Queen of the South’s recent five games have been bleak, losing all and conceding twice in each match, while Airdrie United have come off a draw and have not scored in their last five away fixtures. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 39% chance, a draw at 32%, and a home win at 29%. The expected goal tally is 2.2, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.6% chance. Queen of the South, playing at home against a stronger opponent, average 0.43 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Airdrie United, away against a weaker side, average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.3% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3% with a 6% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (98.1% with a 9% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6% with a 7% edge), Under 5.5 (97.5% with an 8% edge) and Away under 3.5 goals (96.7% with a 7% edge).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Queen of the South win
29.2%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.55
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
2.60
William Hil
2.60
Dafabet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.58
Betfair
2.55
Draw
31.7%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.40
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
Betano
3.50
Marathonbet
3.34
Airdrie United win
39.1%
Avg Implied 37.2% · @ 2.46
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.55
William Hil
2.50
Dafabet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
BetVictor
2.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Queen of the South
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.91
1.68
0.91
1.45
0.91
1.91
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
2.15
0.43
2.00
1.17
2.33
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.67
1.67
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
0.60
2.33
0.33
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
18% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Airdrie United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.50
1.25
1.31
0.79
1.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.00
1.62
1.15
1.46
0.85
1.77
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of the South) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
65.7%
@ 1.23-9.4%
Under 1.5
34.3%
@ 3.72+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
37.5%
@ 1.76-15.4%
Under 2.5
62.5%
@ 1.98+15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.82
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
Betfair
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.9%
@ 2.85-14.4%
Under 3.5
82.1%
@ 1.36+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.87
Marathonbet
2.83
Under
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
45.3%
@ 1.62-11.9%
No
54.7%
@ 2.17+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
William Hil
1.65
BetVictor
1.62
1xBet
1.61
No
Betfair
2.30
Unibet
2.25
1xBet
2.16
William Hil
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 6.50+7.6%
0-0
12.5%@ 11.21+8.4%
0-1
12.0%@ 9.15+7.0%
1-0
9.8%@ 9.18+4.8%
0-2
8.0%@ 12.71+4.4%
1-2
7.9%@ 9.20+3.0%
2-1
6.6%@ 9.41+1.8%
2-0
5.6%@ 13.18+2.1%
Queen of the South goals ↓
Airdrie United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
12%
8.0%
3.2%
0.9%
1
9.8%
15%
7.9%
3.2%
0.9%
2
5.6%
6.6%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
3
1.8%
2.2%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queen of the South goals (down), columns = Airdrie United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Alloa Athletic
1.28
Queen of the South
1.28
Ross County
1.25
Peterhead
1.19
Montrose
1.17
Cove Rangers
1.06
East Fife
1.00
Queen of the South and Airdrie United are level in average points per game (both 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamilton Academical
2.50
Airdrie United
1.36
East Kilbride
1.36
Alloa Athletic
1.36
Queen of the South
1.36
Montrose
1.33
Peterhead
1.33
Ross County
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.14
East Fife
0.94
Queen of the South and Airdrie United are level in goals scored per game (both 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
1.22
Airdrie United
1.44
East Kilbride
1.44
Alloa Athletic
1.44
Queen of the South
1.44
Ross County
1.47
Hamilton Academical
1.50
East Fife
1.69
Peterhead
1.78
Montrose
1.86
Queen of the South and Airdrie United are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Queen of the South
For 2.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 6.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Airdrie United
For 3.8 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.7 · Against 9.3 · Total 17.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Queen of the South
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (22)
6.0
-
6.0
0.1
0.0
0.3
20.0
-
20.0
vs Stronger (13)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
6.0
-
6.0
0.8
0.0
1.0
20.0
-
20.0
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
-
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
% under line
100%
-
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
-
100%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Airdrie United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.4
11.0
0.6
0.7
0.6
16.9
15.5
18.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (44)
10.2
9.4
11.0
0.7
0.8
0.7
16.9
15.5
18.0
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
40%
80%
12%
12%
12%
11%
0%
20%
% under line
40%
60%
20%
88%
88%
88%
89%
100%
80%
This opponent (Queen of the South) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ross County
10.9
Hamilton Academical
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Airdrie United
10.1
Alloa Athletic
10.0
East Fife
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.4
Peterhead
8.9
Montrose
8.5
Queen of the South
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Peterhead
5.0
Montrose
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Alloa Athletic
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
East Kilbride
26.4
East Fife
22.9
Montrose
22.2
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.0%
@ 1.86-3.5%
Under 9.5
53.0%
@ 1.89+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.6%
Under 3.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
54.1%
Under 21.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Queen of the South or Draw
60.9%
Avg Implied 62.8% · @ 1.46
Edge
-1.9%
29%
32%
39%
covers Queen of the South + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.53
BetVictor
1.47
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Queen of the South or Airdrie United
68.3%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.25
Edge
-4.9%
29%
32%
39%
covers Queen of the South + Airdrie United
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.28
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Draw or Airdrie United
70.8%
Avg Implied 64.0% · @ 1.44
Edge
+6.7%
29%
32%
39%
covers Draw + Airdrie United
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Queen of the South over/under 0.5
Over
63.1%
@ 1.27-10.0%
Under
36.9%
@ 3.46+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.42
Betano
3.40
Queen of the South over/under 1.5
Over
26.3%
@ 2.25-14.8%
Under
73.7%
@ 1.57+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.35
BetVictor
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Betano
2.27
Under
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
Queen of the South over/under 2.5
Over
8.0%
@ 5.06-10.2%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.13+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Queen of the South over/under 3.5
Over
1.9%
@ 9.62-7.8%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.03+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Airdrie United over/under 0.5
Over
69.7%
@ 1.26-4.1%
Under
30.3%
@ 3.54+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Under
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Betano
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Airdrie United over/under 1.5
Over
33.5%
@ 2.20-8.4%
Under
66.5%
@ 1.59+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
Bet365
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
1xBet
2.21
Marathonbet
2.21
Under
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Airdrie United over/under 2.5
Over
11.9%
