PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Radomlje vs NK Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: 20/05/2023
Time: 18:15
Final 1-0
Radomlje
Radomlje
Vs
24%
30%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radomlje win✓ Hit
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale win✗ Miss
45.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W21W11D11D20W11D11D21W21W10WH·BRA12/03A·NK 15/03H·MAR18/03A·CEL01/04H·GOR08/04A·MUR15/04H·KOP22/04A·TAB30/04H·OLI03/05A·BRA14/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.530.871.271.001.80
vs Stronger (13)0.852.150.862.000.832.33
vs Similar (17)1.001.060.880.621.111.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W12L01L00D11D22D01L11D32W21WA·OLI12/03H·RAD15/03A·CEL18/03H·MUR02/04A·TAB08/04H·BRA15/04A·MAR22/04H·GOR28/04A·KOP04/05H·OLI13/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.131.271.401.530.87
vs Stronger (14)1.361.360.831.331.751.38
vs Similar (16)1.440.941.561.441.290.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.0%
Under 1.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.1%
Under 2.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.2%
No
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
11.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
1-0 ✓
8.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.3%
Radomlje goals ↓
NK Domzale goals →
01234
011%13%9.5%4.3%1.5%
18.0%14%8.7%4.0%1.4%
24.3%5.9%4.0%1.8%0.6%
31.3%1.8%1.2%0.6%0.2%
40.3%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radomlje goals (down), columns = NK Domzale goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.03
Aluminij
2.00
Celje
1.86
Maribor
1.72
Mura
1.44
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.39
Radomlje
1.22
Bravo
1.00
Gorica
0.74
Tabor Sežana
0.67
Radomlje is 0.22 points worse than NK Domzale in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
2.00
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.67
Celje
1.47
Mura
1.39
NK Domzale
1.39
Koper
1.28
Radomlje
0.97
Bravo
0.92
Gorica
0.87
Tabor Sežana
0.81
Radomlje is 0.42 goals worse than NK Domzale in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celje
0.94
Aluminij
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.08
Koper
1.11
Bravo
1.14
NK Domzale
1.17
Maribor
1.19
Mura
1.25
Radomlje
1.47
Gorica
1.61
Tabor Sežana
1.75
Radomlje is 0.31 goals worse than NK Domzale in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
59%
Koper
52%
Maribor
51%
Bravo
50%
Mura
50%
Celje
49%
Tabor Sežana
47%
NK Domzale
47%
Gorica
47%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RadomljeRadomlje

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

For 2.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 7.1

🚩 Corners

1106235335463232262941658810558115H·OLIA·KOPH·GORA·MARH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·CELA·OLIH·KOP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

80244133434212621123226567638254H·OLIA·KOPH·GORA·MARH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·CELA·OLIH·KOP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 14.9 · Total 28.9

⚠️ Fouls

3401515101814612221813131914191214159171430282034313233262431H·OLIA·KOPH·GORA·MARH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·CELA·OLIH·KOP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RadomljeRadomlje

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (35)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (19)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (35)7.78.27.23.33.92.728.127.828.4
vs Stronger (16)7.27.37.24.15.13.029.029.328.6
vs Similar (19)8.29.47.22.73.02.427.125.828.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line17%17%18%51%67%35%91%92%91%
% under line83%83%82%49%33%65%9%8%9%
This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
10.5
Celje
9.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Tabor Sežana
9.3
Gorica
9.3
Maribor
8.8
Koper
8.8
Bravo
8.7
NK Domzale
7.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
NK Domzale
5.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.9
Mura
4.5
Maribor
4.3
Celje
4.3
Koper
4.0
Bravo
4.0
Gorica
3.9
Tabor Sežana
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
28.1
Bravo
27.9
Olimpija Ljubljana
27.9
Mura
26.4
Gorica
25.5
Maribor
25.2
Celje
24.8
Koper
24.0
Tabor Sežana
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.3%
Under 9.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.6%
Under 3.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.9%
Under 21.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RadomljeRadomlje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D10W11D01L10W11D11D01L01L00DH·BRA12/03A·NK 15/03H·MAR18/03A·CEL01/04H·GOR08/04A·MUR15/04H·KOP22/04A·TAB30/04H·OLI03/05A·BRA14/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.730.400.670.400.80
vs Stronger (13)0.381.150.431.140.331.17
vs Similar (17)0.410.410.380.250.440.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L00D00D11D01L00D10W21W10WA·OLI12/03H·RAD15/03A·CEL18/03H·MUR02/04A·TAB08/04H·BRA15/04A·MAR22/04H·GOR28/04A·KOP04/05H·OLI13/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.270.400.331.000.20
vs Stronger (14)0.860.140.330.001.250.25
vs Similar (16)0.560.380.440.560.710.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RadomljeRadomlje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D00D10W10W00D00D20W20W10WH·BRA12/03A·NK 15/03H·MAR18/03A·CEL01/04H·GOR08/04A·MUR15/04H·KOP22/04A·TAB30/04H·OLI03/05A·BRA14/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.470.600.601.00
vs Stronger (13)0.461.000.430.860.501.17
vs Similar (17)0.590.650.500.380.670.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L00D00D21W01L01L11D11DA·OLI12/03H·RAD15/03A·CEL18/03H·MUR02/04A·TAB08/04H·BRA15/04A·MAR22/04H·GOR28/04A·KOP04/05H·OLI13/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.870.871.070.530.67
vs Stronger (14)0.501.210.501.330.501.12
vs Similar (16)0.880.561.110.890.570.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls93.3%--------
Over 21.5 fouls85.9%--------
Under 11.5 corners85.1%--------
Under 3.580.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.8%--------
Under 10.5 corners76.7%--------
Over 23.5 fouls74.8%--------
Under 5.5 cards74.3%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
TS (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
TS (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
RAD wins
0
Draws
2
ND wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Radomlje vs NK Domzale · H/A from RAD
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/23ANK Domzale Vs RAD1-2
30/11/22HRAD Vs NK Domzale0-2
09/09/22ANK Domzale Vs RAD3-1

