Queen's Park vs Partick Result & Analysis

Queen's Park’s recent 0-0 draw against Partick leaves both sides with a cautious approach, yet the numbers hint at a high-scoring affair. The model projects 3.7 goals on average, with the most likely total being three goals at 21%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.4% chance. The predicted result is an away win, with the model assigning 41% to Partick, 36% to Queen’s Park and 23% to a draw. Queen’s Park, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages two goals scored and three conceded, while Partick, on the road, averages 1.23 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 89.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 88.0%, Under 25.5 fouls at 82.3%, Under 4.5 cards at 75.8%, and BTTS Yes at 71.6%. These picks reflect a game where both teams are likely to find the net, yet the match is expected to tilt in favour of Partick.

The upset came as Queen's Park edged Partick 3-2, a result that stunned the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win, which had a 41% probability. The model’s prediction was therefore wrong. The final score of 3-2 gave Queen's Park a home win, extending their recent form with a draw in the previous match. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with an 89.1% chance, and BTTS Yes also hit, backed by a 71.6% probability. The expected total of 3.7 goals and the most likely 3-goal outcome were close to reality, but the outcome of the match contradicted the favourite’s forecast.