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Raith Rovers vs Hamilton Academical Result & Analysis

Date: 05/11/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Vs
48%
26%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Raith Rovers win✓ Hit
47.6%
Avg Implied 48.0% · @ 1.93
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.54
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical win✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.59
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L02L32W01L30W01L10W11D30WA·HAM20/08A·PAR27/08H·INV03/09H·AYR17/09A·QUE01/10H·COV08/10A·MOR15/10A·ARB19/10A·INV22/10H·PAR29/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.001.831.000.711.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.360.912.200.800.671.00
vs Weaker (2)0.501.500.002.001.001.00
Clean sheet %31% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L10W22D02L02L05L12L10W01L44DH·RAI20/08H·ARB27/08A·COV03/09H·QUE17/09H·DUN01/10A·MOR08/10H·PAR15/10A·INV18/10A·ARB22/10H·COV29/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.851.001.861.001.83
vs Stronger (2)3.003.004.004.002.002.00
vs Similar (11)0.641.640.501.500.801.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %15% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.1%
@ 1.90+6.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
@ 1.83-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
Raith Rovers goals ↓
Hamilton Academical goals →
01234
06.7%5.6%4.0%1.6%0.5%
18.3%12%6.8%2.7%0.8%
27.9%9.5%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.4%5.3%3.2%1.3%0.4%
41.9%2.3%1.4%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raith Rovers goals (down), columns = Hamilton Academical goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Airdrie United
2.25
Dundee
1.96
Queens Park
1.61
Ayr
1.61
Queen's Park
1.61
Ayr Utd
1.61
Morton
1.60
Partick
1.52
Alloa Athletic
1.50
Inverness CT
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.19
Raith Rovers
1.19
Arbroath
0.96
Hamilton Academical
0.93
Cove Rangers
0.87
Hamilton
0.86
Falkirk
0.00
Raith Rovers is 0.27 points better than Hamilton Academical in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 0.93).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.25
Dundee
2.02
Queens Park
1.75
Queen's Park
1.75
Partick
1.73
Ayr
1.69
Ayr Utd
1.69
Morton
1.52
Alloa Athletic
1.50
Inverness CT
1.37
Raith Rvs
1.28
Raith Rovers
1.28
Cove Rangers
1.12
Falkirk
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.95
Hamilton
0.86
Arbroath
0.79
Raith Rovers is 0.33 goals better than Hamilton Academical in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 0.95).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Airdrie United
1.00
Dundee
1.02
Morton
1.19
Ayr
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.19
Arbroath
1.23
Inverness CT
1.29
Raith Rvs
1.36
Raith Rovers
1.36
Partick
1.38
Queens Park
1.44
Queen's Park
1.44
Hamilton Academical
1.70
Hamilton
1.75
Cove Rangers
2.19
Alloa Athletic
2.50
Falkirk
3.50
Raith Rovers is 0.34 goals better than Hamilton Academical in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (13)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (11)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (13)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (11)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dundee
11.2
Queens Park
10.8
Hamilton
10.7
Ayr
10.6
Morton
10.6
Arbroath
10.3
Falkirk
10.2
Raith Rvs
10.1
Airdrie United
9.8
Partick
9.7
Inverness CT
9.7
Cove Rangers
9.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Falkirk
4.0
Hamilton
4.0
Raith Rvs
3.8
Dundee
3.7
Cove Rangers
3.7
Queens Park
3.5
Arbroath
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Ayr
3.3
Morton
3.3
Inverness CT
3.3
Partick
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dundee
24.2
Hamilton
23.4
Inverness CT
22.5
Arbroath
22.3
Falkirk
21.8
Cove Rangers
21.7
Raith Rvs
21.3
Morton
21.2
Partick
20.4
Ayr
19.6
Queens Park
18.9
Airdrie United
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.0%
Under 9.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
45.5%
Under 3.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
46.7%
Under 21.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L00D20W00D20W00D10W11D30WA·HAM20/08A·PAR27/08H·INV03/09H·AYR17/09A·QUE01/10H·COV08/10A·MOR15/10A·ARB19/10A·INV22/10H·PAR29/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.850.381.170.170.570.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.910.361.400.200.500.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %69% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W01L01L03L01L10W01L12LH·RAI20/08H·ARB27/08A·COV03/09H·QUE17/09H·DUN01/10A·MOR08/10H·PAR15/10A·INV18/10A·ARB22/10H·COV29/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.920.291.000.670.83
vs Stronger (2)1.001.001.002.001.000.00
vs Similar (11)0.360.910.170.830.601.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %31% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L12L01L10W01L00D00D00DA·HAM20/08A·PAR27/08H·INV03/09H·AYR17/09A·QUE01/10H·COV08/10A·MOR15/10A·ARB19/10A·INV22/10H·PAR29/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.620.670.830.140.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.450.550.800.600.170.50
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
Clean sheet %54% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamilton Academical) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W12L01L01L02L11D00D00D32WH·RAI20/08H·ARB27/08A·COV03/09H·QUE17/09H·DUN01/10A·MOR08/10H·PAR15/10A·INV18/10A·ARB22/10H·COV29/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.540.920.710.860.331.00
vs Stronger (2)2.002.003.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (11)0.270.730.330.670.200.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %31% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamilton Academical over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.3%--------
Under 25.5 fouls82.1%--------
Over 1.579.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.5%--------
Under 4.5 cards73.3%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Raith Rovers's squad is €1m more valuable than Hamilton Academical's (€2m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Hamilton Academical have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (7)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Hamilton Academical have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Hamilton Academical have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
RR wins
0
Draws
0
HA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raith Rovers vs Hamilton Academical · H/A from RR
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/22AHamilton Academical Vs RR0-2

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/22HRR Vs Partick3-0
22/10/22AInverness CT Vs RR1-1
19/10/22AArbroath Vs RR0-1
15/10/22AMorton Vs RR1-0
08/10/22HRR Vs Cove Rangers3-0
01/10/22AQueen's Park Vs RR1-0
17/09/22HRR Vs Ayr Utd3-2
03/09/22HRR Vs Inverness CT0-2
27/08/22APartick Vs RR2-1
20/08/22AHamilton Academical Vs RR0-2

Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/22HHA Vs Cove Rangers4-4
22/10/22AArbroath Vs HA1-0
18/10/22AInverness CT Vs HA0-1
15/10/22HHA Vs Partick1-2
08/10/22AMorton Vs HA5-0
01/10/22HHA Vs Dundee0-2
17/09/22HHA Vs Queen's Park0-2
03/09/22ACove Rangers Vs HA2-2
27/08/22HHA Vs Arbroath1-0
20/08/22HHA Vs Raith Rovers0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.46
HomeWLWWW2.00
AwayLLLWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%67%29%
AVG goals2.232.831.71
Over 1.5 %69%83%57%
Over 2.5 %38%67%14%
Over 3.5 %8%17%0%
Scored1.231.830.71
Conceded1.001.001.00
BTTS31%33%29%
Clean Sheet31%33%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD0.85
HomeWLLLD0.71
AwayDDLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%14%17%
AVG goals2.852.862.83
Over 1.5 %77%86%67%
Over 2.5 %38%29%50%
Over 3.5 %31%14%50%
Scored1.001.001.00
Conceded1.851.861.83
BTTS46%43%50%
Clean Sheet15%14%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DundeeDundee52102
56%
2.0
10553+52
3.0
79%
52%
38%
9.8
56%
3.6
38%
21.2
50%
5
1222.01.0
-
2MortonMorton5283
42%
1.6
7962+17
2.7
77%
58%
27%
11.9
81%
5.3
75%
23.4
56%
1
0001.51.2
-
3PartickPartick5279
42%
1.5
9072+18
3.1
81%
63%
42%
10.8
75%
4.1
44%
19.9
31%
3
1111.71.4
-
4Inverness CTInverness CT5275
38%
1.4
7167+4
2.7
77%
54%
23%
12.5
62%
2.4
25%
15.9
25%
1
0001.41.3
-
5
A
Ayr
3658
44%
1.6
6143+18
2.9
81%
56%
39%
10.8
58%
3.1
31%
18.9
28%
0
0001.71.2
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd3658
44%
1.6
6143+18
2.9
81%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.2
-
7Queens ParkQueens Park3658
47%
1.6
6352+11
3.2
83%
61%
39%
12.6
86%
3.0
36%
18.5
25%
0
0001.81.4
-
8QueenQueen's Park3658
47%
1.6
6352+11
3.2
83%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.4
-
9ArbroathArbroath5250
17%
1.0
4164-23
2.0
65%
27%
13%
11.8
69%
4.3
62%
20.7
50%
1
0000.81.2
-
10Cove RangersCove Rangers5245
19%
0.9
58114-56
3.3
87%
62%
37%
10.2
56%
3.8
56%
20.2
38%
0
0001.12.2
-
11Raith RoversRaith Rovers3643
31%
1.2
4649-3
2.6
78%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.4
-
12
RR
Raith Rvs
3643
31%
1.2
4649-3
2.6
78%
44%
25%
9.6
47%
4.1
61%
19.7
42%
0
0001.31.4
-
13Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical4037
22%
0.9
3868-30
2.6
68%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
14
H
Hamilton
3631
19%
0.9
3163-32
2.6
69%
42%
28%
11.3
69%
4.3
56%
22.6
56%
0
0000.91.8
-
15Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United49
75%
2.2
94+5
3.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
16Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic23
50%
1.5
35-2
4.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.5
-
17FalkirkFalkirk20
0%
0.0
27-5
4.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.03.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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