Radnik Surdulica is expected to win this match, coming off a recent defeat but with a slightly stronger recent form compared to Novi Pazar. The overall shape of the match should be a low-scoring draw, with an expected total of 2.3 goals and the most likely score being 0-0, occurring 11.1% of the time. However, the single most likely correct score is 1-1, with a probability of 14.3%.
At home, Radnik Surdulica scores an average of 1.38 goals and concedes 0.62 goals against an opponent of similar strength. Novi Pazar, away, scores 0.57 goals and concedes 1.14 goals.
The model's selection is a home win, with a 42% probability. The model's other selections include Over 21.5 fouls (87.7%), Under 3.5 (79.5%), and Over 3.5 cards (70.9%). The probabilities for the match result are: home win 42%, draw 30%, away win 27%.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as Radnik Surdulica secured a 1-0 home win, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite was Home win with a 44 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The final score matched the actual result of a home victory. The model’s selections performed well: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7 %, Under 6.5 hit at 99.0 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.5 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.1 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.8 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.7 %, Under 5.5 hit at 96.7 %, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.4 %. All probabilities are expressed as percentages and each selection’s outcome is noted.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Radnik Surdulica win✓ Hit
43.6%
Avg Implied 48.9% · @ 1.85
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.98
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.90
10Bet
1.89
SBO
1.87
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.29
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.44
Marathonbet
3.44
Pinnacle
3.44
Novi Pazar win✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.82
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.20
Pinnacle
4.04
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.95
Betano
3.90
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Radnik Surdulica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.13
1.40
1.07
0.93
1.20
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
1.46
1.33
1.67
0.71
1.29
vs Similar (17)
1.29
0.88
1.44
0.67
1.12
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Novi Pazar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.50
1.53
1.53
0.73
1.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
2.50
2.00
3.00
0.60
2.40
vs Similar (24)
1.21
1.25
1.50
1.43
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.4%
@ 1.30-1.2%
Under 1.5
30.6%
@ 3.11+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.8%
@ 1.96-5.4%
Under 2.5
58.2%
@ 1.75+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
SBO
2.02
888Sport
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.1%
@ 3.38-6.0%
Under 3.5
78.9%
@ 1.26+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.80
888Sport
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Under
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
888Sport
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.1%
@ 1.82-2.2%
No
51.9%
@ 1.84+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Betano
1.83
No
Betfair
1.90
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%@ 6.23+7.0%
1-0 ✓
11.6%@ 6.33+4.6%
0-0
10.8%@ 8.51+5.6%
2-0
8.7%@ 8.08+3.2%
2-1
8.7%@ 7.80+3.0%
0-1
8.2%@ 10.05+3.8%
1-2
6.4%@ 12.47+2.9%
0-2
4.7%@ 19.52+2.5%
Radnik Surdulica goals ↓
Novi Pazar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.2%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.4%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.7%
8.7%
4.3%
1.4%
0.4%
3
3.9%
3.9%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radnik Surdulica goals (down), columns = Novi Pazar goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
Železničar Pančevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
Radnik Surdulica is 0.19 points better than Novi Pazar in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
Železničar Pančevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Macva
0.71
Novi Pazar
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
Radnik Surdulica is 0.29 goals better than Novi Pazar in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
Radnik Surdulica is 0.36 goals worse than Novi Pazar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
Železničar Pančevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
Radnik Surdulica is 1.8 percentage points worse than Novi Pazar in terms of average possession (48% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Radnik Surdulica
For 3.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 14.1 · Total 29.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Novi Pazar
For 4.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 10.9 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Radnik Surdulica
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.4
9.1
4.4
4.2
4.6
30.6
30.6
30.6
vs Stronger (16)
9.5
9.7
9.3
4.7
4.7
4.7
29.5
30.7
28.6
vs Similar (34)
8.3
7.7
9.0
4.2
4.0
4.5
31.3
30.5
32.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
41%
35%
48%
66%
72%
60%
95%
95%
95%
% under line
59%
65%
52%
34%
28%
40%
5%
5%
5%
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Novi Pazar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.7
9.0
4.5
4.7
4.2
26.8
26.8
26.9
vs Stronger (11)
7.7
7.2
8.0
3.7
3.6
3.8
26.1
25.2
26.8
vs Similar (39)
9.2
9.0
9.3
4.7
5.0
4.4
27.0
27.1
26.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
42%
33%
70%
76%
64%
85%
83%
88%
% under line
62%
58%
67%
30%
24%
36%
15%
17%
12%
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.9
Mladost Lucani