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23ABravo Vs RAD0-1
03/05/23HRAD Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-1
30/04/23ATabor Sežana Vs RAD1-2
22/04/23HRAD Vs Koper1-1
15/04/23AMura Vs RAD1-1
08/04/23HRAD Vs Gorica2-0
01/04/23ACelje Vs RAD1-1
18/03/23HRAD Vs Maribor1-1
15/03/23ANK Domzale Vs RAD1-2
12/03/23HRAD Vs Bravo3-1

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/23HND Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-1
04/05/23AKoper Vs ND2-3
28/04/23HND Vs Gorica1-1
22/04/23AMaribor Vs ND1-0
15/04/23HND Vs Bravo2-2
08/04/23ATabor Sežana Vs ND1-1
02/04/23HND Vs Mura0-0
18/03/23ACelje Vs ND1-0
15/03/23HND Vs Radomlje1-2
12/03/23AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs ND1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.17
HomeWDWDW1.12
AwayWDDWW1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%18%33%
AVG goals2.492.122.83
Over 1.5 %80%76%83%
Over 2.5 %46%29%61%
Over 3.5 %17%18%17%
Scored0.970.881.06
Conceded1.511.241.78
BTTS57%53%61%
Clean Sheet20%24%17%
Corners---
Cards---
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWW1.49
HomeLDDDW1.33
AwayWLDLW1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%28%47%
AVG goals2.602.612.59
Over 1.5 %74%78%71%
Over 2.5 %46%56%35%
Over 3.5 %29%33%24%
Scored1.431.281.59
Conceded1.171.331.00
BTTS54%61%47%
Clean Sheet31%22%41%
Corners7.708.177.18
Cards5.095.924.18

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3673
64%
2.0
6039+21
2.8
67%
44%
25%
9.1
43%
4.4
57%
27.5
87%
12
6151.71.1
59%
2CeljeCelje3667
53%
1.9
5334+19
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.7
43%
4.2
61%
24.6
78%
14
7161.50.9
49%
3MariborMaribor3662
50%
1.7
7043+27
3.1
83%
58%
39%
8.9
35%
4.3
52%
25.0
73%
10
5231.91.2
51%
4NK DomzaleNK Domzale3652
36%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
7.7
17%
5.1
78%
28.1
91%
0
0001.41.2
47%
5MuraMura3652
36%
1.4
5045+5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
10.6
57%
4.5
61%
26.3
91%
5
2121.41.2
50%
6KoperKoper3650
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
69%
42%
19%
9.1
52%
3.8
52%
24.0
78%
8
3231.31.1
52%
7RadomljeRadomlje3644
28%
1.2
3553-18
2.4
78%
44%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.5
-
8BravoBravo3636
25%
1.0
3341-8
2.1
58%
31%
14%
8.7
35%
3.9
57%
27.5
83%
4
1120.91.1
50%
9GoricaGorica3828
13%
0.7
3361-28
2.5
74%
37%
24%
9.4
52%
4.1
56%
26.2
79%
0
0000.91.6
47%
10Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3624
8%
0.7
2963-34
2.6
72%
44%
31%
9.3
38%
3.2
33%
22.2
67%
2
1110.81.8
47%
11AluminijAluminij24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
6.0
100%
33.5
100%
4
2122.01.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

← all matches