Racing FC Union Luxembourg are the clear favourite, with the model giving them a 67% chance of victory. The prediction hinges on their strong home form, averaging 2.42 goals scored and conceding just 1.08 against teams of similar strength, while Victoria Rosport, on the road, averages only 1.25 goals and concedes 2.0. The expected total of 3.4 goals points to a lively encounter, and the single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for the home side, a 9.7% chance. The model also favours a home win as the most probable result, with a 20% draw probability and a 14% chance of an away win. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98%, Under 7.5 total goals at 97.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 95.5%, Home +2 handicap at 95.1%, Under 6.5 fouls at 94.4%, and Over 19.5 fouls at 94%. All selections carry their own probabilities, and the edge percentages are noted where provided.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Racing FC Union Luxembourg, failed to deliver as the match finished 2-2, a draw that extended their recent streak of a draw followed by three wins. The model had predicted a home win with a 67% probability, but that call proved wrong. The model’s selections performed impressively: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.3%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98%, Under 7.5 hit at 97.8%, Home +2 handicap hit at 95.1%, and Under 6.5 hit at 94.4%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick was noted as hit or missed exactly as recorded.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Racing FC Union Luxembourg win✗ Miss
66.7%
Avg Implied 59.9% · @ 1.51
Edge
+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Draw✓ Hit
19.6%
Avg Implied 20.0% · @ 4.54
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.19
Dafabet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Betfair
4.60
Victoria Rosport win✗ Miss
13.7%
Avg Implied 20.1% · @ 4.52
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.70
Unibet
4.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.63
2.07
1.43
1.69
1.81
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
3.33
0.00
3.50
0.25
3.25
vs Similar (22)
2.41
1.27
2.42
1.08
2.40
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Victoria Rosport
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.97
1.54
1.69
1.12
2.18
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
1.86
0.83
1.33
0.88
2.25
vs Similar (15)
1.67
2.00
2.14
2.00
1.25
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
3.00
-
-
2.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing FC Union Luxembourg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.9%
@ 1.13+5.4%
Under 1.5
14.1%
@ 4.65-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.10
Unibet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.6%
@ 1.47+3.3%
Under 2.5
34.4%
@ 2.44-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.55
1xBet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.52
Superbet
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.7%
@ 2.23+2.4%
Under 3.5
56.3%
@ 1.57-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.35
10Bet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
2.21
1xBet
2.21
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.5%
@ 1.55-0.2%
No
41.5%
@ 2.21+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.56
William Hil
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
No
1xBet
2.29
Superbet
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
10Bet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.7%@ 7.50+4.6%
2-0
9.6%@ 7.87+4.8%
1-1
9.0%@ 8.23+4.4%
3-1
7.6%@ 9.88+3.8%
3-0
7.5%@ 10.30+3.9%
1-0
7.3%@ 8.50+2.8%
2-2 ✓
4.9%@ 12.83+1.9%
4-1
4.5%@ 16.17+2.2%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg goals ↓
Victoria Rosport goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
2.6%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
1
7.3%
9.0%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
2
9.6%
9.7%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
7.5%
7.6%
3.9%
1.3%
0.3%
4
4.5%
4.5%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Racing FC Union Luxembourg goals (down), columns = Victoria Rosport goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
Racing FC Union Luxembourg is 1.20 points better than Victoria Rosport in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg is 0.60 goals better than Victoria Rosport in terms of goals scored per game (2.60 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
Racing FC Union Luxembourg is 1.20 goals better than Victoria Rosport in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 2.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Victoria Rosport
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.5
7.5
-
0.7
0.5
0.9
26.5
26.5
-
vs Stronger (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
7.5
7.5
-
0.9
0.6
1.4
26.5
26.5
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
-
8%
8%
8%
100%
100%
-
% under line
100%
100%
-
92%
92%
92%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Victoria Rosport
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
11.5
8.0
0.6
0.8
0.5
25.0
23.0
26.0
vs Stronger (20)
8.0
9.0
7.0
0.9
1.0
0.9
23.0
23.0
23.0
vs Similar (29)
11.5
14.0
9.0
0.4
0.7
0.2
29.0
-
29.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
25%
50%
0%
6%
9%
4%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
75%
50%
100%
94%
91%
96%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Racing FC Union Luxembourg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
32.8%
@ 2.19-9.2%
Under 9.5
67.2%
@ 1.59+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.19
Under
1xBet
1.59
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
88.4%
Under 3.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.2%
Under 21.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg or Draw✓ Hit
86.3%
Avg Implied 80.5% · @ 1.14
Edge
+5.8%
67%
20%
14%
covers Racing FC Union Luxembourg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Racing FC Union Luxembourg or Victoria Rosport✗ Miss
80.4%
Avg Implied 79.7% · @ 1.15
Edge
+0.7%
67%
20%
14%
covers Racing FC Union Luxembourg + Victoria Rosport
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Draw or Victoria Rosport✓ Hit
33.3%
Avg Implied 39.8% · @ 2.30
Edge
-6.4%
67%
20%
14%
covers Draw + Victoria Rosport
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.60
Marathonbet
2.38
10Bet
2.38
1xBet
2.38
William Hil
2.30
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.6%
@ 1.06+5.0%
Under
9.4%
@ 6.35-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Under
1xBet
6.70
10Bet
6.00
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
68.4%
@ 1.48+6.6%
Under
31.6%
@ 2.40-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Unibet
1.50
10Bet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.42
Under
Marathonbet
2.57
Pinnacle
2.46
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.35
Unibet
2.23
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
42.2%
@ 2.45+4.6%
Under
57.8%
@ 1.48-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.49
1xBet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
10Bet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
21.5%
@ 4.15-0.5%
Under
78.5%
@ 1.17+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.15
Under
1xBet
1.17
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.6%
@ 1.41-1.4%
Under
36.4%
@ 2.62+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.44
Unibet
1.41
1xBet
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.69
10Bet
2.65
1xBet
2.65
Unibet
2.48
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.8%
@ 2.88-4.9%
