Radomlje vs Celje Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will shape this low-scoring encounter. Radomlje, struggling at home against stronger opposition, averages 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded, while Celje, playing away against weaker foes, nets 0.71 and concedes 1.29. The model projects a 42% chance of an away win, 32% draw and 26% home win, with the most likely outcome an away victory. The expected total is 2.1 goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, holding a 14.5% probability. The match is tipped for a tight finish, with Celje’s recent 1-4 loss to Brinje-Grosuplje and Radomlje’s 0-0 draw with Olimpija Ljubljana hinting at cautious play. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 87%, Under 3.5 at 83.8% (hit), Over 2.5 cards at 79.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 75.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 74.6% and Under 11.5 corners at 72.9%. These selections reflect the model’s confidence in a defensive, low-goal contest.

The match saw Celje extend their recent winning streak, with the final score 0-3 confirming an away win. The model had picked an away win with a 42% probability, and that call proved correct. The model’s other selection, Under 3.5 goals, hit with an 83.8% probability. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 14.5%, but the game settled on a 0-0 draw at home for Radomlje before Celje’s decisive 3-goal performance. The predicted total of 2.1 goals and the 28% chance of exactly two goals were not realised, yet the favoured outcome and the majority of selections were delivered accurately.