This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.15
0.95
1.40
1.10
0.90
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (12)
1.33
1.08
1.83
1.33
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.4%
Under 1.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.0%
Under 2.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.4%
Under 3.5
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.9%
No
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.6%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-2 ✓
7.0%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
Randers FC goals ↓
Aarhus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
14%
7.8%
2.7%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.0%
2.5%
0.6%
2
5.8%
6.1%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
3
1.7%
1.8%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Randers FC goals (down), columns = Aarhus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.84
FC Nordsjaelland
1.72
FC Midtjylland
1.64
Aarhus
1.59
Viborg
1.55
Odense
1.44
Brondby
1.38
Silkeborg
1.28
Randers FC
1.28
Lyngby
0.88
AC Horsens
0.88
Aalborg
0.84
Randers FC is 0.31 points worse than Aarhus in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
1.91
FC Midtjylland
1.70
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.50
Odense
1.47
Silkeborg
1.38
Viborg
1.33
Aarhus
1.31
Randers FC
1.25
Aalborg
1.06
AC Horsens
1.03
Lyngby
0.94
Randers FC is 0.06 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
0.97
Viborg
1.09
FC Nordsjaelland
1.09
FC Copenhagen
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.18
Aalborg
1.41
Randers FC
1.47
Silkeborg
1.53
Lyngby
1.53
Brondby
1.62
Odense
1.66
AC Horsens
1.81
Randers FC is 0.50 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 0.97).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Silkeborg
56%
FC Copenhagen
56%
FC Nordsjaelland
54%
Brondby
51%
Odense
50%
FC Midtjylland
50%
Randers FC
49%
Viborg
49%
Aalborg
49%
Aarhus
48%
Lyngby
45%
AC Horsens
42%
Randers FC is 0.7 percentage points better than Aarhus in terms of average possession (49% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Randers FC
For 5.2 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 10.6 · Total 19.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
For 4.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.9 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Randers FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
10.6
10.6
10.5
3.5
3.2
3.8
19.2
19.0
19.5
vs Stronger (8)
10.9
11.0
10.8
4.2
3.5
5.0
19.0
18.2
19.8
vs Similar (12)
10.3
10.3
10.3
3.0
3.0
3.0
19.4
19.5
19.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
65%
60%
70%
50%
60%
40%
35%
30%
40%
% under line
35%
40%
30%
50%
40%
60%
65%
70%
60%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
9.6
9.4
9.8
3.7
3.4
4.0
22.4
22.0
22.9
vs Stronger (4)
11.8
12.0
11.5
4.0
4.5
3.5
24.8
22.5
27.0
vs Similar (12)
9.3
8.7
10.0
3.7
3.0
4.3
20.6
20.0
21.2
vs Weaker (4)
8.2
9.0
7.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
25.8
27.5
24.0
% over line
40%
50%
30%
50%
40%
60%
45%
40%
50%
% under line
60%
50%
70%
50%
60%
40%
55%
60%
50%
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brondby
11.4
Randers FC
10.6
Lyngby
10.2
FC Midtjylland
10.2
Odense
10.1
AC Horsens
9.9
Aarhus
9.6
FC Copenhagen
9.4
FC Nordsjaelland
9.4
Aalborg
9.4
Viborg
9.0
Silkeborg
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Midtjylland
5.0
FC Copenhagen
5.0
Brondby
4.6
FC Nordsjaelland
4.5
Lyngby
4.4
Odense
4.1
AC Horsens
4.0
Randers FC
3.9
Viborg
3.8
Aarhus
3.7
Aalborg
3.7
Silkeborg
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aarhus
22.4
FC Midtjylland
22.4
Lyngby
21.9
FC Nordsjaelland
21.5
Odense
20.4
Aalborg
20.3
FC Copenhagen
19.5
Viborg
19.5
Brondby
19.3
Randers FC
19.2
AC Horsens
18.0
Silkeborg
14.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.7%
Under 9.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.2%
Under 3.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.2%
Under 21.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Randers FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.35
0.75
0.40
0.50
0.30
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.62
0.25
0.50
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.83
0.50
0.50
0.33
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
55% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.45
0.25
0.60
0.20
0.30
0.30
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.42
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+57pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Randers FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Randers FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.95
0.65
0.70
0.60
1.20
0.70
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.12
0.25
1.25
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.17
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
55% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.80
0.90
0.60
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.67
1.17
1.00
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
45% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Randers FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Randers FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marvin Egho21%
