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Queen's Park vs Morton Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2022
Time: 18:45
Final 1-2
Queen
Queen's Park
Vs
56%
25%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Queen's Park win✗ Miss
55.6%
Avg Implied 38.9% · @ 2.38
Edge
+16.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.27
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Morton win✓ Hit
19.5%
Avg Implied 32.8% · @ 2.82
Edge
-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D23L32W21W21W03L20W10WA·INV30/07H·AYR05/08H·PAR13/08A·ARB20/08H·COV27/08A·DUN03/09A·HAM17/09H·RAI01/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.621.382.001.501.251.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.711.432.001.501.331.33
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %25% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D10W12L12L00D10W12L12L12L15LA·HAM30/07H·COV06/08A·RAI13/08A·RAI13/08H·DUN20/08A·INV27/08H·AYR03/09H·AYR03/09H·ARB17/09A·PAR01/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.201.211.000.881.38
vs Stronger (4)1.251.001.501.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.001.231.171.000.861.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.9%
@ 1.95+5.8%
Under 2.5
46.1%
@ 1.81-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.6%
Under 3.5
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
6.0%
1-2 ✓
5.4%
Queen's Park goals ↓
Morton goals →
01234
06.9%4.8%3.0%1.0%0.3%
19.6%12%5.4%1.8%0.5%
29.8%9.9%5.0%1.7%0.4%
36.0%6.0%3.0%1.0%0.3%
42.7%2.8%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queen's Park goals (down), columns = Morton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Airdrie United
2.25
Dundee
1.96
Queens Park
1.61
Ayr
1.61
Queen's Park
1.61
Ayr Utd
1.61
Morton
1.60
Partick
1.52
Alloa Athletic
1.50
Inverness CT
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.19
Raith Rovers
1.19
Arbroath
0.96
Hamilton Academical
0.93
Cove Rangers
0.87
Hamilton
0.86
Falkirk
0.00
Queen's Park is 0.01 points better than Morton in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.25
Dundee
2.02
Queens Park
1.75
Queen's Park
1.75
Partick
1.73
Ayr
1.69
Ayr Utd
1.69
Morton
1.52
Alloa Athletic
1.50
Inverness CT
1.37
Raith Rvs
1.28
Raith Rovers
1.28
Cove Rangers
1.12
Falkirk
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.95
Hamilton
0.86
Arbroath
0.79
Queen's Park is 0.23 goals better than Morton in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.52).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Airdrie United
1.00
Dundee
1.02
Morton
1.19
Ayr
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.19
Arbroath
1.23
Inverness CT
1.29
Raith Rvs
1.36
Raith Rovers
1.36
Partick
1.38
Queens Park
1.44
Queen's Park
1.44
Hamilton Academical
1.70
Hamilton
1.75
Cove Rangers
2.19
Alloa Athletic
2.50
Falkirk
3.50
Queen's Park is 0.25 goals worse than Morton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.19).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

QueenQueen's Park

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MortonMorton

For 4.9 · Against 6.4 · Total 11.3

🚩 Corners

150953256116734858259213145111113713101415H·AYRA·RAIA·HAMA·ARBH·INVH·HAMA·RAIH·KILH·AYRA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

9024444513422111116890463121H·AYRA·RAIA·HAMA·ARBH·INVH·HAMA·RAIH·KILH·AYRA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.2 · Total 24.0

⚠️ Fouls

310111620911131271114148991310131814827292419252218233122H·AYRA·RAIA·HAMA·ARBH·INVH·HAMA·RAIH·KILH·AYRA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QueenQueen's Park

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (7)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.110.82.62.42.820.921.620.2
vs Stronger (7)10.29.311.03.31.85.319.718.720.7
vs Similar (43)10.510.210.82.52.62.521.122.120.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line64%57%71%32%28%36%43%52%33%
% under line36%43%29%68%72%64%57%48%67%
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dundee
11.3
Hamilton
10.5
Ayr
10.3
Queens Park
10.2
Morton
10.2
Arbroath
10.1
Falkirk
10.0
Airdrie United
9.9
Raith Rvs
9.7
Partick
9.7
Inverness CT
9.3
Cove Rangers
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Falkirk
4.2
Raith Rvs
3.9
Hamilton
3.7
Dundee
3.7
Cove Rangers
3.6
Queens Park
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Inverness CT
3.4
Ayr
3.3
Airdrie United
3.3
Partick
3.2
Morton
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dundee
24.6
Hamilton
23.1
Inverness CT
22.8
Arbroath
22.7
Falkirk
22.2
Cove Rangers
21.4
Raith Rvs
21.4
Morton
21.0
Partick
20.6
Ayr
20.3
Airdrie United
19.2
Queens Park
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.5%
Under 9.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
47.0%
Under 3.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
43.7%
Under 21.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

QueenQueen's Park

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W10W10W10W02L10W00DA·INV30/07H·AYR05/08H·PAR13/08A·ARB20/08H·COV27/08A·DUN03/09A·HAM17/09H·RAI01/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.880.381.000.000.750.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.291.000.000.670.67
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %75% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D00D00D00D01L01L02L12LA·HAM30/07H·COV06/08A·RAI13/08A·RAI13/08H·DUN20/08A·INV27/08H·AYR03/09H·AYR03/09H·ARB17/09A·PAR01/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.570.360.640.380.50
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.501.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.380.580.330.580.430.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

QueenQueen's Park

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L22D11D11D01L10W10WA·INV30/07H·AYR05/08H·PAR13/08A·ARB20/08H·COV27/08A·DUN03/09A·HAM17/09H·RAI01/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.001.001.500.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.861.141.001.500.670.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %38% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W12L12L00D10W11D11D10W03LA·HAM30/07H·COV06/08A·RAI13/08A·RAI13/08H·DUN20/08A·INV27/08H·AYR03/09H·AYR03/09H·ARB17/09A·PAR01/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.860.360.500.88
vs Stronger (4)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.620.650.830.420.430.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.4%--------
Under 25.5 fouls84.1%--------
Over 1.578.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners72.2%--------
Under 23.5 fouls72.1%--------
Under 4.5 cards72.0%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Queen's Park and Morton have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Queen's Park and Morton have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (7)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Queen's Park and Morton have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Queen's Park and Morton have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
QP wins
0
Draws
0
MOR wins

Head-to-head

Queen's Park vs Morton · H/A from QP
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22HQP Vs Raith Rovers1-0
17/09/22AHamilton Academical Vs QP0-2
03/09/22ADundee Vs QP3-0
27/08/22HQP Vs Cove Rangers2-1
20/08/22AArbroath Vs QP1-2
13/08/22HQP Vs Partick3-2
05/08/22HQP Vs Ayr Utd2-3
30/07/22AInverness CT Vs QP1-1

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22APartick Vs MOR5-1
17/09/22HMOR Vs Arbroath1-2
03/09/22HMOR Vs Ayr1-2
03/09/22HMOR Vs Ayr Utd1-2
27/08/22AInverness CT Vs MOR0-1
20/08/22HMOR Vs Dundee0-0
13/08/22ARaith Rvs Vs MOR2-1
13/08/22ARaith Rovers Vs MOR2-1
06/08/22HMOR Vs Cove Rangers1-0
30/07/22AHamilton Academical Vs MOR1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Queen
Queen's Park
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW2.00
HomeLWWW2.25
AwayDWLW1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%75%50%
AVG goals3.003.502.50
Over 1.5 %88%75%100%
Over 2.5 %62%75%50%
Over 3.5 %25%50%0%
Scored1.622.001.25
Conceded1.381.501.25
BTTS62%75%50%
Clean Sheet25%25%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.04
HomeWDLLL0.96
AwayDLLWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%16%28%
AVG goals2.242.482.00
Over 1.5 %64%68%60%
Over 2.5 %42%48%36%
Over 3.5 %18%28%8%
Scored0.941.120.76
Conceded1.301.361.24
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet30%24%36%
Corners10.4510.1010.81
Cards3.142.903.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DundeeDundee52102
56%
2.0
10553+52
3.0
79%
52%
38%
9.8
56%
3.6
38%
21.2
50%
5
1222.01.0
-
2MortonMorton5283
42%
1.6
7962+17
2.7
77%
58%
27%
11.9
81%
5.3
75%
23.4
56%
1
0001.51.2
-
3PartickPartick5279
42%
1.5
9072+18
3.1
81%
63%
42%
10.8
75%
4.1
44%
19.9
31%
3
1111.71.4
-
4Inverness CTInverness CT5275
38%
1.4
7167+4
2.7
77%
54%
23%
12.5
62%
2.4
25%
15.9
25%
1
0001.41.3
-
5
A
Ayr
3658
44%
1.6
6143+18
2.9
81%
56%
39%
10.8
58%
3.1
31%
18.9
28%
0
0001.71.2
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd3658
44%
1.6
6143+18
2.9
81%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.2
-
7Queens ParkQueens Park3658
47%
1.6
6352+11
3.2
83%
61%
39%
12.6
86%
3.0
36%
18.5
25%
0
0001.81.4
-
8QueenQueen's Park3658
47%
1.6
6352+11
3.2
83%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.4
-
9ArbroathArbroath5250
17%
1.0
4164-23
2.0
65%
27%
13%
11.8
69%
4.3
62%
20.7
50%
1
0000.81.2
-
10Cove RangersCove Rangers5245
19%
0.9
58114-56
3.3
87%
62%
37%
10.2
56%
3.8
56%
20.2
38%
0
0001.12.2
-
11Raith RoversRaith Rovers3643
31%
1.2
4649-3
2.6
78%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.4
-
12
RR
Raith Rvs
3643
31%
1.2
4649-3
2.6
78%
44%
25%
9.6
47%
4.1
61%
19.7
42%
0
0001.31.4
-
13Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical4037
22%
0.9
3868-30
2.6
68%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
14
H
Hamilton
3631
19%
0.9
3163-32
2.6
69%
42%
28%
11.3
69%
4.3
56%
22.6
56%
0
0000.91.8
-
15Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United49
75%
2.2
94+5
3.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
16Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic23
50%
1.5
35-2
4.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.5
-
17FalkirkFalkirk20
0%
0.0
27-5
4.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.03.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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