@ 4.78-7.4%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.14+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Betano
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Airdrie United over/under 3.5
Over
3.3%
@ 9.00-7.0%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.04+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Queen of the South, so a minus line means Queen of the South give that many goals of a start and Airdrie United receive them. At -1, Queen of the South must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Queen of the South win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Queen of the South)
Queen of the South -2
3.2%
@ 8.82-6.5%
Draw -2
8.1%
@ 5.85-6.4%
Airdrie United +2
88.7%
@ 1.12+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Queen of the South)
Queen of the South -1
11.3%
@ 4.54-7.6%
Draw -1
17.9%
@ 4.10-2.9%
Airdrie United +1
70.8%
@ 1.42+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.95
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
3.95
Draw
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
3.60
Away
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Handicap +1 (Queen of the South)
Queen of the South +1
60.9%
@ 1.43+1.3%
Draw +1
21.7%
@ 4.05+0.7%
Airdrie United -1
17.4%
@ 4.40-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.40
Draw
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Unibet
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
4.65
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
3.95
Handicap +2 (Queen of the South)
Queen of the South +2
82.6%
@ 1.13+7.6%
Draw +2
11.6%
@ 5.83-2.9%
Airdrie United -2
5.8%
@ 8.12-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
6.25
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Queen of the South
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.05
0.36
0.82
0.64
1.27
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.31
0.29
1.14
0.83
1.50
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
32% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Airdrie United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.60
0.31
0.56
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.35
0.69
0.23
0.69
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of the South) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
64.8%
@ 1.33-4.8%
Under 0.5
35.2%
@ 3.05+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Pinnacle
3.03
Betano
2.95
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.8%
@ 2.54-6.4%
Under 1.5
70.2%
@ 1.44+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.59
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Under
Unibet
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
Betfair
1.45
Betano
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.4%
@ 6.15-5.7%
Under 2.5
90.6%
@ 1.09+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queen of the South over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.5%
@ 2.02-1.3%
Under
55.5%
@ 1.71+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Queen of the South over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.8%
@ 6.13-3.3%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.08+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Queen of the South over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
@ 12.00-6.3%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.02+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.3%
@ 1.97-11.4%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.73+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Under
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.5%
@ 5.93-8.1%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.09+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.05
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 11.75-6.8%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.02+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Queen of the South
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.41
0.64
0.55
0.64
0.27
0.64
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.85
0.14
0.86
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.20
1.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
55% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Airdrie United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.94
0.75
0.36
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.92
0.92
0.77
0.38
1.08
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of the South) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.6%
@ 1.21-4.7%
Under 0.5
27.4%
@ 4.11+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.15
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.2%
@ 1.98-8.7%
Under 1.5
61.8%
@ 1.75+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Betano
1.95
Under
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.3%
@ 4.03-7.9%
Under 2.5
84.7%
@ 1.22+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.20
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queen of the South over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.9%
@ 1.70-1.6%
Under
47.1%
@ 2.03+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.08
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
1.97
Queen of the South over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.3%
@ 4.33-0.1%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.18+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Queen of the South over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.5%
@ 9.75-6.1%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.03+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.5%
@ 1.68-10.4%
Under
55.5%
@ 2.05+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.01
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.4%
@ 4.23-11.4%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.18+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 9.25-7.9%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.04+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+6.4%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.8%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Home under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+7.8%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.9%
Under 5.5
97.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
-
+7.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
+7.0%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
Under 4.5
92.8%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+9.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.5%
1.09
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+8.1%
Home under 2.5 goals
92.0%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
+10.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
+5.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.6%
1.18
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+11.4%
Away +2 handicap
88.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
+12.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
88.1%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+7.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.22
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
+7.9%
Under 5.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
82.6%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+7.6%
Under 3.5
82.1%
1.36
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
+14.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.7%
1.18
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
+0.1%
Under 25.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.9%
1.28
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
-
-
-
+4.2%
Home under 1.5 goals
73.7%
1.57
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
+14.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals
72.6%
1.21
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.17
-
-4.7%
Draw or Away
70.8%
1.44
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
+6.7%
Away +1 handicap
70.8%
1.42
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.40
Unibet
1.40
-
+10.5%
Under 4.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.2%
1.44
Unibet
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
Betfair
1.45
Betano
1.45
William Hil
1.44
+6.4%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →
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Hamilton Academical
Ross County
Alloa Athletic
East Kilbride
Peterhead
East Fife
Montrose
Cove Rangers