Radomlje vs Maribor Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win for Maribor, with a 55% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 19% chance of a Radomlje win. The expected total goals sit at 2.6, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.5% probability. Radomlje, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, while Maribor, on the road against a weaker side, averages 2.57 scored and only 1.0 conceded. The suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 92.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 85.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 77.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 74.9% (hit), Over 23.5 fouls at 73.9%, Under 3.5 goals at 73.0% (hit), and Under 5.5 cards at 71.1%. Radomlje’s recent form shows a draw, while Maribor is on a two-game winning streak.

The pre-match favourite, the away win, failed to materialise as Radomlje and Maribor settled for a 1-1 draw. The model had tipped an away victory with a 55% probability, but the result proved wrong. The final score of 1-1 matched the model’s most likely 1-1 outcome, yet the overall result was a draw. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, with a 74.9% chance, hit, as did its Under 3.5, at 73.0%. Radomlje’s recent form, coming off a draw, and Maribor’s two-game winning run added intrigue, but the expected 2-goal total of 2.6 was not reached.