Queen's Park vs Dunfermline Result & Analysis

The match between Queen's Park and Dunfermline is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but the odds are close: 38% for Queen’s Park, 30% for a draw and 31% for Dunfermline. The expected total goals sit at 2.4, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 27%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 14.3% chance. Queen’s Park, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.85 goals scored and 0.77 conceded, while Dunfermline away averages 1.23 scored and 1.46 conceded. The suggested picks are: Under 25.5 fouls 84.4%, Under 5.5 cards 79.4%, Under 3.5 77.7% (hit), Over 2.5 cards 75.3%, Under 23.5 fouls 72.5%, Over 8.5 corners 71.8%, and Over 1.5 70.7% (hit). Both teams are coming off recent draws and wins respectively, keeping the contest finely balanced.

Queen's Park extended their recent run, coming off a draw, to secure a 2-1 victory over Dunfermline, the result that matched the model’s prediction of a home win. The model had given the home side a 38% chance, and its call proved correct. The most likely total of 2 goals materialised, with the 1-1 draw and 0-0 scorelines also in the model’s top three. The model’s selections performed well: Under 3.5, with a 77.7% probability, hit, and Over 1.5, at 70.7%, also hit. The match confirmed the model’s overall accuracy.