Queen's Park vs Partick Result & Analysis

Queen’s Park and Partick are locked in a tight contest, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 41% for Queen’s Park, 27% for a draw and 32% for Partick. The average goal tally sits at 2.9, but the most likely total is two goals, a 24% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.6% probability, a tidy reflection of the balanced scoring rates: Queen’s Park average 1.38 at home against similar opposition and concede 1.23, while Partick average 1.07 away and concede 1.60. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls (85.6%), Over 1.5 (79.9% hit), Under 5.5 cards (77.7%), Over 2.5 cards (76.9%) and Under 23.5 fouls (74.2%). Both teams have recently drawn 0-0, leaving the outcome uncertain.

The upset came as Queen's Park, the pre-match favourite, fell short of their 41% chance to win, losing 0-2 to Partick. The model had picked a home win with a 41% probability, but the result was an away victory, so the call was wrong. The final score of 0-2 matched Partick’s 32% win probability and the 27% draw chance. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5, hit with a 79.9% probability. Queen’s Park had come off a draw in their last five matches, while Partick had also drawn their most recent game. The match confirmed the model’s prediction that the total would be at least 1.5 goals, but the home side failed to deliver.