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Queen of Sth vs Cove Rangers Result & Analysis

Date: 28/10/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
QO
Queen of Sth
Vs
33%
26%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Queen of Sth win✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied 37.4% · @ 2.47
Edge
-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.51
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers win✓ Hit
40.6%
Avg Implied 36.3% · @ 2.54
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-434L21W31W21W23L01L12L13L01L10WH·ALL05/08A·EDI12/08H·ANN19/08A·COV26/08H·MON02/09A·FAL16/09H·HAM23/09A·KEL30/09H·STI07/10A·ANN21/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.671.671.601.401.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.581.921.751.831.422.00
vs Weaker (6)1.330.671.330.671.330.67
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L22D30W12L01L22D22D22D32WH·MOR05/05A·HAM05/08H·FAL12/08A·MON19/08H·QUE26/08A·ALL02/09H·KEL16/09A·EDI23/09A·STI30/09H·ANN07/10← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.902.171.082.670.781.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.672.430.883.120.542.00
vs Weaker (9)1.441.561.501.751.401.40
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.8%
@ 1.64+3.0%
Under 2.5
40.2%
@ 2.16-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.5%
Under 3.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.0%
No
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
0-1 ✓
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
Queen of Sth goals ↓
Cove Rangers goals →
01234
05.6%6.3%6.0%3.3%1.3%
15.5%12%8.8%4.8%2.0%
24.9%7.9%6.5%3.5%1.4%
32.4%3.9%3.2%1.7%0.7%
40.9%1.4%1.2%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queen of Sth goals (down), columns = Cove Rangers goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Falkirk
2.50
Hamilton
2.06
Alloa
1.56
Montrose
1.47
Cove Rangers
1.36
Kelty Hearts
1.22
Queen of Sth
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.08
Edinburgh City
0.39
Queen of Sth is 0.22 points worse than Cove Rangers in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.36).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Falkirk
2.67
Hamilton
2.03
Alloa
1.67
Cove Rangers
1.61
Montrose
1.61
Annan Athletic
1.53
Kelty Hearts
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.28
Stirling
1.08
Edinburgh City
1.06
Queen of Sth is 0.33 goals worse than Cove Rangers in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.61).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Falkirk
0.78
Hamilton
0.78
Queen of Sth
1.47
Alloa
1.53
Montrose
1.58
Stirling
1.61
Kelty Hearts
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.89
Edinburgh City
2.72
Queen of Sth is 0.28 goals better than Cove Rangers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.75).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

QO
Queen of Sth

For 5.1 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

130259365161545565110383712117691161311A·ANNH·STIA·KELH·HAMA·FALH·MONA·COVH·ANNA·EDIH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7043222351211322221327456225435A·ANNH·STIA·KELH·HAMA·FALH·MONA·COVH·ANNA·EDIH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

3201012713141821119968141214681491822203232181426202227A·ANNH·STIA·KELH·HAMA·FALH·MONA·COVH·ANNA·EDIH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Cove RangersCove Rangers

For 3.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1203142374335653638573346107811911126H·ANNA·STIA·EDIH·KELA·ALLH·QUEA·MONH·FALA·HAMA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

603212212413233322515336450646H·ANNA·STIA·EDIH·KELA·ALLH·QUEA·MONH·FALA·HAMA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 9.5 · Total 20.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

31012107878881010121498171128211022151516202617281031H·ANNA·STIA·EDIH·KELA·ALLH·QUEA·MONH·FALA·HAMA·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QO
Queen of Sth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.88.910.63.83.73.820.620.720.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)10.19.410.93.63.93.420.120.320.0
vs Weaker (9)8.07.09.24.33.25.822.822.423.2
% over line54%44%64%52%52%52%42%40%44%
% under line46%56%36%48%48%48%58%60%56%
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.010.31.71.71.719.721.418.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (34)10.39.610.82.22.22.220.121.419.1
vs Weaker (16)6.74.08.00.70.60.817.322.015.0
% over line52%44%58%28%29%27%33%56%17%
% under line48%56%42%72%71%73%67%44%83%
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Montrose
10.7
Hamilton
10.7
Kelty Hearts
10.4
Falkirk
9.9
Alloa
9.9
Queen of Sth
9.8
Edinburgh City
9.6
Stirling
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.5
Annan Athletic
9.4

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Stirling
4.2
Hamilton
4.2
Annan Athletic
4.1
Falkirk
4.0
Montrose
4.0
Cove Rangers
3.8
Queen of Sth
3.8
Kelty Hearts
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.2
Alloa
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Montrose
22.7
Falkirk
22.0
Kelty Hearts
22.0
Hamilton
22.0
Stirling
21.2
Queen of Sth
20.6
Annan Athletic
20.3
Cove Rangers
19.9
Edinburgh City
19.4
Alloa
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.9%
Under 9.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.9%
Under 3.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
34.3%
Under 21.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

