Defensive solidity will shape the match, with both sides averaging just over a goal a game against similar opposition. The model favours a home win, giving Radnicki NIS a 42 % chance of victory, a 32 % chance of a draw and a 26 % chance for Radnicki 1923 to win. The expected total is 2.1 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 28 %. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 14.5 % probability. Radnicki NIS scores 1.27 goals and concedes 1.09 at home, while Radnicki 1923 nets 0.54 and concedes 0.77 on the road. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0 % with a 6 % edge), Under 5.5 (97.8 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3 % with a 4 % edge) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.6 % with a 4 % edge). The home side’s recent form shows a defeat, while the away side is on a three-game winning streak.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Radnicki NIS, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. The home side, coming off a draw, had a recent form of DLDWL, while the visitors, also on a draw, were DWWWL. The model had given Radnicki NIS a 41% chance of victory, yet the result was a stalemate. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1%, Under 5.5 hit at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.2%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.6%. The game was low-scoring, with the most likely total of 2 goals realised.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Radnicki NIS win✗ Miss
41.1%
Avg Implied 37.6% · @ 2.40
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.56
Pinnacle
2.51
Bet365
2.45
Superbet
2.45
Dafabet
2.44
Draw✓ Hit
31.9%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.11
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.22
1xBet
3.22
Superbet
3.15
Radnicki 1923 win✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied 33.4% · @ 2.71
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.85
Dafabet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.82
Betano
2.77
Betfair
2.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Radnicki NIS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.13
1.07
1.07
1.00
1.19
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.11
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.20
vs Similar (21)
1.14
1.14
1.30
1.10
1.00
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnicki 1923) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnicki 1923
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.97
1.62
1.19
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.67
2.33
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
1.19
0.85
1.85
0.92
0.54
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnicki NIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.3%
@ 1.30-6.3%
Under 1.5
35.7%
@ 3.12+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
Betano
3.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.1%
@ 1.96-11.2%
Under 2.5
63.9%
@ 1.75+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
SBO
2.01
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.9%
@ 3.33-10.5%
Under 3.5
83.1%
@ 1.26+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
Under
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.8%
@ 1.72-9.3%
No
56.2%
@ 1.95+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
No
Betano
2.05
William Hil
2.00
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.6%@ 5.81+6.9%
0-0
13.1%@ 8.41+7.8%
1-0
12.9%@ 7.42+6.9%
0-1
9.6%@ 8.22+4.3%
2-0
8.6%@ 11.37+4.7%
2-1
8.0%@ 8.85+3.0%
1-2
6.2%@ 9.48+1.5%
0-2
5.1%@ 12.94+1.7%
Radnicki NIS goals ↓
Radnicki 1923 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
9.6%
5.1%
1.6%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.2%
1.9%
0.4%
2
8.6%
8.0%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.5%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radnicki NIS goals (down), columns = Radnicki 1923 goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
Železničar Pančevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
Radnicki NIS is 0.83 points worse than Radnicki 1923 in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
Železničar Pančevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Novi Pazar
0.71
Macva
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
Radnicki NIS is 0.67 goals worse than Radnicki 1923 in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
Radnicki NIS and Radnicki 1923 are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
Železničar Pančevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
Radnicki NIS is 3.3 percentage points worse than Radnicki 1923 in terms of average possession (55% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Radnicki NIS
For 4.6 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 13.7 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Radnicki 1923
For 6.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 15.3 · Total 29.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Radnicki NIS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.8
8.3
4.7
4.7
4.7
28.6
27.3
29.7
vs Stronger (12)
9.4
8.8
9.8
4.6
4.5
4.7
26.1
26.6
25.7
vs Similar (38)
8.3
8.8
7.9
4.8
4.8
4.8
29.4
27.5
30.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
32%
33%
31%
76%
78%
74%
91%
86%
96%
% under line
68%
67%
69%
24%
22%
26%
9%
14%
4%
This opponent (Radnicki 1923) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnicki 1923
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.4
8.7
5.3
5.7
4.8
30.1
30.0
30.2
vs Stronger (9)
9.3
9.0
9.5
5.3
5.3
5.3
27.4
25.0
28.7
vs Similar (41)
9.0
9.4
8.5
5.2
5.7
4.6
30.7
30.7
30.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
54%
48%
76%
77%
75%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
49%
46%
52%
24%
23%
25%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Radnicki NIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.8
Mladost Lucani
9.5
FK Partizan
9.2
Vojvodina
9.1
Radnicki 1923
9.1
Novi Pazar
9.1
Radnik Surdulica
8.9
Cukaricki
8.9
OFK Beograd
8.8
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Zemun
8.5
Radnicki NIS
8.4
Železničar Pančevo
8.4
Macva
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Macva
6.2
Zemun
5.8
Radnicki 1923
5.5
Radnik Surdulica
5.3
Radnicki NIS
5.1
Vojvodina
5.0
OFK Beograd
4.9
Cukaricki
4.8
FK Partizan
4.7
Novi Pazar
4.7
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Železničar Pančevo
4.5
Mladost Lucani
4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radnik Surdulica
30.4
Macva
30.3
Radnicki 1923
30.2
IMT Novi Beograd
29.8
Radnicki NIS
29.3
OFK Beograd
29.1
Cukaricki
28.7
Železničar Pančevo
27.8
Vojvodina
27.0
Novi Pazar
26.9
Zemun
26.5
FK Partizan
25.9
Mladost Lucani
25.6
FK Crvena Zvezda
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.8%
@ 2.27-1.7%
Under 9.5
61.2%
@ 1.54+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Marathonbet
2.30
1xBet
2.26
Superbet
2.20
Under
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.49
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.7%
Under 3.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.7%
Under 21.5
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Radnicki NIS or Draw✓ Hit
73.0%
Avg Implied 66.4% · @ 1.39
Edge
+6.6%
41%
32%
27%
covers Radnicki NIS + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Radnicki NIS or Radnicki 1923✗ Miss
68.1%
Avg Implied 72.0% · @ 1.28
Edge
-3.9%
41%
32%
27%
covers Radnicki NIS + Radnicki 1923
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Draw or Radnicki 1923✓ Hit
58.9%
Avg Implied 61.6% · @ 1.49
Edge
-2.7%
41%
32%
27%
covers Draw + Radnicki 1923
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Superbet
1.49
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Radnicki NIS over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.1%
@ 1.27-1.8%
Under
29.9%
@ 3.25+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Betano
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Radnicki NIS over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.0%
@ 2.38-4.6%
Under
66.0%
@ 1.50+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
10Bet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Under
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.50
Radnicki NIS over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 5.27-5.1%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.10+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.00
1xBet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.65
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Radnicki NIS over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 10.92-5.2%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Bet365
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Radnicki 1923 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.6%
@ 1.32-8.7%
Under
39.4%
@ 2.97+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Superbet
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Radnicki 1923 over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.9%
@ 2.54-12.1%
Under
76.1%
@ 1.43+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
10Bet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.58
Under
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Radnicki 1923 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 5.74-9.1%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.08+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.45
Marathonbet
6.45
10Bet
6.25
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.09
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Radnicki 1923 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 12.08-6.3%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.02+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Bet365
11.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Radnicki NIS, so a minus line means Radnicki NIS give that many goals of a start and Radnicki 1923 receive them. At -1, Radnicki NIS must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Radnicki NIS win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Radnicki NIS)Actual: Radnicki 1923
Radnicki NIS -2
6.2%
@ 8.93-3.4%
Draw -2
12.3%
@ 6.10-1.9%
Radnicki 1923 +2
81.5%
@ 1.13+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Radnicki NIS)Actual: Radnicki 1923
Radnicki NIS -1
18.5%
@ 4.93+0.4%
Draw -1
22.6%
@ 4.01+0.3%
Radnicki 1923 +1
58.9%
@ 1.50-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Handicap +1 (Radnicki NIS)Actual: Radnicki NIS
Radnicki NIS +1
73.0%
@ 1.41+10.0%
Draw +1
17.1%
@ 4.23-3.9%
Radnicki 1923 -1
9.9%
@ 5.54-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Handicap +2 (Radnicki NIS)Actual: Radnicki NIS
Radnicki NIS +2
90.1%
@ 1.10+8.7%
Draw +2
7.3%
@ 8.00-3.9%
Radnicki 1923 -2
2.6%
@ 12.00-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Radnicki NIS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.47
0.36
0.43
0.31
0.50
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
0.44
0.00
0.25
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.48
0.50
0.50
0.36
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnicki 1923) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnicki 1923
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.94
0.38
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.38
1.08
0.23
0.38
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnicki NIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.1%
@ 1.39-0.9%
Under 0.5
34.9%
@ 2.69+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.82
William Hil
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.0%
@ 2.82-4.5%
Under 1.5
72.0%
@ 1.36+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Under
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.8%
@ 6.76-4.7%
Under 2.5
91.2%
@ 1.06+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
William Hil
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radnicki NIS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.7%
@ 2.06-0.1%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.67+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
Superbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Radnicki NIS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 6.70-3.0%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.07+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.20
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Radnicki NIS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 19.33-3.1%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Radnicki 1923 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.8%
@ 2.17-4.8%
Under
62.2%
@ 1.61+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Radnicki 1923 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 7.24-3.3%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.06+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Radnicki 1923 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 18.12-4.0%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
25.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Radnicki NIS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.71
0.64
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.75
0.80
0.60
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.67
0.80
0.60
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnicki 1923) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnicki 1923
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.69
0.81
0.14
0.21
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.33
1.33
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.46
0.46
0.77
0.69
0.15
0.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnicki NIS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.3%
@ 1.24-2.0%
Under 0.5
27.7%
@ 3.58+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Under
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.65
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Superbet
3.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.18-4.1%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.62+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.25
William Hil
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
Superbet
2.17
Under
Betano
1.67
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.6%
@ 4.68-5.2%
Under 2.5
85.4%
@ 1.15+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.65
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radnicki NIS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.2%
@ 1.75-2.5%
Under
49.8%
@ 1.95+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.05
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Radnicki NIS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 4.79-4.2%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.14+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Superbet
4.75
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Radnicki NIS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 12.75-4.0%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Radnicki 1923 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
43.8%
@ 1.83-6.5%
Under
56.2%
@ 1.85+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Radnicki 1923 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 5.23-4.1%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.12+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.55
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.20
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Radnicki 1923 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 14.50-3.8%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.4%
1.07
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.2%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.09
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.2%
1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.5%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.2%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.8%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.5%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.4%
1.15
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.12
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.14
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.1%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.1%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.5%
1.13
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
76.1%
1.43
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
+12.1%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
73.0%
1.39
10Bet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Betfair
1.40
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
73.0%
1.41
10Bet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
-
+10.0%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.8%
1.31
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
72.3%
1.24
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
72.0%
1.36
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.36
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
70.1%
1.27
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
-1.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Radnicki NIS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksandr Shestyuk33%
Issah Abass17%
Luka Izderić17%
Damjan Krajišnik0%
Radomir Milosavljević0%
Franck Kanouté0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Stefan Veličković0%
Igor Ivanović0%
Marko Mijailović0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Miloš Spasić0%
Uroš Vitas0%
Ranko Jokić0%
Kwaku Bonsu Osei Gaucho0%
Aleksandar Vidović0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Nikola Zečević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marko Mijailović50%
Uroš Vitas50%
Ranko Jokić40%
Issah Abass33%
Radomir Milosavljević33%
Kwaku Bonsu Osei Gaucho33%
Aleksandar Vidović33%
Bojan Kovačević25%
Nikola Zečević25%
Damjan Krajišnik20%
Franck Kanouté20%
Miloš Spasić20%
Ivan Kostić0%
Stefan Veličković0%
Igor Ivanović0%
Aleksandr Shestyuk0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Luka Izderić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miloš Spasić40%
Damjan Krajišnik0%
Issah Abass0%
Radomir Milosavljević0%
Franck Kanouté0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Stefan Veličković0%
Igor Ivanović0%
Marko Mijailović0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Uroš Vitas0%
Ranko Jokić0%
Kwaku Bonsu Osei Gaucho0%
Aleksandar Vidović0%
Aleksandr Shestyuk0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Nikola Zečević0%
Luka Izderić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Issah Abass50%
Franck Kanouté40%
Aleksandr Shestyuk33%
Damjan Krajišnik0%
Radomir Milosavljević0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Stefan Veličković0%
Igor Ivanović0%
Marko Mijailović0%
Bojan Kovačević0%
Miloš Spasić0%
Uroš Vitas0%
Ranko Jokić0%
Kwaku Bonsu Osei Gaucho0%
Aleksandar Vidović0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Nikola Zečević0%
Luka Izderić0%
Radnicki 1923
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Uroš Sremčević40%
Issa Bah25%
Slobodan Simović17%
Mohamed Cissé17%
Mićo Kuzmanović0%
Miloš Ristić0%
Nemanja Glavčić0%
Aleksa Marušić0%
Asmir Suljić0%
Bojica Nikčević0%
Ilija Babić0%
Jovan Ilić0%
Semir Alić0%
Luka Lijeskić0%
Nikola Marjanović0%
Jovan Živković0%
Vanja Tomić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola Marjanović80%
Ilija Babić50%
Vanja Tomić50%
Nemanja Glavčić40%
Miloš Ristić25%
Jovan Ilić25%
Jovan Živković20%
Slobodan Simović17%
Semir Alić17%
Mićo Kuzmanović0%
Aleksa Marušić0%
Asmir Suljić0%
Issa Bah0%
Bojica Nikčević0%
Mohamed Cissé0%
Luka Lijeskić0%
Uroš Sremčević0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bojica Nikčević33%
Nemanja Glavčić20%
Jovan Živković20%
Ilija Babić17%
Slobodan Simović0%
Mićo Kuzmanović0%
Miloš Ristić0%
Aleksa Marušić0%
Asmir Suljić0%
Issa Bah0%
Mohamed Cissé0%
Jovan Ilić0%
Semir Alić0%
Luka Lijeskić0%
Uroš Sremčević0%
Nikola Marjanović0%
Vanja Tomić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksa Marušić33%
Uroš Sremčević20%
Slobodan Simović17%
Mohamed Cissé17%
Mićo Kuzmanović0%
Miloš Ristić0%
Nemanja Glavčić0%
Asmir Suljić0%
Issa Bah0%
Bojica Nikčević0%
Ilija Babić0%
Jovan Ilić0%
Semir Alić0%
Luka Lijeskić0%
Nikola Marjanović0%
Jovan Živković0%
Vanja Tomić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
Radnicki NIS's squad is €2m more valuable than Radnicki 1923's (€11m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
Radnicki NIS and Radnicki 1923 have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
Radnicki NIS's midfield is €2m less valuable than Radnicki 1923's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
Radnicki NIS's defence is €3m more valuable than Radnicki 1923's (€5m vs €3m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
IMT Novi Beograd
Mladost Lucani
Cukaricki
Železničar Pančevo
Radnik Surdulica
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
FK Partizan
Macva
Zemun