Queen's Park vs Dunfermline Result & Analysis

Queen's Park and Dunfermline face a finely balanced clash, each side having struggled to find a rhythm in recent fixtures. The model sees a home win as the most likely outcome, with a 41% chance, a draw at 30%, and an away win at 29%. The expected total of goals sits at 2.4, with the most probable total being two goals at 28%. The single scoreline the model favours is a 1-1 draw, carrying a 14.3% probability.

Queen's Park average 1.23 goals scored and 1.69 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Dunfermline, on the road, averages a modest 0.29 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. The suggested selections include Under 5.5 cards at 79.2%, Under 3.5 goals at 78.5% (hit), Under 25.5 fouls at 76.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 71.3%, and Over 19.5 fouls at 70.5%. Each pick is presented with its exact probability, and no other outcome is given a winning chance.

The upset came early as Dunfermline edged Queen’s Park 1-0, a result that surprised the model’s pre-match favourite, a Home win at 41%. The prediction was wrong. The final score of 0-1 confirmed an Away win. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals proved correct, with a 78.5% probability and the hit recorded. Queen’s Park, coming off a draw in their last five, had a modest home form, while Dunfermline, fresh from a win, displayed a stronger away record. The match finished with the expected total of two goals, but the only goal came from the visiting side.