Queen's Park vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

The match between Queen’s Park and Arbroath is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. Home victory sits at 36%, a draw at 30%, and an away win at 34%. The expected total of goals is 2.4, with the most likely total being two goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 14.4% chance. Queen’s Park, playing at home against a similarly-strength opponent, averages 1.15 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Arbroath, on the road against a similar side, averages 1.73 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 79.2%, Under 25.5 fouls at 78.8%, Under 3.5 at 78.2% (hit), Over 2.5 cards at 75.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 72.4%, and Over 1.5 at 70.1% (hit). These figures paint a picture of a closely contested fixture with a slight edge for the home side.

The win extends Queen’s Park’s run after a draw in their last game, while Arbroath continues a two-game winning streak. The final score was 2-1, a home win that matched the model’s pick. The model had chosen a home win with a 36% probability, and it proved correct. The suggested picks were Under 3.5 goals at 78.2% and Over 1.5 goals at 70.1%; both selections hit. The match saw the expected total of 2.4 goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 14.4% and 0-0 at 10.5%. Overall, the model’s predictions were largely accurate.