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Råde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Result & Analysis

Date: 01/05/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 0-1
Råde
Råde
Vs
12%
16%
72%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Norway: NM Cupen
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Råde win✗ Miss
12.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF win✓ Hit
71.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RådeRåde

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W21WH·KVI10/04H·MOS24/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.502.000.50--
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarpsborg 08 FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L13L02L01L01L51W22D02L21W30WA·VIK12/11H·MOL26/11A·BOD03/12A·VIK01/04H·ODD07/04A·SAR10/04A·FRE13/04H·KFU21/04A·HØN25/04A·TRO28/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.832.361.711.691.94
vs Stronger (7)0.572.431.003.000.402.20
vs Similar (21)2.331.712.641.552.001.90
vs Weaker (2)3.501.002.001.005.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Råde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%2%06%115%220%320%416%521%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
91.3%
Under 1.5
8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
76.0%
Under 2.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.4%
Under 3.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.8%
No
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.6%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
7.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-1
6.7%
1-4
5.8%
0-4
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
Råde goals ↓
Sarpsborg 08 FF goals →
01234
02.5%4.7%7.5%7.1%5.0%
11.5%6.7%8.6%8.1%5.8%
21.2%3.5%4.9%4.7%3.3%
30.5%1.3%1.9%1.8%1.3%
40.1%0.4%0.5%0.5%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Råde goals (down), columns = Sarpsborg 08 FF goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molde
2.71
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Rosenborg
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Brann
2.00
Lillestrom
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Asane
2.00
hodd
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
Egersund
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Råde
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Aalesund
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Moss
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Elverum
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Fram
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Træff
1.50
Vard
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Torvastad
0.50
Askøy
0.50
Stord
0.50
Sandefjord
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Førde
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Eide
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Gjelleråsen
0.00
Heming
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Åskollen
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Asker
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Express
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Lyngbø
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Volda
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Flint
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Follo
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Madla
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Fana
0.00
Mjølner
0.00
Senja
0.00
Surnadal
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Bossekop
0.00
Hei
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Toten
0.00
Råde is 0.25 points worse than Sarpsborg 08 FF in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
5.00
Alta
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Brann
4.00
Lillestrom
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Ham-Kam
3.50
Raufoss
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Rosenborg
3.00
Asane
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Træff
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Madla
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
hodd
2.67
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
Molde
2.57
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Vard
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Moss
2.00
Førde
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Gjelleråsen
2.00
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Stord
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Arendal
1.67
Kjelsås
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Lyn
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Råde
1.33
Aalesund
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Grorud
1.00
jerv
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Åskollen
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Express
1.00
Lyngbø
1.00
Volda
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Fram
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Lørenskog
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Follo
1.00
Mjølner
1.00
Senja
1.00
Surnadal
1.00
Bossekop
1.00
Toten
1.00
Flekkerøy
0.50
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Sandefjord
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Eide
0.00
Heming
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Asker
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Flint
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Os
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Fana
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Hei
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Råde is 1.17 goals worse than Sarpsborg 08 FF in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Aalesund
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Rosenborg
0.67
Arendal
0.67
Råde
0.67
Molde
0.71
Stromsgodset
0.75
Lysekloster
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Sandefjord
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Moss
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Frøya
1.00
Junkeren
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Skjervøy
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Hei
1.00
Ham-Kam
1.25
Viking
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Raufoss
1.25
Brann
1.33
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
Asane
1.33
hodd
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Alta
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Træff
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Sogndal
1.67
Kristiansund BK
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Frigg
2.00
Heming
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Randesund
2.00
Årvoll
2.00
Asker
2.00
Express
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Fram
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Kvik Halden
2.00
Os
2.00
Fana
2.00
Mjølner
2.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
2.00
Ullern
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Torvastad
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Melhus
2.50
Oppsal
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Grorud
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Tiller
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Ørn Horten
3.00
Åskollen
3.00
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Rana
3.00
Follo
3.00
Bossekop
3.00
Toten
3.00
Strommen
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Vard
3.50
Bjarg
3.50
Gjelleråsen
4.00
Mandalskameratene
4.00
Mosjøen
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Stord
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Eide
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Varhaug
5.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Madla
5.00
Surnadal
5.00
Brønnøysund
6.00
Førde
6.00
Sortland
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Volda
6.00
Flint
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Senja
6.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Hallingdal
7.00
Lyngbø
7.00
Nybergsund
8.00
Skreia
8.00
Drøbak / Frogn
10.00
Forus og Gausel
10.00
Kirkenes
11.00
Råde is 0.83 goals better than Sarpsborg 08 FF in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Råde or Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
12%
16%
72%
covers Råde + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Råde or Sarpsborg 08 FF✓ Hit
83.8%
Avg Implied -
12%
16%
72%
covers Råde + Sarpsborg 08 FF
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sarpsborg 08 FF✓ Hit
88.0%
Avg Implied -
12%
16%
72%
covers Draw + Sarpsborg 08 FF
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Råde over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.2%
Under
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.8%
Under
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
94.2%
Under
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
77.6%
Under
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
54.0%
Under
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
31.7%
Under
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Råde, so a minus line means Råde give that many goals of a start and Sarpsborg 08 FF receive them. At -1, Råde must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Råde win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Råde)Actual: Sarpsborg 08 FF
Råde -2
1.3%
Draw -2
3.2%
Sarpsborg 08 FF +2
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Råde)Actual: Sarpsborg 08 FF
Råde -1
4.5%
Draw -1
7.5%
Sarpsborg 08 FF +1
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Råde)Actual: Draw
Råde +1
28.2%
Draw +1
19.4%
Sarpsborg 08 FF -1
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Råde)Actual: Råde
Råde +2
47.6%
Draw +2
19.7%
Sarpsborg 08 FF -2
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RådeRåde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01LH·KVI10/04H·MOS24/04
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.500.000.50--
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarpsborg 08 FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L01L01L01L10W02L11D20WA·VIK12/11H·MOL26/11A·BOD03/12A·VIK01/04H·ODD07/04A·SAR10/04A·FRE13/04H·KFU21/04A·HØN25/04A·TRO28/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.871.140.931.060.81
vs Stronger (7)0.291.000.001.500.400.80
vs Similar (21)1.480.811.450.821.500.80
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Råde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Råde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RådeRåde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20WH·KVI10/04H·MOS24/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.002.000.00--
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %100% (+76pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarpsborg 08 FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L11D01L00D00D50W12L00D10W10WA·VIK12/11H·MOL26/11A·BOD03/12A·VIK01/04H·ODD07/04A·SAR10/04A·FRE13/04H·KFU21/04A·HØN25/04A·TRO28/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.971.210.790.621.12
vs Stronger (7)0.291.431.001.500.001.40
vs Similar (21)0.860.901.180.730.501.10
vs Weaker (2)3.500.002.000.005.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Råde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Råde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Råde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sarpsborg 08 FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 3.5 goals97.1%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap95.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.595.0%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals94.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.591.3%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals89.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.589.1%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away88.0%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap88.0%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away83.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.578.7%-------✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals77.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.576.0%-------✗ Miss
Away win71.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Sarpsborg 08 FF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Henrik Wendel Meister22%
Stefan Johansen21%
Paweł Chrupałła18%
Jo Inge Berget17%
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen14%
Sondre Ørjasæter14%
Niklas Sandberg12%
Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen12%
Frederik Carstensen11%
Franklin Tebo11%
Daniel Job8%
Peter Reinhardsen7%
Menno Koch6%
Sander Christiansen6%
Eirik Wichne4%
Anton Skipper0%
Simon Tibbling0%
Rafik Zekhnini0%
Harald Tangen0%
Amidou Diop0%
Marko Ilić0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Jeppe Andersen0%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali0%
Aimar Sher0%
Magnar Odegaard0%
Martin Andersen0%
Alagie Sanyang0%
Arnau Casas0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Anders Hiim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jeppe Andersen31%
Aimar Sher26%
Arnau Casas25%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali20%
Menno Koch19%
Stefan Johansen18%
Eirik Wichne18%
Sondre Ørjasæter18%
Henrik Wendel Meister17%
Magnar Odegaard15%
Rafik Zekhnini14%
Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen12%
Sander Christiansen12%
Jo Inge Berget11%
Harald Tangen11%
Martin Andersen10%
Anders Hiim10%
Paweł Chrupałła9%
Franklin Tebo7%
Marko Ilić7%
Niklas Sandberg6%
Carljohan Eriksson6%
Peter Reinhardsen4%
Anton Skipper0%
Simon Tibbling0%
Amidou Diop0%
Alagie Sanyang0%
Frederik Carstensen0%
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Daniel Job0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stefan Johansen14%
Sondre Ørjasæter14%
Anders Hiim14%
Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen12%
Martin Andersen10%
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen10%
Paweł Chrupałła9%
Menno Koch6%
Niklas Sandberg6%
Sander Christiansen6%
Jo Inge Berget6%
Aimar Sher4%
Eirik Wichne4%
Anton Skipper0%
Simon Tibbling0%
Rafik Zekhnini0%
Harald Tangen0%
Amidou Diop0%
Marko Ilić0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Jeppe Andersen0%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali0%
Magnar Odegaard0%
Peter Reinhardsen0%
Alagie Sanyang0%
Frederik Carstensen0%
Franklin Tebo0%
Arnau Casas0%
Henrik Wendel Meister0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Daniel Job0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Henrik Wendel Meister33%
Paweł Chrupałła18%
Sondre Ørjasæter18%
Jo Inge Berget11%
Niklas Sandberg6%
Peter Reinhardsen4%
Stefan Johansen4%
Anton Skipper0%
Simon Tibbling0%
Rafik Zekhnini0%
Menno Koch0%
Harald Tangen0%
Amidou Diop0%
Marko Ilić0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Jeppe Andersen0%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali0%
Aimar Sher0%
Magnar Odegaard0%
Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen0%
Eirik Wichne0%
Martin Andersen0%
Alagie Sanyang0%
Sander Christiansen0%
Frederik Carstensen0%
Franklin Tebo0%
Arnau Casas0%
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Anders Hiim0%
Daniel Job0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
RÅD wins
0
Draws
0
S0F wins

Head-to-head

Råde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF · H/A from RÅD
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

RådeRåde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/24HRÅD Vs Moss2-1
10/04/24HRÅD Vs Kvik Halden2-0

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/24ATromso Vs S0F0-3
25/04/24AHønefoss Vs S0F1-2
21/04/24HS0F Vs KFUM Oslo0-2
13/04/24AFredrikstad Vs S0F2-2
10/04/24ASarpsborg Vs S0F1-5
07/04/24HS0F Vs ODD Ballklubb0-1
01/04/24AViking Vs S0F1-0
03/12/23ABodo/Glimt Vs S0F2-0
26/11/23HS0F Vs Molde1-3
12/11/23AViking Vs S0F2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Råde
Råde
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWW3.00
HomeWW3.00
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %100%100%-
AVG goals2.502.50-
Over 1.5 %100%100%-
Over 2.5 %50%50%-
Over 3.5 %0%0%-
Scored2.002.00-
Conceded0.500.50-
BTTS50%50%-
Clean Sheet50%50%-
Corners---
Cards---
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.46
HomeDWLLL1.61
AwayLWDWW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%37%
AVG goals3.523.783.30
Over 1.5 %86%91%81%
Over 2.5 %70%78%63%
Over 3.5 %48%61%37%
Scored1.862.131.63
Conceded1.661.651.67
BTTS68%74%63%
Clean Sheet18%13%22%
Corners10.7311.0010.48
Cards3.223.003.40

🏆 17. League Table

Sarpsborg 08 FF plays in Norway - Eliteserien
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3062
60%
2.1
7131+40
3.4
80%
60%
50%
10.6
53%
2.8
34%
17.3
10%
75
2227262.41.0
62%
2BrannBrann3059
57%
2.0
5533+22
2.9
87%
60%
33%
11.0
57%
3.7
53%
25.0
80%
27
11791.81.1
63%
3VikingViking3057
53%
1.9
6139+22
3.3
77%
60%
40%
11.3
70%
4.3
60%
23.1
47%
47
2112152.01.3
54%
4RosenborgRosenborg3053
53%
1.8
5239+13
3.0
80%
63%
43%
9.6
47%
4.0
57%
22.6
57%
23
10391.71.3
55%
5MoldeMolde3052
50%
1.7
6436+28
3.3
83%
70%
43%
9.8
40%
3.4
46%
19.5
33%
35
137152.11.2
52%
6FredrikstadFredrikstad3051
47%
1.7
3935+4
2.5
67%
40%
30%
9.2
40%
2.9
34%
18.1
23%
15
5381.31.2
42%
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset3038
33%
1.3
3240-8
2.4
60%
37%
33%
11.8
73%
3.1
38%
19.3
30%
7
3221.11.3
45%
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3037
30%
1.2
3536-1
2.4
70%
43%
23%
8.2
23%
3.5
45%
21.8
43%
8
3241.21.2
49%
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3037
33%
1.2
4355-12
3.3
87%
67%
40%
10.5
63%
3.8
53%
23.0
57%
16
9341.41.8
51%
10HaugesundHaugesund3237
31%
1.2
3146-15
2.4
59%
44%
25%
10.9
62%
4.0
60%
20.5
44%
9
3241.01.4
49%
11SandefjordSandefjord3034
30%
1.1
4146-5
2.9
77%
63%
27%
9.5
50%
3.2
34%
22.1
53%
12
4251.41.5
52%
12Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3034
27%
1.1
3245-13
2.6
73%
50%
33%
11.0
57%
3.2
41%
22.7
57%
13
5431.11.5
43%
13Ham-KamHam-Kam3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
63%
37%
17%
12.1
77%
3.2
33%
19.7
43%
10
4341.11.3
41%
14TromsoTromso3033
30%
1.1
3444-10
2.6
63%
53%
27%
10.3
57%
3.4
37%
19.3
40%
15
4381.11.5
47%
15LillestromLillestrom3024
23%
0.8
3363-30
3.2
87%
70%
33%
10.3
60%
3.8
43%
21.0
50%
14
6451.12.1
52%
16ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3023
17%
0.8
2654-28
2.7
80%
53%
27%
9.6
40%
3.4
31%
23.1
60%
9
3330.91.8
43%
17MossMoss21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
4.5
100%
21.0
50%
4
2120.01.0
50%
Norway: Eliteserien 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →

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