This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moss
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.80
2.07
1.40
1.13
2.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
1.67
1.81
2.21
1.43
1.08
2.23
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Råde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
89.9%
Under 1.5
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
73.0%
Under 2.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.5%
Under 3.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.7%
No
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
7.5%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.7%
2-3
4.9%
0-1 ✓
4.9%
Råde goals ↓
Moss goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.0%
4.9%
6.9%
5.7%
3.5%
1
2.2%
8.1%
9.1%
7.5%
4.7%
2
2.0%
4.8%
6.0%
4.9%
3.1%
3
0.9%
2.1%
2.6%
2.2%
1.3%
4
0.3%
0.7%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Råde goals (down), columns = Moss goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.60
Fredrikstad
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Lillestrom
2.43
KFUM Oslo
2.40
Brann
2.33
Ranheim
2.33
Sogndal
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.29
Asane
2.25
Rosenborg
2.20
Molde
2.00
Træff
2.00
Rana
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Lysekloster
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Tromso
2.00
Sandefjord
2.00
Aalesund
2.00
Stromsgodset
2.00
Start
2.00
Lyn
2.00
Moss
2.00
Kongsvinger
2.00
Haugesund
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Kristiansund BK
1.83
Bryne
1.75
Egersund
1.75
Grorud
1.67
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Lørenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Levanger
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Kjelsås
1.50
Flint
1.50
Follo
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.33
Mjondalen
1.25
Djerv
1.00
Asker
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
Førde
0.92
Madla
0.92
Vigør
0.92
Vestfossen
0.92
Finnsnes
0.92
Gamle Oslo
0.50
Sotra
0.50
Nardo
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Ull/Kisa
0.50
hodd
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Brumunddal
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Råde
0.00
Hønefoss
0.00
Eik-Tønsberg
0.00
ODD Ballklubb
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Råde is 2.00 points worse than Moss in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
6.00
Alta
4.67
Haugesund
4.67
Levanger
4.50
Rosenborg
4.40
Bodo/Glimt
4.33
Tromso
3.67
Molde
3.50
Follo
3.50
Fredrikstad
3.25
Brann
3.00
Stromsgodset
3.00
Start
3.00
Viking
3.00
Stabaek
3.00
Strommen
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Kristiansund BK
2.83
Asane
2.75
Egersund
2.75
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.71
Tromsdalen Uil
2.67
Sandefjord
2.67
Ranheim
2.67
Eidsvold
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Raufoss
2.50
Lillestrom
2.29
KFUM Oslo
2.20
Rana
2.00
Asker
2.00
Grorud
2.00
Mjondalen
2.00
Bærum
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Moss
2.00
Aalesund
1.80
Ham-Kam
1.75
Bryne
1.75
Lyn
1.67
Træff
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Lørenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Nardo
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Flint
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Førde
1.44
Madla
1.44
Vigør
1.44
Vestfossen
1.44
Finnsnes
1.44
Pors Grenland
1.33
Djerv
1.00
Gamle Oslo
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Brumunddal
1.00
Råde
1.00
Eik-Tønsberg
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
hodd
1.00
Sotra
0.50
Strindheim
0.50
Kjelsås
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Hønefoss
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Råde is 1.00 goals worse than Moss in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viking
0.17
Brann
0.33
Tromso
0.33
Lillestrom
0.43
Træff
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.50
jerv
0.50
Ham-Kam
0.50
Stromsgodset
0.50
KFUM Oslo
0.60
Bodo/Glimt
0.67
Molde
0.75
Rosenborg
0.80
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Trygg/Lade
1.00
Lørenskog
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Levanger
1.00
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Eidsvold
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
Lyn
1.00
Bryne
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Stabaek
1.20
Grorud
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Moss
1.33
Sogndal
1.33
Bjarg
1.50
Sotra
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Kjelsås
1.50
Lysekloster
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Egersund
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.67
Rana
1.67
Tromsdalen Uil
1.67
Ranheim
1.67
Strommen
1.67
Mjondalen
1.75
Kongsvinger
1.75
Asker
2.00
Vard
2.00
Gneist
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Råde
2.00
Bærum
2.00
Flekkerøy
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
Start
2.00
hodd
2.00
Sandnes ULF
2.00
Asane
2.25
Sandviken (Norway)
2.50
Follo
2.50
Ull/Kisa
2.50
Førde
2.68
Madla
2.68
Vigør
2.68
Vestfossen
2.68
Finnsnes
2.68
Junkeren
3.00
Notodden
3.00
Ulfstind
3.00
Nardo
3.00
ODD Ballklubb
3.00
Gamle Oslo
3.50
Flint
3.50
Brumunddal
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Råde is 0.67 goals worse than Moss in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Råde or Draw✗ Miss
37.9%
Avg Implied -
18%
20%
62%
covers Råde + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Råde or Moss✓ Hit
80.3%
Avg Implied -
18%
20%
62%
covers Råde + Moss
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Moss✓ Hit
81.8%
Avg Implied -
18%
20%
62%
covers Draw + Moss
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Råde over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.2%
Under
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.9%
Under
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.6%
Under
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.6%
Under
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
70.8%
Under
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
45.0%
Under
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
23.7%
Under
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Råde, so a minus line means Råde give that many goals of a start and Moss receive them. At -1, Råde must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Råde win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Råde)Actual: Moss
Råde -2
2.5%
Draw -2
5.2%
Moss +2
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Råde)Actual: Moss
Råde -1
7.7%
Draw -1
10.5%
Moss +1
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Råde)Actual: Draw
Råde +1
37.9%
Draw +1
20.5%
Moss -1
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Råde)Actual: Råde
Råde +2
58.4%
Draw +2
18.2%
Moss -2
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Råde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.25
0.50
0.25
0.50
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moss
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
1.27
0.27
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.56
1.36
0.29
0.23
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Råde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Råde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Råde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moss
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.20
0.80
1.13
0.80
1.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.85
1.26
0.86
1.14
0.85
1.38
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Råde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Råde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 1.5 goals
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →