Radomlje vs Mura Result & Analysis

Radomlje are the favoured side, with a 43% chance of triumph, 29% for a draw and 28% for Mura to win. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%. Radomlje, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.12 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Mura, on the road, average 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 80.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 77.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 74.2% (hit), Under 3.5 goals at 73.9% (miss), and Over 8.5 corners at 73.8%. The recent form narrative shows Radomlje coming off a draw, while Mura are still recovering from two straight defeats.

The upset came early as Radomlje, the pre-match favourite with a 43% chance of victory, fell short, losing 2-4 to Mura. The model had selected a home win with a 43% probability, but that call was wrong. The match saw the Over 1.5 goal pick hit, with a 74.2% chance, while the Under 3.5 pick missed, despite a 73.9% probability. Radomlje had been coming off a draw in their last five matches, whereas Mura had endured two straight defeats before this game. The final score of 2-4 confirmed the away win and the model’s prediction of a Radomlje triumph proved incorrect.