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Raith Rvs vs Airdrie United Result & Analysis

Date: 01/12/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 2-0
RR
Raith Rvs
Vs
59%
24%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Raith Rvs win✓ Hit
58.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United win✗ Miss
17.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W11D11D51W11D21W23L21W12L31WH·FOR01/09A·BRE15/09H·MON22/09A·DUM29/09H·ARB06/10H·STR20/10A·FOR27/10H·BRE03/11A·EAS10/11A·STE17/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.101.930.711.811.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.731.131.750.621.711.71
vs Weaker (15)2.001.072.170.831.891.22
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W12L11D13L13L30W01L01L21W42WH·STR01/09A·EAS15/09H·DUM22/09A·ARB29/09H·BRE06/10A·MON20/10H·STE27/10H·FOR03/11A·STR10/11H·EAS17/11
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.501.381.441.361.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.531.671.881.751.141.57
vs Weaker (15)1.201.330.881.121.571.57
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.3%
Under 2.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-0 ✓
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
Raith Rvs goals ↓
Airdrie United goals →
01234
06.3%4.2%2.6%0.9%0.2%
19.3%11%5.1%1.7%0.4%
210%10.0%4.9%1.6%0.4%
36.5%6.5%3.2%1.1%0.3%
43.2%3.1%1.6%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raith Rvs goals (down), columns = Airdrie United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arbroath
1.94
Forfar
1.75
Raith Rvs
1.67
Montrose
1.42
Airdrie United
1.33
Dumbarton
1.28
East Fife
1.28
Stranraer
1.17
Stenhousemuir
1.03
Brechin
1.00
Raith Rvs is 0.33 points better than Airdrie United in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.33).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Raith Rvs
2.08
Arbroath
1.75
Dumbarton
1.67
Forfar
1.50
Airdrie United
1.42
Montrose
1.36
East Fife
1.36
Stranraer
1.25
Brechin
1.17
Stenhousemuir
0.97
Raith Rvs is 0.67 goals better than Airdrie United in terms of goals scored per game (2.08 vs 1.42).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
1.06
Airdrie United
1.22
Forfar
1.31
Raith Rvs
1.36
Montrose
1.39
East Fife
1.56
Stranraer
1.58
Dumbarton
1.67
Brechin
1.69
Stenhousemuir
1.69
Raith Rvs is 0.14 goals worse than Airdrie United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.22).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

For 4.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1407526515315486568455112868612111496A·STEA·EASH·BREA·FORH·STRH·ARBA·DUMH·MONA·BREH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70313251125223322213472746043A·STEA·EASH·BREA·FORH·STRH·ARBA·DUMH·MONA·BREH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

3301581217101161011178781391020134723292116281521193311A·STEA·EASH·BREA·FORH·STRH·ARBA·DUMH·MONA·BREH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 5.6 · Against 6.7 · Total 12.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

190365725118384576896107391271911913171610H·EASA·STRH·FORH·STEA·MONH·BREA·ARBH·DUMA·EASH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50121331332122111233434334215H·EASA·STRH·FORH·STEA·MONH·BREA·ARBH·DUMA·EASH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

34071568171113812161519121114111279922142821283423251918H·EASA·STRH·FORH·STEA·MONH·BREA·ARBH·DUMA·EASH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.211.43.63.53.721.420.622.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (28)10.68.912.43.32.83.921.219.922.6
vs Weaker (22)11.011.810.24.04.43.521.621.521.8
% over line56%52%60%54%44%64%50%48%52%
% under line44%48%40%46%56%36%50%52%48%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.911.310.53.33.72.921.222.220.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)11.210.911.53.64.12.920.721.819.4
vs Weaker (21)10.511.89.03.03.12.821.922.621.1
% over line58%54%62%46%58%33%44%50%38%
% under line42%46%38%54%42%67%56%50%62%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
11.2
Airdrie United
10.9
Raith Rvs
10.8
East Fife
10.7
Stenhousemuir
10.7
Stranraer
10.5
Arbroath
10.5
Forfar
10.4
Brechin
10.3
Montrose
9.4

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Forfar
3.7
Raith Rvs
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Stranraer
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Montrose
3.3
Dumbarton
3.2
Arbroath
3.2
Stenhousemuir
3.1
East Fife
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Brechin
23.2
East Fife
22.7
Montrose
22.6
Stranraer
21.9
Forfar
21.5
Raith Rvs
21.4
Airdrie United
21.2
Arbroath
21.0
Stenhousemuir
20.6
Dumbarton
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.0%
Under 3.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
38.9%
Under 21.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D01L40W00D21W21W10W10W10WH·FOR01/09A·BRE15/09H·MON22/09A·DUM29/09H·ARB06/10H·STR20/10A·FOR27/10H·BRE03/11A·EAS10/11A·STE17/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.400.790.291.120.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.800.600.620.381.000.86
vs Weaker (15)1.130.201.000.171.220.22
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W11D20W00D00D10W12LH·STR01/09A·EAS15/09H·DUM22/09A·ARB29/09H·BRE06/10A·MON20/10H·STE27/10H·FOR03/11A·STR10/11H·EAS17/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.690.620.710.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.930.601.120.750.710.43
vs Weaker (15)0.470.530.250.500.710.57
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D10W11D11D00D02L11D02L21WH·FOR01/09A·BRE15/09H·MON22/09A·DUM29/09H·ARB06/10H·STR20/10A·FOR27/10H·BRE03/11A·EAS10/11A·STE17/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.701.140.430.690.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.930.531.120.250.710.86
vs Weaker (15)0.870.871.170.670.671.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L10W03L02L10W01L01L11D30WH·STR01/09A·EAS15/09H·DUM22/09A·ARB29/09H·BRE06/10A·MON20/10H·STE27/10H·FOR03/11A·STR10/11H·EAS17/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.930.690.810.641.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.601.070.751.000.431.14
vs Weaker (15)0.730.800.620.620.861.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls87.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards86.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls76.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards72.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
RR wins
1
Draws
0
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raith Rvs vs Airdrie United · H/A from RR
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/18AAirdrie United Vs RR3-4
24/03/18AAirdrie United Vs RR1-2
10/02/18HRR Vs Airdrie United2-1
10/12/17AAirdrie United Vs RR2-2
23/09/17HRR Vs Airdrie United2-0

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/18AStenhousemuir Vs RR1-3
10/11/18AEast Fife Vs RR2-1
03/11/18HRR Vs Brechin2-1
27/10/18AForfar Vs RR3-2
20/10/18HRR Vs Stranraer2-1
06/10/18HRR Vs Arbroath1-1
29/09/18ADumbarton Vs RR1-5
22/09/18HRR Vs Montrose1-1
15/09/18ABrechin Vs RR1-1
01/09/18HRR Vs Forfar4-0

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/11/18HAU Vs East Fife4-2
10/11/18AStranraer Vs AU1-2
03/11/18HAU Vs Forfar0-1
27/10/18HAU Vs Stenhousemuir0-1
20/10/18AMontrose Vs AU0-3
06/10/18HAU Vs Brechin1-3
29/09/18AArbroath Vs AU3-1
22/09/18HAU Vs Dumbarton1-1
15/09/18AEast Fife Vs AU2-1
01/09/18HAU Vs Stranraer2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW2.02
HomeWDDWW2.52
AwayDWLLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%76%40%
AVG goals2.982.603.36
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %62%52%72%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.982.001.96
Conceded1.000.601.40
BTTS62%52%72%
Clean Sheet32%48%16%
Corners10.8010.2011.40
Cards3.603.483.72
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.20
HomeDLLLW1.42
AwayWLLWW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%25%
AVG goals3.002.733.29
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %62%50%75%
Over 3.5 %32%27%38%
Scored1.381.501.25
Conceded1.621.232.04
BTTS64%58%71%
Clean Sheet20%27%12%
Corners10.8811.2710.46
Cards3.303.692.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArbroathArbroath3670
56%
1.9
6338+25
2.8
81%
47%
33%
10.1
58%
4.0
58%
22.0
56%
1
0001.81.1
-
2ForfarForfar3663
53%
1.8
5447+7
2.8
83%
61%
31%
9.7
47%
3.2
44%
19.8
39%
0
0001.51.3
-
3
RR
Raith Rvs
3660
44%
1.7
7549+26
3.4
94%
64%
44%
9.1
39%
3.6
47%
21.0
39%
0
0002.11.4
-
4MontroseMontrose3651
42%
1.4
4950-1
2.8
83%
47%
28%
9.2
39%
3.7
53%
22.7
50%
0
0001.41.4
-
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3648
39%
1.3
5144+7
2.6
67%
50%
25%
10.9
69%
2.9
36%
21.2
44%
0
0001.41.2
-
6DumbartonDumbarton3646
33%
1.3
6060+0
3.3
89%
67%
42%
9.9
56%
3.0
36%
20.6
42%
0
0001.71.7
-
7East FifeEast Fife3646
36%
1.3
4956-7
2.9
86%
53%
28%
10.3
56%
2.8
36%
19.6
31%
0
0001.41.6
-
8StranraerStranraer3642
31%
1.2
4557-12
2.8
86%
56%
25%
10.6
58%
3.1
44%
20.1
36%
0
0001.21.6
-
9StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3637
28%
1.0
3561-26
2.7
83%
44%
19%
11.2
75%
3.5
39%
20.2
28%
0
0001.01.7
-
10BrechinBrechin3636
25%
1.0
4261-19
2.9
81%
56%
31%
10.0
53%
3.8
56%
22.9
58%
0
0001.21.7
-
Scotland: League One 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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