Queen's Park vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Queen's Park are tipped to lift the trophy at home, the model picking a home win with a 47% chance. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a draw that the model assigns a 13.3% probability to. Queen's Park have been scoring 1.8 goals per game and conceding 1.6 against teams of similar strength, while Arbroath, on the road, averages 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded. The draw probability sits at 28%, the away win at 25%. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 85.9%, Under 25.5 fouls at 82.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 74.9% (hit), Under 3.5 goals at 73.1% (hit), Under 4.5 cards at 72.7% and Over 8.5 corners at 71.2%. Queen's Park are coming off a draw, while Arbroath are on a two-game winning streak.

The pre-match favourite, Queen's Park, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. The model had given the home side a 47% chance of victory, but the result was a stalemate. The game’s final score of 1-1 matched the most likely scoreline, which had a 13.3% probability. Queen's Park’s recent form, noted as coming off a draw, contrasted with Arbroath’s two-game winning run. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 1.5 goals hit with a 74.9% probability, and Under 3.5 goals also hit at 73.1%. The outcome underlined the unpredictability of the Championship fixture.