Stephen Odey14%
Filip Bundgaard13%
Mads Enggård12%
Hugo Andersson12%
Daniel Høegh11%
Jakob Ankersen10%
Alhaji Kamara10%
Edgar Babayan9%
Carl Johansson8%
Simen Bolkan Nordli7%
Björn Kopplin7%
Simon Graves Jensen6%
Frederik Lauenborg6%
Tosin Kehinde4%
Adam Andersson4%
Tobias Klysner Breuner4%
Lasse Berg Johnsen3%
Nicolai Brock-Madsen0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Mikkel Kallesøe0%
Mikkel Mejlstrup Pedersen0%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen0%
William Kaastrup0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carl Johansson38%
Nicolai Brock-Madsen25%
Frederik Lauenborg25%
Mads Enggård25%
William Kaastrup25%
Hugo Andersson23%
Tosin Kehinde22%
Alhaji Kamara15%
Mikkel Kallesøe14%
Marvin Egho14%
Edgar Babayan13%
Simon Graves Jensen12%
Mikkel Mejlstrup Pedersen12%
Daniel Høegh11%
Stephen Odey10%
Lasse Berg Johnsen9%
Simen Bolkan Nordli7%
Björn Kopplin7%
Patrik Carlgren6%
Tobias Klysner Breuner4%
Jakob Ankersen3%
Adam Andersson0%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen0%
Filip Bundgaard0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jakob Ankersen14%
Daniel Høegh11%
Björn Kopplin10%
Edgar Babayan9%
Adam Andersson8%
Simen Bolkan Nordli7%
Filip Bundgaard6%
Mads Enggård6%
Alhaji Kamara5%
Tosin Kehinde4%
Mikkel Mejlstrup Pedersen4%
Tobias Klysner Breuner4%
Stephen Odey3%
Lasse Berg Johnsen3%
Nicolai Brock-Madsen0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Simon Graves Jensen0%
Mikkel Kallesøe0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Marvin Egho0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Carl Johansson0%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen0%
William Kaastrup0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stephen Odey17%
Edgar Babayan13%
Filip Bundgaard10%
Mikkel Kallesøe7%
Jakob Ankersen7%
Alhaji Kamara5%
Tosin Kehinde4%
Hugo Andersson4%
Tobias Klysner Breuner4%
Marvin Egho4%
Nicolai Brock-Madsen0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Simon Graves Jensen0%
Björn Kopplin0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Mikkel Mejlstrup Pedersen0%
Daniel Høegh0%
Lasse Berg Johnsen0%
Adam Andersson0%
Carl Johansson0%
Simen Bolkan Nordli0%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen0%
Mads Enggård0%
William Kaastrup0%
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Mortensen44%
Mikael Anderson19%
Mikkel Duelund17%
Sebastian Grønning17%
Jelle Duin13%
Yann Bisseck12%
Kevin Yakob12%
Peter Bjur9%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Sigurd Haugen6%
Thomas Kristensen5%
Frederik Tingager3%
Sebastian Hausner0%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Nicolai Poulsen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Anthony D'Alberto0%
Gift Links0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Eric Kahl0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Adam Daghim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolai Poulsen36%
Adam Daghim33%
Felix Beijmo29%
Mikkel Duelund25%
Albert Grønbæk25%
Sebastian Hausner20%
Sebastian Grønning17%
Kevin Yakob17%
Mikael Anderson15%
Thomas Kristensen15%
Mads Emil Madsen15%
Sigurd Haugen13%
Tobias Mølgaard12%
Eric Kahl10%
Yann Bisseck9%
Peter Bjur9%
Frederik Brandhof8%
Anthony D'Alberto8%
Gift Links7%
Frederik Tingager7%
Jelle Duin7%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Jesper Hansen3%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mikkel Duelund17%
Felix Beijmo14%
Nicolai Poulsen11%
Kevin Yakob8%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Gift Links7%
Frederik Tingager7%
Tobias Mølgaard6%
Frederik Brandhof4%
Mikael Anderson4%
Sigurd Haugen3%
Patrick Mortensen3%
Yann Bisseck3%
Sebastian Hausner0%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Sebastian Grønning0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Jelle Duin0%
Anthony D'Alberto0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Peter Bjur0%
Eric Kahl0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Thomas Kristensen0%
Adam Daghim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastian Grønning33%
Mikael Anderson31%
Patrick Mortensen22%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Gift Links7%
Sigurd Haugen6%
Eric Kahl3%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Sebastian Hausner0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Nicolai Poulsen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Yann Bisseck0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Jelle Duin0%
Anthony D'Alberto0%
Kevin Yakob0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Peter Bjur0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Thomas Kristensen0%
Adam Daghim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
Randers FC's squad is €22m less valuable than Aarhus's (€14m vs €36m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Randers FC's attack is €9m less valuable than Aarhus's (€5m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Randers FC's midfield is €11m less valuable than Aarhus's (€3m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Randers FC's defence is €2m less valuable than Aarhus's (€6m vs €8m).
Denmark: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Midtjylland
Viborg
Odense
Brondby
Silkeborg
Lyngby
AC Horsens
Aalborg