Raith Rovers vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Raith Rovers are favoured to win, with a 50% chance of a home victory, 27% for a draw and 23% for an Arbroath win. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, with the most likely total being two goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.8% chance that both sides will finish level. Raith, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 2.23 goals scored and 1.23 conceded, while Arbroath, on the road, averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 86.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 82.0%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.2% (hit), Under 23.5 fouls at 75.9%, Over 8.5 corners at 74.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 72.6% and Under 3.5 goals at 71.5% (hit). The recent form shows Raith coming off a defeat, while Arbroath is on a two-game winning run.

Raith Rovers’ run of five games, ending with a loss, was expected to carry them through, yet the match finished 1-1, a draw that surprised the pre-match favourite. The model had picked a home win with a 50% probability, but that call proved wrong. The total-goals prediction of 2.7 was close to the actual two goals, and the most likely scoreline of 1-1 matched reality. The model’s selections of Over 1.5 and Under 3.5 both hit, with probabilities of 76.2% and 71.5% respectively. Arbroath’s two-game winning streak was halted, while Raith’s recent form continued to falter. The outcome underscored the volatility of Championship fixtures.