Ramiz Sadiku’s home form shows a modest 1.0 goal per game, while conceding only 0.75, suggesting a solid defensive base. Suhareka, on the road, averages 1.9 goals scored but concedes 2.2, indicating a more porous back line. The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.2 goals and a most likely total of 3, 22% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.3% chance. The favourite result is a home win, with probabilities of 46% for a Ramiz Sadiku victory, 25% for a draw, and 29% for Suhareka. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 98.3%, Under 6.5 at 95.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.7%, Under 5.5 at 89.5%, Home under 3.5 goals at 89.0%, Home +2 handicap at 86.9%, Over 1.5 at 83.9%, and Home over 0.5 goals at 83.6%. The recent form notes that Ramiz Sadiku is coming off a draw, while Suhareka is returning from a defeat.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ramiz Sadiku win
46.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Suhareka win
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Ramiz Sadiku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.93
1.36
1.14
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
3.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.74
0.89
0.78
1.00
0.70
vs Weaker (8)
1.75
1.12
2.00
1.75
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suhareka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.73
1.87
1.27
1.80
2.20
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.20
0.50
2.00
1.33
2.33
vs Similar (22)
2.09
1.68
2.25
1.25
1.90
2.20
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
0.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.1%
Under 2.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.9%
Under 3.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
63.9%
No
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
Ramiz Sadiku goals ↓
Suhareka goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
4.6%
3.9%
1.8%
0.6%
1
6.3%
11%
7.1%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.7%
9.3%
6.5%
3.0%
1.0%
3
4.0%
5.6%
3.9%
1.8%
0.6%
4
1.8%
2.5%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ramiz Sadiku goals (down), columns = Suhareka goals (across).
đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
VĂ«llaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Ramiz Sadiku is 0.18 points better than Suhareka in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
VĂ«llaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Ramiz Sadiku is 0.62 goals worse than Suhareka in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
VĂ«llaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Ramiz Sadiku is 0.94 goals better than Suhareka in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ramiz Sadiku or Draw
71.4%
Avg Implied -
46%
25%
29%
covers Ramiz Sadiku + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku or Suhareka
75.1%
Avg Implied -
46%
25%
29%
covers Ramiz Sadiku + Suhareka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Suhareka
53.5%
Avg Implied -
46%
25%
29%
covers Draw + Suhareka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 0.5
Over
83.7%
Under
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 1.5
Over
54.1%
Under
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 2.5
Over
27.3%
Under
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 3.5
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 0.5
Over
75.1%
Under
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5
Over
40.5%
Under
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 3.5
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ramiz Sadiku, so a minus line means Ramiz Sadiku give that many goals of a start and Suhareka receive them. At -1, Ramiz Sadiku must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ramiz Sadiku win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ramiz Sadiku)
Ramiz Sadiku -2
11.7%
Draw -2
14.4%
Suhareka +2
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ramiz Sadiku)
Ramiz Sadiku -1
26.0%
Draw -1
20.5%
Suhareka +1
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ramiz Sadiku)
Ramiz Sadiku +1
71.4%
Draw +1
15.5%
Suhareka -1
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ramiz Sadiku)
Ramiz Sadiku +2
86.9%
Draw +2
8.5%
Suhareka -2
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ramiz Sadiku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.27
0.50
0.29
0.25
0.25
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.32
0.21
0.38
0.12
0.27
0.27
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.14
0.50
0.25
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suhareka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.62
0.25
0.43
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.67
0.58
0.25
0.22
1.22
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.8%
Under 0.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.2%
Under 1.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.0%
Under 2.5
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.5%
Under
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 1.5 HT
Over
21.5%
Under
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.8%
Under
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.8%
Under
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ramiz Sadiku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.79
0.86
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.47
0.50
0.62
0.64
0.36
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
1.14
1.50
1.50
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suhareka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.13
1.50
0.94
1.14
1.36
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.60
0.00
1.50
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (21)
1.67
1.00
1.92
0.92
1.33
1.11
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
1.25
0.50
0.50
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.5%
Under 0.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
52.8%
Under 1.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.8%
Under 2.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.8%
Under
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 1.5 2H
Over
24.2%
Under
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.3%
Under
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.6%
Under
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
VĂ«llaznimi
Dinamo Ferizaj
Trepça'89
Liria Prizren
2 Korriku
Rilindja 1974
Vjosa
Kika
FC Besa Peja
Trepça Mitrovicë
Prishtina e Re
Istogu
KF Lepenci
Mitrovica
Ferizaj
Tefik Canga