9.6
FK Partizan
9.1
Radnicki 1923
9.1
Vojvodina
9.1
Novi Pazar
8.9
Radnik Surdulica
8.8
Cukaricki
8.8
OFK Beograd
8.8
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Zemun
8.5
Železničar Pančevo
8.5
Radnicki NIS
8.4
Macva
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Macva
6.2
Zemun
5.8
Radnicki 1923
5.5
Radnik Surdulica
5.3
Radnicki NIS
5.1
Vojvodina
4.9
OFK Beograd
4.9
Cukaricki
4.8
FK Partizan
4.8
Novi Pazar
4.6
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Železničar Pančevo
4.4
Mladost Lucani
4.3
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radnik Surdulica
30.5
Macva
30.3
Radnicki 1923
30.2
IMT Novi Beograd
29.8
Radnicki NIS
29.3
OFK Beograd
29.1
Cukaricki
29.0
Železničar Pančevo
27.6
Novi Pazar
27.2
Vojvodina
26.9
Zemun
26.5
FK Partizan
26.2
Mladost Lucani
25.8
FK Crvena Zvezda
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
33.0%
@ 2.47-4.3%
Under 9.5
67.0%
@ 1.47+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
1xBet
2.49
Marathonbet
2.46
Superbet
2.40
Under
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.2%
Under 3.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.9%
Under 21.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Radnik Surdulica or Draw✓ Hit
73.6%
Avg Implied 76.2% · @ 1.20
Edge
-2.6%
44%
30%
26%
covers Radnik Surdulica + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Radnik Surdulica or Novi Pazar✓ Hit
70.0%
Avg Implied 73.7% · @ 1.24
Edge
-3.7%
44%
30%
26%
covers Radnik Surdulica + Novi Pazar
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Draw or Novi Pazar✗ Miss
56.4%
Avg Implied 50.1% · @ 1.83
Edge
+6.3%
44%
30%
26%
covers Draw + Novi Pazar
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
SBO
1.88
William Hil
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.2%
@ 1.19-2.9%
Under
25.8%
@ 4.00+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Under
1xBet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Betano
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.2%
@ 1.97-7.4%
Under
60.8%
@ 1.72+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
888Sport
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Under
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 4.03-7.2%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.18+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
888Sport
4.40
Superbet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
888Sport
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Radnik Surdulica over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 8.95-5.6%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.05+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
11.00
Superbet
9.00
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
63.2%
@ 1.48+1.6%
Under
36.8%
@ 2.38-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.51
1xBet
2.45
888Sport
2.45
Superbet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.4%
@ 3.36-0.9%
Under
73.6%
@ 1.26+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.55
888Sport
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.0%
@ 9.00-2.5%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.05+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
10.00
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.80
Bet365
8.50
Superbet
8.20
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Novi Pazar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 17.50-3.6%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
23.00
Bet365
17.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Radnik Surdulica, so a minus line means Radnik Surdulica give that many goals of a start and Novi Pazar receive them. At -1, Radnik Surdulica must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Radnik Surdulica win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Novi Pazar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
1.00
0.73
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.54
1.00
0.71
0.50
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.5%
@ 1.38-0.6%
Under 0.5
34.5%
@ 2.69+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.78
Bet365
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.2%
@ 2.82-2.3%
Under 1.5
69.8%
@ 1.36+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.92
10Bet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Under
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.7%
@ 6.78-3.8%
Under 2.5
90.3%
@ 1.06+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.50
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.40
Bet365
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.8%
@ 1.84-4.3%
Under
54.2%
@ 1.85+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Betano
1.83
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 5.25-5.9%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.12+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.20
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 14.33-4.4%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.0%
@ 2.56+0.8%
Under
63.0%
@ 1.45-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
Betano
2.57
Superbet
2.57
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.54
Under
1xBet
1.48
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.0%
@ 9.12-2.2%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.04+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
Superbet
9.20
1xBet
9.20
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 39.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
39.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Radnik Surdulica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.87
0.47
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.77
0.50
0.67
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.59
1.11
0.33
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Novi Pazar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.53
0.80
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.71
0.50
0.71
0.30
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
75.0%
@ 1.24+0.5%
Under 0.5
25.0%
@ 3.60-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.55
Superbet
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.7%
@ 2.17-4.0%
Under 1.5
61.3%
@ 1.62+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Under
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.8%
@ 4.74-4.7%
Under 2.5
85.2%
@ 1.15+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.2%
@ 1.59-4.8%
Under
46.8%
@ 2.20+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.0%
@ 3.79-6.4%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.22+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 9.95-5.9%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.02
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.6%
@ 2.12-1.1%
Under
57.4%
@ 1.64+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.61
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 6.72-2.5%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.07+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
6.80
Superbet
6.60
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 17.00-3.3%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
23.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.1%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.0%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.0%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.0%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
86.0%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.5%
1.18
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
888Sport
1.18
1xBet
1.17
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.0%
1.22
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.9%
1.26
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
888Sport
1.25
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.9%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
77.8%
1.26
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
-
-
+5.2%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.0%
1.24
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
+0.5%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
74.2%
1.19
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
73.6%
1.20
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.22
888Sport
1.22
-2.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
73.6%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.6%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
+0.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Radnik Surdulica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka Zorić25%
Vukašin Bogdanović25%
Darko Stojanović20%
Luka Jovanović20%
Stefan Ranđelović0%
Martin Novaković0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
Uroš Lazić0%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
David Stojanović0%
Miloš Popović0%
Tijan Sohna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Martin Novaković50%
Sadick Abubakar40%
Ayouba Kosiah33%
Luka Zorić25%
Đorđe Jovanović25%
Stefan Ranđelović20%
Emmanuel Quarshie20%
Uroš Lazić20%
David Stojanović20%
Miloš Popović20%
Darko Stojanović20%
Tijan Sohna20%
Tom Kljun0%
Vukašin Bogdanović0%
Luka Jovanović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayouba Kosiah33%
David Stojanović20%
Stefan Ranđelović0%
Luka Zorić0%
Martin Novaković0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Vukašin Bogdanović0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
Uroš Lazić0%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Miloš Popović0%
Darko Stojanović0%
Tijan Sohna0%
Luka Jovanović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Darko Stojanović40%
Luka Zorić25%
Martin Novaković25%
Đorđe Jovanović25%
Miloš Popović20%
Stefan Ranđelović0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Vukašin Bogdanović0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
Uroš Lazić0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
David Stojanović0%
Tijan Sohna0%
Luka Jovanović0%
Novi Pazar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vieiri Kotzebue25%
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Ivan Davidović14%
Dominic Sadi14%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Jonny0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola Stanković0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Papa Amady Gadio40%
Nikola Skrobonja33%
Jovan Marinković29%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic29%
Dauda Agwom29%
Skima Togbe25%
Tomislav Dadić20%
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Nikola Stanković20%
Jonny17%
Aleksandar Miljković14%
Ivan Davidović14%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Dominic Sadi0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Dominic Sadi14%
Dauda Agwom14%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Jonny0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan Davidović0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Nikola Stanković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fejsal Mulić60%
Dominic Sadi29%
Jonny17%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan Davidović0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Kaheim Dixon0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola Stanković0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
Radnik Surdulica's squad is €2m less valuable than Novi Pazar's (€9m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
Radnik Surdulica and Novi Pazar have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
Radnik Surdulica and Novi Pazar have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
Radnik Surdulica and Novi Pazar have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
IMT Novi Beograd
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
Cukaricki
Železničar Pančevo
OFK Beograd
FK Partizan
Macva
Radnicki NIS
Zemun