This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Morton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.00
1.00
0.87
0.87
1.13
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.50
1.00
1.80
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.88
1.00
0.40
0.93
1.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.0%
@ 2.02+0.8%
Under 2.5
53.0%
@ 1.74-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.4%
Under 3.5
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-0
9.0%
1-0 ✓
8.9%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
Queen's Park goals ↓
Morton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
8.4%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
1
8.9%
14%
7.9%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.7%
8.3%
5.2%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.9%
3.6%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queen's Park goals (down), columns = Morton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Falkirk
2.00
Livingston
1.98
Ayr
1.75
Ayr Utd
1.75
Partick
1.58
Raith Rvs
1.47
Raith Rovers
1.47
Morton
1.42
Cove Rangers
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Hamilton
1.00
Airdrie United
1.00
Queens Park
0.97
Queen's Park
0.97
Dunfermline
0.94
Queen of the South
0.50
Stenhousemuir
0.00
Queen's Park is 0.45 points worse than Morton in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.42).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkirk
1.94
Livingston
1.63
Ayr
1.58
Ayr Utd
1.58
Raith Rvs
1.31
Raith Rovers
1.31
Partick
1.25
Morton
1.19
Hamilton Academical
1.06
Hamilton
1.06
Airdrie United
1.04
Queens Park
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Queen's Park
1.00
Dunfermline
0.77
Cove Rangers
0.75
Queen of the South
0.50
Queen's Park is 0.19 goals worse than Morton in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.73
Cove Rangers
0.75
Falkirk
0.96
Partick
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Ayr
1.08
Ayr Utd
1.08
Raith Rvs
1.19
Raith Rovers
1.19
Morton
1.23
Dunfermline
1.23
Queens Park
1.53
Queen's Park
1.53
Airdrie United
1.66
Hamilton Academical
1.78
Hamilton
1.78
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Queen's Park is 0.30 goals worse than Morton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.23).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Queen's Park
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Morton
For 5.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Queen's Park
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Morton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.7
10.4
1.0
1.1
0.9
23.7
22.8
24.8
vs Stronger (8)
9.7
9.0
11.0
1.9
1.5
3.0
22.0
20.5
25.0
vs Similar (42)
9.4
8.5
10.2
0.8
1.0
0.7
24.4
24.0
24.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
33%
60%
18%
20%
16%
55%
50%
60%
% under line
55%
67%
40%
82%
80%
84%
45%
50%
40%
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Falkirk
11.2
Morton
10.7
Queens Park
10.5
Dunfermline
10.5
Ayr
10.4
Hamilton
10.1
Cove Rangers
10.1
Stenhousemuir
10.1
Partick
10.0
Raith Rvs
9.9
Airdrie United
9.9
Livingston
9.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.6
Morton
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Falkirk
3.9
Dunfermline
3.9
Livingston
3.6
Partick
3.5
Hamilton
3.5
Queens Park
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Ayr
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Livingston
23.9
Morton
22.4
Stenhousemuir
22.2
Falkirk
21.5
Hamilton
20.6
Raith Rvs
20.5
Ayr
20.1
Partick
19.8
Dunfermline
19.7
Queens Park
19.4
Airdrie United
18.8
Cove Rangers
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.7%
Under 9.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.6%
Under 3.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
48.0%
Under 21.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Queen's Park
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.40
0.86
0.21
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
-
-
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (25)
0.92
0.28
0.92
0.15
0.92
0.42
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Morton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.57
0.33
0.47
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.60
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.29
0.50
0.20
0.20
0.36
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Queen's Park
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.80
0.93
0.79
0.94
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
-
-
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.85
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Morton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.67
0.40
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.40
0.80
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.38
0.80
0.20
0.57
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
Queen's Park and Morton have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Queen's Park and Morton have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Queen's Park and Morton have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
Queen's Park and Morton have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Scotland: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →