Queen's Park vs Partick Result & Analysis

The contest between Queen’s Park and Partick is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win at 39%. A draw sits at 28% and an away win at 33%, so the outcome is far from settled. The average number of goals expected is 2.7, with the most likely total being two goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.3% chance. Queen’s Park, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.92 goals scored and 0.85 conceded, while Partick, on the road, averages 0.64 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 82.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 81.7%, Over 1.5 at 76.9% (miss), Over 8.5 corners at 73.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 71.7%, and Under 3.5 at 70.7% (hit). These picks reflect the expected intensity and defensive nature of the match.

The upset arrived as Partick edged Queen's Park 1-0, a result that left the pre-match favourite - the model’s Home win call - on the wrong side of the outcome. The model had given the home side a 39% chance of triumph, yet the away team secured the victory. Queen’s Park had been coming off a draw in their last five, while Partick had also finished a draw, both teams still carrying recent form that suggested a tight contest. The model’s Over 1.5 selection, with a 76.9% probability, missed, whereas the Under 3.5 pick, at 70.7%, hit. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away win.