Radomlje vs Mura Result & Analysis

Radomlje face Mura with the model favouring an away win, reflecting Mura’s stronger away form - 1.57 goals scored and 0.71 conceded versus similar opponents - against Radomlje’s modest 0.6 scored and 1.0 conceded at home. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a compact match, with the most likely total being 2 goals, a 1-1 draw holding a 13.8% chance. The home win probability sits at 24%, a draw at 29%, and the away win at 47%. The model’s suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 89%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 78.9%, Under 3.5 at 77.7% (hit), Under 11.5 corners at 75%, Under 5.5 cards at 73%, and Over 1.5 at 70.6% (miss). Radomlje’s recent draw against Olimpija Ljubljana and Mura’s two-game losing streak after a 0-2 loss to Bravo set the stage for a cautious, low-scoring encounter.

The draw was a shock, as the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick for an away win, fell short. Radomlje and Mura finished 0-0, a result that left the model’s prediction wrong. The model had assigned a 47% probability to the away win, but the match ended in a stalemate. The model’s other selections were mixed: the Under 3.5 pick, with a 77.7% chance, hit, while the Over 1.5 pick, at 70.6%, missed. Radomlje were coming off a draw in their last five, and Mura had just endured two straight defeats. The final score of 0-0 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, but the overall result was a draw.