Queen's Park vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Queen’s Park are the clear favorites, with a 55% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 19% chance of an Arbroath win. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.4% probability. Queen’s Park have been scoring 1.85 goals a game at home against similar opposition while conceding just over one, whereas Arbroath’s away form shows 0.89 goals scored and 1.11 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls (88.2%), Under 5.5 cards (82.6%), Under 23.5 fouls (77.9%), Over 8.5 corners (76.2%), Over 1.5 (75.7% miss), Under 3.5 (72.1% hit) and Over 2.5 cards (71.9%). Queen’s Park’s recent draw streak and Arbroath’s two-game winning run add intrigue, but the odds favour the hosts.

The pre-match favourite, Queen’s Park, failed to deliver, as Arbroath clinched a 1-0 away victory. The model had tipped a home win at 55 percent, but the prediction was wrong. Queen’s Park’s recent form, a draw-heavy run, had been described as “coming off a draw,” while Arbroath, on a two-game winning streak, had been noted as “on a 2-game winning run.” The model’s other selections were mixed: “Over 1.5” at 75.7 percent missed, whereas “Under 3.5” at 72.1 percent hit. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away win and underscored the surprise of the match.