Racing FC Union Luxembourg’s recent draw against Victoria Rosport and a strong home form that averages 1.67 goals scored and 2.0 conceded suggest a high-scoring encounter. The model projects a 51% chance of a home win, 24% for a draw, and 26% for an away win, with the home side favoured as the most likely result. The expected total of 3.4 goals points to an open match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.5% probability. Racing’s home scoring and conceding figures against similar-strength opponents match the model’s expectation, while AS Jeunesse Esch, playing away, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded against similar teams. The model’s selection includes Over 1.5 goals at an 85.7% probability. The home win probability is 51%, the draw probability 24%, and the away win probability 26%. The only suggested pick is Over 1.5 with an 85.7% chance.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as Racing FC Union Luxembourg edged AS Jeunesse Esch 2-1, a result that matched the favoured outcome. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 51% probability and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 2-1 confirmed the home side’s victory, extending their recent run of wins after a draw. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 85.7% probability, as the match produced three goals. All selections settled as forecast, with the most likely total of three goals and the most probable scorelines 1-1, 2-1 and 2-0 reflected the game’s flow.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Racing FC Union Luxembourg win✓ Hit
50.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch win✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
2.11
1.50
2.50
1.80
1.80
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
3.33
1.00
4.00
1.50
3.00
vs Similar (6)
1.83
1.50
1.67
2.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
22% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Jeunesse Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Jeunesse Esch
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
1.57
0.75
0.75
0.67
2.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.50
-
-
0.50
3.50
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.80
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
29% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing FC Union Luxembourg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.1%
Under 2.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.1%
Under 3.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.3%
No
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1 ✓
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
3-0
4.5%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg goals ↓
AS Jeunesse Esch goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
3.8%
3.3%
1.5%
0.5%
1
6.0%
10%
6.5%
3.0%
1.0%
2
6.9%
9.4%
6.5%
2.9%
1.0%
3
4.5%
6.2%
4.3%
1.9%
0.7%
4
2.3%
3.1%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Racing FC Union Luxembourg goals (down), columns = AS Jeunesse Esch goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Swift Hesperange
2.57
Progres Niederkorn
2.33
F91 Dudelange
2.23
Union Titus Petange
1.97
FC Differdange 03
1.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.50
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.30
Wiltz
1.20
Victoria Rosport
1.07
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Mondercange
0.97
UN Kaerjeng 97
0.90
Fola Esch
0.87
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.77
US Hostert
0.60
Bettembourg
0.00
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and AS Jeunesse Esch are level in average points per game (both 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Swift Hesperange
3.33
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
F91 Dudelange
2.87
Progres Niederkorn
2.23
Union Titus Petange
2.07
FC Differdange 03
2.00
Bettembourg
2.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Victoria Rosport
1.60
Wiltz
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.47
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
Mondercange
1.37
Fola Esch
1.26
UNA Strassen
1.10
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.07
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.06
US Hostert
0.67
Racing FC Union Luxembourg is 0.03 goals worse than AS Jeunesse Esch in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Swift Hesperange
0.93
Progres Niederkorn
1.03
F91 Dudelange
1.27
Union Titus Petange
1.27
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.30
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.30
FC Differdange 03
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.53
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Mondercange
1.83
Victoria Rosport
1.93
Wiltz
1.97
US Hostert
2.17
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.29
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.37
Fola Esch
2.39
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
Bettembourg
3.00
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and AS Jeunesse Esch are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.30).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
For 4.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
AS Jeunesse Esch
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (9)
8.5
10.0
7.0
0.8
0.8
0.8
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
8.5
10.0
7.0
2.3
3.0
2.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
11%
0%
20%
-
-
-
% under line
50%
0%
100%
89%
100%
80%
-
-
-
This opponent (AS Jeunesse Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Jeunesse Esch
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Racing FC Union Luxembourg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Differdange 03
12.5
F91 Dudelange
9.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
9.0
Fola Esch
7.0
F91 Dudelange
5.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
F91 Dudelange
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.44
1.00
0.75
1.25
0.20
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Jeunesse Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Jeunesse Esch
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.29
0.86
0.25
0.00
0.33
2.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.00
0.25
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
71% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing FC Union Luxembourg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.22
1.11
0.75
1.25
1.60
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
0.00
2.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (6)
1.33
0.83
1.00
1.00
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
22% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Jeunesse Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Jeunesse Esch
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.75
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.80
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing FC Union Luxembourg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and AS Jeunesse Esch have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and AS Jeunesse Esch have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and AS Jeunesse Esch have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and AS Jeunesse Esch have a similar defence value (both €1m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
RFU wins
0
Draws
0
AJE wins
Head-to-head
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs AS Jeunesse Esch · H/A from RFU
Luxembourg: National Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Swift Hesperange
Progres Niederkorn
F91 Dudelange
Union Titus Petange
FC Differdange 03
US Mondorf-les-bains
UNA Strassen
Wiltz
Victoria Rosport
Mondercange
UN Kaerjeng 97
Fola Esch
Etzella Ettelbruck
US Hostert
Jeunesse Canach
Bettembourg