71m vs €85m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
QPR's attack is €1m less valuable than Millwall's (€29m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
QPR's midfield is €14m less valuable than Millwall's (€15m vs €29m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
QPR's defence is €2m more valuable than Millwall's (€27m vs €25m).
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Coventry
Ipswich
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Hull
Wrexham
Derby
Norwich
Birmingham
Swansea
Bristol City
Sheffield United
Preston
Watford
Stoke
Portsmouth
West Brom
Charlton
Leicester
Blackburn
Oxford
Sheffield Weds