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Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park Result & Analysis

Date: 01/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Vs
39%
23%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Queen
Queen's Park
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Raith Rovers win✓ Hit
39.3%
Avg Implied 38.5% · @ 2.39
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.31
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park win✗ Miss
37.7%
Avg Implied 33.6% · @ 2.74
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D10W11D22D22D21W11D00D03L61WH·MOR23/12A·HAM02/01H·DUN06/01A·COV14/01H·INV28/01A·ARB04/02A·QUE17/02H·AYR24/02A·PAR04/03H·COV18/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.391.322.001.360.791.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.441.282.171.250.771.31
vs Weaker (3)1.001.671.002.001.001.00
Clean sheet %21% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D03L20W23L11D41W22D10W21W01LA·INV14/01A·DUN28/01H·AYR03/02A·MOR11/02H·RAI17/02A·HAM25/02H·MOR04/03H·COV10/03H·INV18/03H·ARB24/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.301.751.062.141.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)2.041.381.711.072.421.75
vs Weaker (4)1.250.752.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%21%3%07%117%221%319%415%518%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.9%
Under 1.5
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
72.7%
@ 1.82+21.2%
Under 2.5
27.3%
@ 1.93-21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.1%
Under 3.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
72.8%
No
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-1
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-2
4.6%
2-3
4.5%
Raith Rovers goals ↓
Queen's Park goals →
01234
03.1%3.5%4.0%2.5%1.2%
13.6%9.0%7.6%4.7%2.2%
24.2%7.8%7.3%4.5%2.1%
32.7%5.0%4.6%2.9%1.3%
41.3%2.4%2.2%1.4%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raith Rovers goals (down), columns = Queen's Park goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Airdrie United
2.25
Dundee
1.96
Queens Park
1.61
Ayr
1.61
Queen's Park
1.61
Ayr Utd
1.61
Morton
1.60
Partick
1.52
Alloa Athletic
1.50
Inverness CT
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.19
Raith Rovers
1.19
Arbroath
0.96
Hamilton Academical
0.93
Cove Rangers
0.87
Hamilton
0.86
Falkirk
0.00
Raith Rovers is 0.42 points worse than Queen's Park in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.25
Dundee
2.02
Queens Park
1.75
Queen's Park
1.75
Partick
1.73
Ayr
1.69
Ayr Utd
1.69
Morton
1.52
Alloa Athletic
1.50
Inverness CT
1.37
Raith Rvs
1.28
Raith Rovers
1.28
Cove Rangers
1.12
Falkirk
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.95
Hamilton
0.86
Arbroath
0.79
Raith Rovers is 0.47 goals worse than Queen's Park in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Airdrie United
1.00
Dundee
1.02
Morton
1.19
Ayr
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.19
Arbroath
1.23
Inverness CT
1.29
Raith Rvs
1.36
Raith Rovers
1.36
Partick
1.38
Queens Park
1.44
Queen's Park
1.44
Hamilton Academical
1.70
Hamilton
1.75
Cove Rangers
2.19
Alloa Athletic
2.50
Falkirk
3.50
Raith Rovers is 0.08 goals better than Queen's Park in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

QueenQueen's Park

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (30)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queens Park
11.5
Dundee
10.9
Morton
10.9
Hamilton
10.9
Arbroath
10.7
Falkirk
10.5
Ayr
10.4
Airdrie United
10.3
Inverness CT
10.0
Cove Rangers
9.9
Partick
9.6
Raith Rvs
9.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Falkirk
4.3
Hamilton
4.0
Dundee
3.9
Cove Rangers
3.8
Raith Rvs
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Morton
3.5
Ayr
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Partick
3.2
Inverness CT
3.2
Queens Park
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dundee
24.5
Hamilton
22.8
Falkirk
21.8
Arbroath
21.4
Morton
21.3
Cove Rangers
20.9
Raith Rvs
20.6
Inverness CT
20.6
Partick
20.5
Ayr
19.9
Airdrie United
18.6
Queens Park
17.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.4%
Under 9.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
46.3%
Under 3.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
40.3%
Under 21.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D10W10W21W10W01L00D00D01L20WH·MOR23/12A·HAM02/01H·DUN06/01A·COV14/01H·INV28/01A·ARB04/02A·QUE17/02H·AYR24/02A·PAR04/03H·COV18/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.820.541.140.500.500.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.840.561.250.580.460.54
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D12L00D10W20W00D01L00DA·INV14/01A·DUN28/01H·AYR03/02A·MOR11/02H·RAI17/02A·HAM25/02H·MOR04/03H·COV10/03H·INV18/03H·ARB24/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.400.810.190.930.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.960.350.930.071.000.67
vs Weaker (4)0.250.750.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D01L01L12L20W11D00D02L41WH·MOR23/12A·HAM02/01H·DUN06/01A·COV14/01H·INV28/01A·ARB04/02A·QUE17/02H·AYR24/02A·PAR04/03H·COV18/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.790.860.860.290.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.600.720.920.670.310.77
vs Weaker (3)0.331.330.502.000.000.00
Clean sheet %46% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L20W11D11D31W02L10W20W01LA·INV14/01A·DUN28/01H·AYR03/02A·MOR11/02H·RAI17/02A·HAM25/02H·MOR04/03H·COV10/03H·INV18/03H·ARB24/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.900.940.881.210.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.081.040.791.001.421.08
vs Weaker (4)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls86.2%--------
Under 5.5 cards85.8%--------
Under 23.5 fouls74.9%--------
Over 8.5 corners73.8%--------
BTTS Yes72.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards72.6%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Queen's Park have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Queen's Park have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (7)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Queen's Park have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Queen's Park have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
RR wins
1
Draws
2
QP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park · H/A from RR
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/23AQueen's Park Vs RR1-1
19/11/22HRR Vs Queen's Park2-5
01/10/22AQueen's Park Vs RR1-0

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HRR Vs Cove Rangers6-1
04/03/23APartick Vs RR3-0
24/02/23HRR Vs Ayr Utd0-0
17/02/23AQueen's Park Vs RR1-1
04/02/23AArbroath Vs RR1-2
28/01/23HRR Vs Inverness CT2-2
14/01/23ACove Rangers Vs RR2-2
06/01/23HRR Vs Dundee1-1
02/01/23AHamilton Academical Vs RR0-1
23/12/22HRR Vs Morton2-2

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/03/23HQP Vs Arbroath0-1
18/03/23HQP Vs Inverness CT2-1
10/03/23HQP Vs Cove Rangers1-0
04/03/23HQP Vs Morton2-2
25/02/23AHamilton Academical Vs QP1-4
17/02/23HQP Vs Raith Rovers1-1
11/02/23AMorton Vs QP3-2
03/02/23HQP Vs Ayr Utd2-0
28/01/23ADundee Vs QP3-0
14/01/23AInverness CT Vs QP0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLW1.36
HomeDDDDW1.64
AwayWDWDL1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%43%29%
AVG goals2.713.362.07
Over 1.5 %79%86%71%
Over 2.5 %46%64%29%
Over 3.5 %25%43%7%
Scored1.392.000.79
Conceded1.321.361.29
BTTS50%64%36%
Clean Sheet21%21%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Queen
Queen's Park
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.80
HomeDDWWL1.94
AwayWDLLW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%56%50%
AVG goals3.232.813.71
Over 1.5 %87%81%93%
Over 2.5 %63%56%71%
Over 3.5 %40%31%50%
Scored1.931.752.14
Conceded1.301.061.57
BTTS53%62%43%
Clean Sheet30%31%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DundeeDundee52102
56%
2.0
10553+52
3.0
79%
52%
38%
9.8
56%
3.6
38%
21.2
50%
5
1222.01.0
-
2MortonMorton5283
42%
1.6
7962+17
2.7
77%
58%
27%
11.9
81%
5.3
75%
23.4
56%
1
0001.51.2
-
3PartickPartick5279
42%
1.5
9072+18
3.1
81%
63%
42%
10.8
75%
4.1
44%
19.9
31%
3
1111.71.4
-
4Inverness CTInverness CT5275
38%
1.4
7167+4
2.7
77%
54%
23%
12.5
62%
2.4
25%
15.9
25%
1
0001.41.3
-
5
A
Ayr
3658
44%
1.6
6143+18
2.9
81%
56%
39%
10.8
58%
3.1
31%
18.9
28%
0
0001.71.2
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd3658
44%
1.6
6143+18
2.9
81%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.2
-
7Queens ParkQueens Park3658
47%
1.6
6352+11
3.2
83%
61%
39%
12.6
86%
3.0
36%
18.5
25%
0
0001.81.4
-
8QueenQueen's Park3658
47%
1.6
6352+11
3.2
83%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.4
-
9ArbroathArbroath5250
17%
1.0
4164-23
2.0
65%
27%
13%
11.8
69%
4.3
62%
20.7
50%
1
0000.81.2
-
10Cove RangersCove Rangers5245
19%
0.9
58114-56
3.3
87%
62%
37%
10.2
56%
3.8
56%
20.2
38%
0
0001.12.2
-
11Raith RoversRaith Rovers3643
31%
1.2
4649-3
2.6
78%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.4
-
12
RR
Raith Rvs
3643
31%
1.2
4649-3
2.6
78%
44%
25%
9.6
47%
4.1
61%
19.7
42%
0
0001.31.4
-
13Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical4037
22%
0.9
3868-30
2.6
68%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
14
H
Hamilton
3631
19%
0.9
3163-32
2.6
69%
42%
28%
11.3
69%
4.3
56%
22.6
56%
0
0000.91.8
-
15Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United49
75%
2.2
94+5
3.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
16Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic23
50%
1.5
35-2
4.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.5
-
17FalkirkFalkirk20
0%
0.0
27-5
4.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.03.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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