QO
Queen of Sth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L01L01L20W02L00D11D11D00D10WH·ALL05/08A·EDI12/08H·ANN19/08A·COV26/08H·MON02/09A·FAL16/09H·HAM23/09A·KEL30/09H·STI07/10A·ANN21/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.800.870.730.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.920.751.001.000.830.50
vs Weaker (6)0.170.500.000.330.330.67
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D20W02L01L12L11D01L20WH·MOR05/05A·HAM05/08H·FAL12/08A·MON19/08H·QUE26/08A·ALL02/09H·KEL16/09A·EDI23/09A·STI30/09H·ANN07/10← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.800.421.000.280.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.241.000.251.380.230.77
vs Weaker (9)0.560.330.750.250.400.40
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

QO
Queen of Sth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W30W01L21W01L01L02L01L00DH·ALL05/08A·EDI12/08H·ANN19/08A·COV26/08H·MON02/09A·FAL16/09H·HAM23/09A·KEL30/09H·STI07/10A·ANN21/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.970.870.730.671.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.671.170.750.830.581.50
vs Weaker (6)1.170.171.330.331.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D22D10W10W00D10W11D21W12LH·MOR05/05A·HAM05/08H·FAL12/08A·MON19/08H·QUE26/08A·ALL02/09H·KEL16/09A·EDI23/09A·STI30/09H·ANN07/10← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.370.671.670.501.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.431.430.621.750.311.23
vs Weaker (9)0.891.220.751.501.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls89.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards81.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls79.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
KH (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
QOS wins
0
Draws
0
CR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Queen of Sth vs Cove Rangers · H/A from QOS
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/23ACove Rangers Vs QOS1-2

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/23AAnnan Athletic Vs QOS0-1
07/10/23HQOS Vs Stirling0-1
30/09/23AKelty Hearts Vs QOS3-1
23/09/23HQOS Vs Hamilton1-2
16/09/23AFalkirk Vs QOS1-0
02/09/23HQOS Vs Montrose2-3
26/08/23ACove Rangers Vs QOS1-2
19/08/23HQOS Vs Annan Athletic3-1
12/08/23AEdinburgh City Vs QOS1-2
05/08/23HQOS Vs Alloa3-4

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/23HCR Vs Annan Athletic3-2
30/09/23AStirling Vs CR2-2
23/09/23AEdinburgh City Vs CR2-2
16/09/23HCR Vs Kelty Hearts2-2
02/09/23AAlloa Vs CR1-0
26/08/23HCR Vs Queen of Sth1-2
19/08/23AMontrose Vs CR0-3
12/08/23HCR Vs Falkirk2-2
05/08/23AHamilton Vs CR1-0
05/05/23HCR Vs Morton1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

QO
Queen of Sth
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.46
HomeLWLLL1.44
AwayWWLLW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals3.283.203.36
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %66%60%72%
Over 3.5 %42%40%44%
Scored1.601.681.52
Conceded1.681.521.84
BTTS68%68%68%
Clean Sheet16%20%12%
Corners9.768.9210.60
Cards3.763.723.80
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDW0.92
HomeLDLDW1.12
AwayLWLDD0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%29%12%
AVG goals3.343.383.31
Over 1.5 %84%96%73%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %40%46%35%
Scored1.161.251.08
Conceded2.182.122.23
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners9.769.0010.33
Cards4.104.563.75

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FalkirkFalkirk3690
75%
2.5
9628+68
3.4
83%
72%
47%
11.4
78%
4.2
64%
21.9
42%
6
2132.70.8
-
2
H
Hamilton
3674
61%
2.1
7328+45
2.8
75%
56%
33%
10.1
64%
3.2
44%
19.9
33%
0
0002.00.8
-
3
A
Alloa
3656
44%
1.6
6055+5
3.2
81%
64%
36%
10.0
58%
3.7
56%
19.8
36%
0
0001.71.5
-
4MontroseMontrose3653
42%
1.5
5857+1
3.2
75%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.8
53%
20.6
36%
0
0001.61.6
-
5Cove RangersCove Rangers3649
39%
1.4
5863-5
3.4
78%
64%
53%
10.1
56%
2.9
33%
18.3
28%
0
0001.61.8
-
6Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts3644
33%
1.2
4863-15
3.1
78%
61%
44%
10.8
56%
3.7
42%
21.7
53%
1
1001.31.8
-
7
QO
Queen of Sth
3641
31%
1.1
4653-7
2.8
75%
50%
33%
10.1
58%
3.7
50%
21.9
53%
0
0001.31.5
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3639
25%
1.1
5568-13
3.4
97%
72%
42%
9.8
50%
4.4
69%
21.3
44%
0
0001.51.9
-
9StirlingStirling3639
28%
1.1
3958-19
2.7
67%
53%
36%
10.7
72%
3.9
53%
20.9
44%
0
0001.11.6
-
10Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3614
8%
0.4
3898-60
3.8
92%
75%
53%
10.2
61%
3.9
47%
21.6
53%
0
0001.12.7
-
Scotland: League One 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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