Under
73.2%
@ 1.34+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.89
Marathonbet
2.89
10Bet
2.85
Under
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 6.80-5.2%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.06+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Under
1xBet
1.06
Victoria Rosport over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Racing FC Union Luxembourg, so a minus line means Racing FC Union Luxembourg give that many goals of a start and Victoria Rosport receive them. At -1, Racing FC Union Luxembourg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Racing FC Union Luxembourg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Racing FC Union Luxembourg)Actual: Victoria Rosport
Racing FC Union Luxembourg -2
25.2%
@ 4.12+4.7%
Draw -2
19.9%
@ 4.15-0.5%
Victoria Rosport +2
55.0%
@ 1.43-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.40
Unibet
3.85
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Unibet
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.48
Unibet
1.38
Handicap -1 (Racing FC Union Luxembourg)Actual: Victoria Rosport
Racing FC Union Luxembourg -1
45.0%
@ 2.26+6.9%
Draw -1
21.6%
@ 3.48-3.2%
Victoria Rosport +1
33.3%
@ 2.33-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.33
Unibet
2.23
Betfair
2.10
Draw
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
Unibet
3.05
Away
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Unibet
2.06
Handicap +1 (Racing FC Union Luxembourg)Actual: Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Racing FC Union Luxembourg +1
86.3%
Draw +1
8.8%
Victoria Rosport -1
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Racing FC Union Luxembourg)Actual: Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Racing FC Union Luxembourg +2
95.1%
Draw +2
3.6%
Victoria Rosport -2
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
0.93
0.86
0.88
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.18
0.50
1.08
0.58
1.30
0.40
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Victoria Rosport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.87
0.85
0.69
0.24
1.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
0.79
0.50
0.17
0.12
1.25
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.93
1.14
1.14
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing FC Union Luxembourg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.1%
@ 1.23-1.1%
Under 0.5
25.9%
@ 3.73+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.70
William Hil
3.70
10Bet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.7%
@ 2.13-3.2%
Under 1.5
60.3%
@ 1.60+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
Unibet
2.18
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Under
Betfair
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
William Hil
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.1%
@ 4.63-3.7%
Under 2.5
83.9%
@ 1.15+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
William Hil
4.60
1xBet
4.50
Under
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
59.6%
@ 1.53-1.3%
Under
40.4%
@ 2.38+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.44
1xBet
2.32
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
23.7%
@ 3.17-5.8%
Under
76.3%
@ 1.32+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Pinnacle
2.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.24
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 10.00-2.0%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.01+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.6%
@ 2.30-5.8%
Under
65.4%
@ 1.56+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.53
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 7.50-4.3%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.04+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Under
1xBet
1.04
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 11.00-7.4%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.93
1.14
0.57
0.81
1.25
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.83
0.00
1.00
0.25
2.25
vs Similar (22)
1.23
0.77
1.33
0.50
1.10
1.10
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Rosport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Victoria Rosport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.10
0.69
1.00
0.88
1.18
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.07
0.33
1.17
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.93
1.07
1.00
0.86
0.88
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing FC Union Luxembourg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.2%
@ 1.12-0.4%
Under 0.5
17.8%
@ 5.30+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
53.8%
@ 1.71-0.3%
Under 1.5
46.2%
@ 2.01+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.3%
@ 3.00-3.2%
Under 2.5
72.7%
@ 1.32+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.32
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
68.7%
@ 1.36+0.6%
Under
31.3%
@ 2.90-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.90
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
31.5%
@ 2.65-3.2%
Under
68.5%
@ 1.41+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.41
Racing FC Union Luxembourg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 6.60-2.3%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.06+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Under
1xBet
1.06
Victoria Rosport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
40.5%
@ 1.88-8.7%
Under
59.5%
@ 1.82+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.82
Victoria Rosport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 5.50-4.6%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.10+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Under
1xBet
1.10
Victoria Rosport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 11.00-6.7%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.8%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
90.6%
1.06
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
88.4%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.9%
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
87.3%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
86.3%
1.14
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.12
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
86.1%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+7.4%
-
Over 1.5
85.9%
1.13
Unibet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.9%
1.15
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
-
-
+3.7%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
80.4%
1.15
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
78.5%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
77.9%
1.32
1xBet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+9.0%
-
Over 4.5 cards
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
76.3%
1.32
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.24
-
-
-
+5.8%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
74.8%
1.21
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
-
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.1%
1.23
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.20
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.2%
1.34
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
-
-
+4.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.7%
1.32
1xBet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and Victoria Rosport have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and Victoria Rosport have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and Victoria Rosport have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
Racing FC Union Luxembourg and Victoria Rosport have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →