Pythia gives Ramiz Sadiku a 28% win probability against Feronikeli in the Kosovo: Liga E Pare on 2026-05-23, with 30% for the draw and 42% for Feronikeli. The model estimates around 2.3 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.3%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (79%).
Results analysis
Ramiz Sadiku finished 0-2 against Feronikeli (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 28% home win, 30% draw and 42% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (79%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ramiz Sadiku win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Feronikeli win✓ Hit
42.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ramiz Sadiku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.80
1.21
0.93
0.94
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.86
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (19)
1.26
0.63
1.44
0.78
1.10
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Feronikeli) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feronikeli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
0.57
2.00
0.44
1.43
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
0.83
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (20)
1.70
0.55
2.10
0.40
1.30
0.70
vs Weaker (4)
2.50
0.25
2.50
0.50
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.8%
Under 1.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.1%
Under 2.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.6%
Under 3.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-2 ✓
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.0%
Ramiz Sadiku goals ↓
Feronikeli goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
12%
8.4%
3.7%
1.2%
1
8.6%
14%
8.5%
3.7%
1.2%
2
5.0%
6.6%
4.3%
1.9%
0.6%
3
1.7%
2.2%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ramiz Sadiku goals (down), columns = Feronikeli goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Liria Prizren
2.09
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Trepça'89
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Ramiz Sadiku is 0.71 points worse than Feronikeli in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 2.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Liria Prizren
1.76
Suhareka
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Ramiz Sadiku is 0.59 goals worse than Feronikeli in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Liria Prizren
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Ramiz Sadiku is 0.21 goals worse than Feronikeli in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 0.65).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🔢 6. Odd / Even
🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 8. Handicap
🔥 9. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →