Queen's Park vs Partick Result & Analysis

Queen's Park arrive from a mixed run, their last five matches ending in a draw, while Partick also come off a draw. The model sees a 55% chance of a home win, 22% for a draw and 23% for an away win, making a Queen's Park victory the favourite. With an expected total of 3.6 goals, the most likely scoreline is 2-1, a 9.2% probability. Queen's Park, playing at home against a similarly-sized opponent, average 2.0 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, whereas Partick, on the road, average 1.54 scored and 2.31 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 88.6%, Under 25.5 fouls at 86.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 84.0%, Under 23.5 fouls at 75.4%, Over 8.5 corners at 74.0%, Over 2.5 goals at 70.4% with a 15% edge, Over 2.5 cards at 70.2%, and Under 4.5 cards at 70.1%. The model’s edge on Over 2.5 goals stems from Queen's Park’s higher scoring average at home and Partick’s weaker away defence.

The match finished 2-0 in favour of Queen’s Park, extending their recent run of results. The model had called a home win with a 55% probability, and that prediction proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 2-1, yet the actual 2-0 outcome still fell within the model’s top-three possibilities. The expected total of 3.6 goals was not reached, but the Over 1.5 selection hit, backed by an 88.6% probability, while Over 2.5 missed despite a 70.4% chance. Overall, the model’s favourite call and the Over 1.5 pick performed as expected, whereas the higher-total suggestion fell short.